INQUINAMENTO E DISTURBI RESPIRATORI NEL BAMBINO E
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INQUINAMENTO E DISTURBI RESPIRATORI NEL BAMBINO E
INQUINAMENTO E DISTURBI RESPIRATORI NEL BAMBINO E. Baraldi, G.Bonetto Dipartimento di Pediatria, Unità di Pneumologia e Allergologia, Azienda Ospedaliera-Università di Padova Negli ultimi 50 anni le patologie respiratorie di natura allergica sono nettamente aumentate in diversi paesi con stili di vita “moderni”. Allo stesso tempo il traffico autoveicolare ed i livelli di inquinamento ambientale hanno subito profonde modifiche. Si distinguono abitualmente due principali tipi di inquinamento esterno: lo smog industriale determinato principalmente dall’anidride solforosa (SO2) e dalle particelle corpuscolate (TSP) e lo smog urbano legato al traffico autoveicolare, costituito essenzialmente da ozono, ossidi di azoto, particolati respirabili e composti volatili. Sono ormai classici gli studi condotti su una popolazione pediatrica agli inizi degli anni Novanta nelle due città tedesche di Lipsia e Monaco, la prima (nella Germania dell’Est) caratterizzata da alte concentrazioni di anidride solforosa, la seconda da biossido d’azoto e particolati respirabili. La prevalenza di bronchite era maggiore a Lipsia, mentre a Monaco si registrava una prevalenza maggiore di asma e malattie allergiche. (von Mutius) Ci sono inoltre diversi studi che hanno messo in relazione l’abitare in prossimità di strade ad alta percorrenza ad una aumentata prevalenza di manifestazioni respiratorie in età pediatrica. (Venn, Ghering, Brunekreef) Per quanto riguarda le malattie respiratorie di natura non allergica (bronchite ed infezioni delle alte vie aeree) è evidenziata una relazione con il diossido di zolfo (SO2) e la concentrazione di particelle corpuscolate totali (TSP). (Heinrich 2003) Un modello è offerto ancora dagli studi epidemiologici condotti in diverse città della Germania dell’est, questa volta dopo alcuni anni dalla riunificazione. Infatti la prevalenza di bronchite, infezioni delle alte vie aeree e tosse persistente ha presentato un importante decremento in parallelo con la riduzione e la modificazione del tipo di inquinamento. (Heinrich 2000) Per quanto riguarda l’asma, la sua prevalenza è maggiore nei Paesi Industrializzati e numerosi studi hanno dimostrato che taluni tipi di inquinanti ambientali sono trigger delle riacutizzazioni asmatiche, tuttavia nessuno studio ha fornito risultati conclusivi relativi al fatto che l’inquinamento sia causa dell’aumentata prevalenza dell’asma. (Brauer) I dati epidemiologici riguardanti gli effetti sulla morbilità respiratoria delle particelle particolate sono discordanti, anche se sembra dimostrato che le particelle di diametro inferiore ai 10 micron (PM10, PM10-PM2,5 e PM2,5), alle concentrazioni che si incontrano comunemente nelle città, producano una risposta infiammatoria e uno stress ossidativo a livello delle vie aeree e possano determinare una riduzione dei parametri di funzionalità polmonare come pure una riesacerbazione di una preesistente flogosi. Il loro effetto è più evidente in soggetti suscettibili come per esempio chi è affetto da una pneumopatia di base (asma, allergia, fibrosi cistica), chi ha un infezione polmonare in atto o chi è esposto al fumo. I bambini sono più suscettibili degli adulti per le ridotte dimensioni delle vie aeree e per la minor capacità di clearance dai tossici a livello polmonare. E’ ancora oggetto di studio il peso relativo dei diversi componenti dei particolati nell’effetto proflogistico, anche se particolare attenzione sta suscitando il monossido di carbonio (CO). Un recentissimo studio ha evidenziato associazione tra particolati (del diametro inferiore a 2,5 micron), monossido di carbonio, biossido d’azoto e ozono con i sintomi bronchitici in bambini asmatici. (McConnell) L’esposizione al biossido di azoto (NO2) è stata messa in relazione con la comparsa di sintomi respiratori sia nel bambino che nell’adulto. In particolare sembra che l’esposizione all’NO 2 sia associata ad una maggiore gravità del broncospasmo in corso di infezione virale, ed interferisca anche con la risposta immunitaria dell’ospite verso l’agente infettivo (Curie). Uno studio longitudinale condotto in età scolare ha dimostrato che un’esposizione protratta all’NO2 è in relazione con un incremento inferiore alle attese di alcuni parametri spirometrici, che riflettono la funzionalità delle piccole vie aeree. (Gaudermann) Le esalazioni dei motori diesel possono sia adsorbire gli allergeni ed aumentare la loro deposizione a livello polmonare che evocare direttamente una risposta infiammatoria di tipo T-helper2. (Sydbom) Studi epidemiologici hanno mostrato una maggior incidenza di sintomi respiratori ed una riduzione dei parametri di funzionalità respiratoria nei bambini che vivevano vicino a strade con transito di mezzi pesanti. (Van Vliet) L’ozono può determinare riacutizzazioni asmatiche e ridurre i parametri di funzionalità polmonare.(Ruth) Un ulteriore problema è quello dei bambini che praticano attività sportiva all’aperto, in particolare la corsa. In tale condizione vi è un aumento della ventilazione e quindi della dose di inquinante che raggiunge il polmone. Alcuni studi hanno dimostrato che sia l’ozono che l’NO2 possono aumentare i sintomi respiratori in queste condizioni. (McConnell) All’inquinamento atmosferico contribuiscono sia gli inquinanti degli ambienti esterni che quelli degli ambienti interni e poichè i residenti dei Paesi industrialiazzati trascorrono il 9095% del tempo in ambienti chiusi è fondamentale considerare tale tipo di inquinamento. Studi recenti sembrano anzi indicare che, se l’inquinamento esterno è correlato ad esacerbazioni asmatiche, quello interno potrebbe essere implicato anche nell’aumento dell’incidenza della patologia.(Stone) In particolare per quanto riguarda l’esposizione al fumo di sigaretta vi sono evidenze sufficienti per stabilire una relazione causale tra l’esposizione ad esso e lo sviluppo di asma (Insitute of Medicine). Alcuni Autori hanno messo in relazione il fumo materno, sia in gravidanza che nel primo anno di vita, con una riduzione nei parametri di funzionalità respiratoria, come riflesso di modificazioni nel calibro o nella geometria delle vie aeree. (Dezateux) Gli altri principali inquinanti interni sono rappresentati dall’ossido nitrico, dagli ossidi di azoto, dal monossido di carbonio, dall’anidride carbonica, dall’anidride solforosa, dalla formaldeide, e da sostanze di natura biologica come le endotossine. Le principali fonti di inquinamento che si trovano comunemente nelle case sono le cucine alimentate a gas liquidi, il riscaldamento a metano e legna, gli arredi contenenti gommapiuma, colla, isolanti termici. In conclusione vi sono ampie evidenze che l’inquinamento ambientale possa essere alla base di riacutizzazioni asmatiche, ma appare improbabile che possa giustificare il trend secolare di aumento dell’asma. E’ importante non sottovalutare l’inquinamento interno, in particolare l’esposizione dei bambini al fumo di sigaretta che è sicuramente altrettanto dannoso e forse più facile da prevenire ed evitare. Riferimenti bibliografici -von Mutius E, Fritzsch C, Weiland SK, Roll G, Magnussen H. Prevalence of asthma and allergic disorders among children in united Germany: a descriptive comparison. BMJ 1992;305:1395-1399. -Venn AJ, Lewis SA, Cooper M, Hubbard R, Britton J. Living near a main road and the risk of wheezing illness in children. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2001; 164:2177-2180. -Gehring U., Cyrys J., Sedlmeir G, et al. Traffic related air pollution and respiratory health during the first 2 years of life. Eur Respir J 2002; 19:690-698 -Brunekreef B, Suyer J. Asthma, rhinitis and air pollution: is traffic to blame?. Eur Respr J 2003; 21:913-915. -Heinrich J. Nonallergic respiratory morbidity improved along with a decline of traditional air pollution levels: a review. Eur Respir J 2003; 21: 64s-69s. -Heinrich J, Hoelscher B, wichmann HE. Decline of ambient air pollution and respiratory symptoms in children. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2000;161:1930-1936. -Brauer M, Hoek G, Van Vliet P, Meliefste K, Fischer PHWijga A. Air pollution from traffic and the development of respiratory infections and asthmatic and allergic symptoms in children. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2002; 166:1092-1098. -Mc Connell R, Berhane K, Gilliland F, Molitor J, Thomas D, Lurmann F, et al. Prospective study of air pollution and bronchitic symptoms in children with asthma. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2003; 168:790-797. -Curie GP. Exposure to nitrogen dioxide may be associated with severità of virus related asthma exacerbations. Thorax 2003; 58:802 -Gaudermann WJ, Gilliland FG, Vora H, Avol E, Stram D, McConnell R. Association between air pollution and lung function growth in southern california children.Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2002; 166:76-84. -Sydbom A, Blomberg A, Parnia S, Stenfors N, Sandstrom T, Dahlen SE. Helath effects of diesel exhaust emissions. Eur Respir J 2001; 17:733-746. -Van Vliet P, Knape M, de Hartog J, Harssema H, Brunekreef B. Motor vehicle exhaust and chronic respiratory symptoms in children living near freeways. Environ Res 1997;74:122-132. -Ruth A, Etzel MD. How enviromental exposures influence the development and exacerbation of asthma. Pediatrics 2003;112:233-239 -Stone V.Enviromental air pollution. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2000; 162 :S44-S47. -Institute of Medicine, Committee on the Assessment of Asthma and indoor Air. Clearing the air: Asthma and Indoor Air Exposures. Washington,DC: National Academy Press;2000 -Dezateux C, Stocks J, Wade AM, Dundas I, Fletcher ME. Airway function at one year: association with premorbid airway function, wheezing, and maternal smoking. Thorax 2001;56:680-686 Airway Inflammation in Childhood Asthma Angelo Barbato, Graziella Turato, Simonetta Baraldo, Erica Bazzan, Fiorella Calabrese, Maria Tura, Renzo Zuin, Bianca Beghé, Piero Maestrelli, Leonardo M. Fabbri, and Marina Saetta Department of Pediatrics; Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Section of Respiratory Diseases; Department of Respiratory Diseases and Radiology, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia; Institute of Pathology; and Department of Environmental Medicine and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy Airway pathology has been extensively investigated in adulthood asthma, whereas only few studies examined bronchial biopsies in childhood asthma. To evaluate the airway pathology in children with asthma, we analyzed bronchial biopsies obtained from 23 children undergoing bronchoscopy for clinical indications other than asthma. Nine had mild/moderate asthma. Six had atopy without asthma, and eight had no atopy or asthma. We measured basement membrane thickness and quantified the number of eosinophils, mast cells, neutrophils, macrophages, T lymphocytes, and positive cells for transforming growth factor-1 (TGF-1) and its receptors I and II (TGF-RI and TGF-RII) in subepithelium. Children with asthma had an increase in basement membrane thickness and in the number of eosinophils compared with control subjects, but not compared with children with atopy. They also had a decreased expression of TGF-RII compared with both those with atopy and control subjects. In children with asthma, the number of eosinophils correlated negatively with TGF-RII and positively with symptom duration. In conclusion, airway eosinophilia and basement membrane thickening, which are the pathologic features that are characteristic of adulthood asthma, are already present in children with mild asthma, and even in children with atopy without asthma. Moreover, in children with asthma but not in children with atopy without asthma, there is a downregulation of TGF-RII. Keywords: inflammation; remodeling; pediatric asthma; cytokines Airway inflammation and remodeling play an important role in the pathophysiology of asthma. Although the airway pathology has been extensively investigated in adulthood asthma, only a few studies examined bronchial biopsies obtained from children with asthma (1). Investigating the airway pathology in childhood asthma may be of interest to clarify whether the pathologic features seen in adults begin early in the course of the disease and whether remodeling occurs in parallel with inflammation or sequential to it. Previous studies (2, 3) have described the presence of both inflammation and thickening of the basement membrane in children with asthma. However, in those studies, only a qualitative analysis was performed, and a control group of children without asthma was not included. More recently, Payne and coworkers (4), in a quantitative well-conducted study, demonstrated that children with difficult asthma had a thickened basement membrane as compared with pediatric control subjects and that this thickening was similar to that seen in adulthood asthma. However, as stated by the authors, the children examined in that study are not typical of the majority of children with (Received in original form May 14, 2003; accepted in final form July 26, 2003) Supported by the Ministry of University and Research. Correspondence and requests for reprints should be addressed to Marina Saetta, M.D., Divisione di Pneumologia, Dipartimento di Medicina Clinica e Sperimentale, Università degli Studi di Padova, via Giustiniani 3, 35128 Padua, Italy. E-mail: [email protected] Am J Respir Crit Care Med Vol 168. pp 798–803, 2003 Originally Published in Press as DOI: 10.1164/rccm.200305-650OC on July 31, 2003 Internet address: www.atsjournals.org asthma but represent those with the most severe disease, with persistent symptoms despite maximal steroid therapy. Furthermore, that study did not include a control group of children with atopy without asthma. Therefore, it is yet to be elucidated whether inflammation and remodeling can be already observed in children when the disease is mild or even when only atopy is present. There is accumulating evidence to suggest that transforming growth factor-1 (TGF-1) may be involved in orchestrating both inflammatory and remodeling processes in asthma. TGF-1 is a pleiotropic cytokine that through binding to its type I and type II receptors (TGF-RI and TGF-RII) can exert a number of biological effects, including profibrotic and antiinflammatory activities (5, 6). Although some studies in human asthma have shown an increased expression of TGF-1 (7–9), underlining its profibrotic role, other studies have demonstrated an antiinflammatory activity of this cytokine (10, 11). It could be of interest to investigate the expression of TGF-1 and its receptors in childhood asthma, when the onset of inflammation and remodeling processes is probably occurring. As far as we know, no study has addressed the issue to quantify the airway inflammatory and structural changes in children with mild/moderate asthma and to compare them with the appropriate pediatric control subjects, in particular with children with atopy without asthma. We therefore decided to measure the inflammatory cells and the basement membrane thickness in bronchial biopsies of children with mild/moderate asthma, of children with atopy but without asthma, and of children with no atopy or asthma. Moreover, to clarify the role of TGF-1 in airway inflammation and remodeling, we examined the expression of TGF-1, TGF-RI, and TGF-RII in the three groups of children. Some of the results of these studies have been previously reported in the form of an abstract at the 2003 Meeting of the American Thoracic Society (Seattle, WA) (12). METHODS Subjects We recruited to the study 23 children who had undergone fiberoptic bronchoscopy for appropriate clinical indications other than asthma (13, 14). The study population included the following three groups: nine children with asthma (age of 4–12 years), six children with atopy without asthma (age of 3–13 years), and eight control children without asthma or atopy (age of 4–12 years). Children with asthma underwent bronchoscopy for persistent atelectasis (n ⫽ 3) or for recurrent pneumonia (n ⫽ 6). Children with atopy without asthma underwent bronchoscopy for stridor (n ⫽ 1), persistent atelectasis (n ⫽ 1), or recurrent pneumonia (n ⫽ 4). Children who were control subjects underwent bronchoscopy for stridor (n ⫽ 2), persistent atelectasis (n ⫽ 1), recurrent pneumonia (n ⫽ 3), or chronic cough (n ⫽ 2). Asthma was diagnosed when the child had episodic cough, breathlessness, and a wheeze responsive to bronchodilators (15). The presence of atopy was defined by an increase in total (paper-radio-immunosorbent-test) or specific (radio-allergo-sorbent-test) IgE. All children Barbato, Turato, Baraldo, et al.: Pathology of Asthma in Children of the three groups underwent paper-radio-immuno-sorbent-test, radioallergo-sorbent-test, and routine blood tests, whereas spirometry was performed only in children who were able to cooperate with the test. FEV1 was measured using a 10-L bell spirometer (Biomedin, Padua, Italy), and the best of three maneuvers was expressed as a percentage of predicted values (16). Performance of endobronchial biopsy for studying airway pathology was approved by local ethics committees. Informed consent was obtained from the children’s parents. The study was performed according to the Declaration of Helsinki. Bronchoscopy was performed as previously described (17), except that the fiberoptic bronchoscope was inserted orally using a mouth Olympus MA-651 (K). One bronchial biopsy specimen was taken from the main carina using a bronchial forceps (Olympus FB 15 C-1) inserted through the service channel of the bronchoscope. Sample Processing and Analysis Biopsies were processed as previously described (18). Reticular basement membrane thickness was assessed on sections stained with hematoxylin and eosin by making measurements at 50-m intervals along all the basement membrane, using a computer-aided image analysis (Casti Imaging, Venice, Italy). The infiltration of eosinophils, neutrophils, mast cells, macrophages, and CD4 T lymphocytes was assessed in the subepithelium by immunohistochemistry as previously described (19). The expression of TGF-1, TGF-RI, and TGF-RII was assessed in the subepithelium using immunohistochemical methods. Briefly, all biopsy sections were subjected to antigen retrieval by heating in a microwave oven on high power for 8 minutes in 0.01 mol/L citrate buffer (pH 6.0) and then incubated with a mouse monoclonal antibody anti–TGF-1 (150 g/ml, dilution 1:20; Genzyme Diagnostics, Cambridge, MA) with a polyclonal antibody anti–TGF-1 receptor type I (200 g/ml, dilution 1:200; Santa Cruz Biotechnology Inc., Santa Cruz, CA) or with a polyclonal antibody anti–TGF-RII (200 g/ml, dilution 1:200; Santa Cruz Biotechnology Inc.). Before incubation with primary antibody, the sections were treated with a biotin blocking kit (Vector Laboratories, Peterborough, UK) to inhibit endogenous biotin. The detection system was performed using the Vectastain ABC kit (Vector Laboratories) with 3-amino-9-ethylcarbazole as the chromogenic substrate. Sections were counterstained with Mayer’s hematoxylin. The surface epithelial layer was not included in the count because of the frequent erosion or loss by technical misprocessing. To avoid observer bias, the cases were coded, and the measurements were made without knowledge of clinical data. Differences between groups were analyzed using the analysis of variance for clinical data and the Kruskall-Wallis test for histologic data. The Mann-Whitney U test was performed after Kruskall-Wallis test when appropriate. Correlation coefficients were calculated using Spearman’s rank method. Probability values of 0.05 or less were accepted as significant. Group data were expressed as means and SEM or as medians and range when appropriate. 799 with asthma, four of six children with atopy, and five of eight control subjects. Children with asthma had a FEV1 value (percentage of predicted) that was significantly lower than control children (p ⫽ 0.008). The three groups of children were similar with regard to age and sex. Six out of nine children with asthma were atopic. The bronchoscopy procedure was well tolerated by all children. Seven of nine children with asthma had mild asthma and were treated with only inhaled salbutamol when needed. The remaining two children had moderate asthma and were treated regularly with combined salmeterol/fluticasone (50/100 twice a day in one child and 50/250 twice a day in the other child). All children with recurrent pneumonia (n ⫽ 13) were in treatment with antibiotics. To confirm further the absence of asthma in children with atopy without asthma, we performed exercise challenge in those children who were able to cooperate with the test (three out of six). None of them had a fall in FEV1 that was 15% or more after exercise. Biopsy Findings Quantification of inflammatory cells was satisfactory in all children except in one of the group with asthma and in one of the control group in whom we could quantify only eosinophils and basement membrane thickness because of the limited amount of biopsy tissue. For the same reason, we were not able to quantify TGF-1 and its receptors in one child in the group with atopy. Children with asthma had an increased reticular basement membrane thickness as compared with children who were control subjects (6.0, 4.5–9.5 vs. 4.2, 3.3–4.9; p ⫽ 0.001) (Figures 1 and 2). Even if to a lesser extent, also children with atopy showed an increased basement membrane thickness as compared with children who were control subjects (4.9, 4.2–6.6 vs. 4.2, 3.3–4.9; p ⫽ 0.052) (Figure 1). In addition, both children with atopy without asthma and children with asthma had an increased number of eosinophils in the subepithelium as compared with children who were control subjects (p ⫽ 0.033 and p ⫽ 0.038, respectively) (Figures 3 and 4 and Table 2). No significant difference was observed between children with atopy and with asthma in the reticular basement membrane thickness or in the eosinophilic infiltration. Of the two children taking inhaled steroids, one had a value of tissue eosinophils in the range of control subjects (48 RESULTS Clinical Findings The characteristic of the children studied are shown in Table 1. Spirometry was successfully performed in six of nine children TABLE 1. CLINICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF CHILDREN WITH ASTHMA, CHILDREN WITH ATOPY, AND CONTROL CHILDREN Characteristics Number, male/female Age, yr Age range, yr Atopy Duration of asthma, yr FEV1, % predicted Children with Asthma Children with Atopy Control Children 5/4 8⫾1 4–12 6/9 5.7 ⫾ 1.2 79 ⫾ 5* 3/3 7⫾1 4–12 6/6 — 90 ⫾ 2 3/5 7⫾1 3–13 0/8 — 102 ⫾ 4 Values are expressed as absolute numbers or as means ⫾ SEM. * p ⬍ 0.01 as compared with control children. Figure 1. Individual values for reticular basement membrane thickness in bronchial biopsies of children with asthma, children with atopy, and children who were control subjects. Horizontal bars represent median values. The asterisk indicates children with asthma who were not atopic; S indicates children with asthma who were treated with inhaled steroids. 800 AMERICAN JOURNAL OF RESPIRATORY AND CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE VOL 168 2003 Figure 2. Microphotograph showing bronchial biopsies from a child with asthma (A ) and a control child (B ), demonstrating an increased basement membrane thickness in the child with asthma. The tissue sections are stained with hematoxylin and eosin. Original magnification, ⫻630. cells/mm2), whereas the other had a prominent tissue eosinophilia (338 cells/mm2). No significant differences were observed among the three groups of subjects in the number of neutrophils, mast cells, CD4⫹ T lymphocytes, and macrophages (Table 2). The expression of TGF-1 and TGF-RI was not significantly different in the three groups of children examined (Table 2). However, children with asthma had a decreased expression of TGF-RII in the subepithelium as compared with both children with atopy and children who were control subjects (p ⫽ 0.004 and p ⫽ 0.047, respectively; Figure 5). When only the group of children with asthma was considered, the number of eosinophils in the airway wall showed a negative correlation with TGF-RII expression (p ⫽ 0.035, r ⫽ ⫺0.86) and a positive correlation with the duration of asthma symptoms (p ⫽ 0.020, r ⫽ 0.79). No other significant correlations were observed between cellular counts and functional data or between reticular basement membrane thickness and cellular counts or functional data. DISCUSSION This study shows that the pathologic features characteristic of adulthood asthma, that is, airway eosinophilia and basement membrane thickening, are already present in children with mild/ Figure 3. Individual counts for eosinophils in bronchial biopsies of children with asthma, children with atopy, and control children. The results are expressed as number of cells per mm2 of tissue examined. Horizontal bars represent median values. The asterisk indicates children with asthma who were not atopic; S indicates children with asthma who were treated with inhaled steroids. moderate asthma. Moreover, in children with asthma, these pathologic features are paralleled by a decreased expression of TGF-RII. Children with atopy without asthma also exhibit an increase in number of eosinophils and, even if to a lesser extent, in basement membrane thickness. By showing that basement membrane thickening is already present in childhood asthma, this study confirms the qualitative observations of previous reports (2, 3). The only study that provided quantitative measurements of basement membrane thickness in childhood asthma has been performed in children with difficult asthma, that is, in children with persistent symptoms despite maximal conventional therapy (4). Moreover, a group of children with atopy without asthma, which, according to the authors, would be the most appropriate control group, was not included in that report. Therefore, to the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to provide a quantification of basement membrane thickening in children with mild/moderate asthma and to compare the results with those of two appropriate pediatric control groups, that is, a group of children with atopy but without asthma and a group of children with no atopy or asthma. Our observation of an increased number of eosinophils in bronchial biopsies of children with asthma may appear to be in disagreement with previous studies (3, 20). Cokugras and coworkers (3) showed that eosinophilic inflammation was present only in 1 of 10 children with moderate asthma, and Payne and coworkers (20) found that the number of eosinophils in children with difficult asthma was not different from that of children without asthma. However, children examined in those studies had been treated with high doses of inhaled (3) or oral steroids (20), which may have reduced the number of eosinophils. In our study, only two children with asthma were treated with inhaled steroids; thus in the majority of children, we obtained objective measurements of inflammatory cells without the influence of antiinflammatory drugs. The eosinophilic inflammation observed in our study is in keeping with the pioneer observation of Cutz and coworkers, who described a prominent eosinophilia in two endobronchial biopsies and two autopsy samples of children with asthma (2). Moreover, previous studies performed in bronchoalveolar lavage and induced sputum of children with asthma reported an increased number of eosinophils, which was related to the degree of bronchial hyperresponsiveness (21, 22). More recently, analysis of exhaled breath condensate confirmed the presence of an airway inflammatory process in childhood asthma (15, 23). In this report, airway eosinophilia and, even if to a lesser extent, also basement membrane thickening were already present in Barbato, Turato, Baraldo, et al.: Pathology of Asthma in Children 801 Fi gu re 4. Microphotograph showing bronchial biopsies from a child with asthma (A ) and a control child (B ), demonstrating an increased number of eosinophils infiltrating the subepithelium in the child with asthma. Immunostaining with monoclonal antibody anti–EG-2 (positive cells are stained in red). Original magnification, ⫻630. children with atopy without asthma. The relationship between these pathologic changes, atopy, and asthma symptoms is difficult to establish, especially in children. Indeed, early allergic sensitization seems to play an important role in the development of persistent asthma in the first years of life (24). It can be hypothesized that airway inflammation and remodeling are early lesions that may occur even before the establishment of the disordered lung function characteristic of the disease. On the other hand, as not all children with atopy will eventually develop asthma (25, 26), it is also plausible that these pathologic lesions are not directly related to functional abnormalities. This hypothesis is consistent with the findings of previous studies that reported that basement membrane thickening and airway eosinophilia are present in adults with atopy without asthma (27–30). One generally accepted hypothesis is that in asthma, airway remodeling is dependent on the prior development of chronic inflammation. Our observation of the presence of both thickening of basement membrane and airway eosinophilia in children with mild asthma suggests that remodeling processes begin early in the course of the disease and most likely occur in parallel with the establishment of the chronic inflammation rather than sequential to it. To assess the role of TGF-1 in modulating the pathways leading to airway remodeling and inflammation, we examined the expression of this cytokine and its receptors in children with asthma. TGF-1 is a pleiotropic cytokine that can exert both profibrotic and antiinflammatory activities. The increased expression of TGF-1 observed in adults with asthma (7–9) has been traditionally related to tissue repairing processes occurring in the airways damaged by inflammatory cells. It has been hypothesized that the persistent activity of TGF-1, induced by chronic inflammation, might have detrimental consequences such as subepithelial fibrosis and airway remodeling (5). How- ever, other studies have demonstrated that this cytokine may have antiinflammatory activities as well (10, 11), probably through the induction of apoptosis of inflammatory cells, particularly eosinophils (31). In our study, the expression of TGF-1 was similar in the three groups of children examined, whereas the expression of TGF-RII was decreased in children with asthma as compared with both children with atopy and children who were control subjects. These findings suggest that TGF-1 signaling may be downregulated in childhood asthma and therefore may be unable to exert its antiinflammatory activity. This hypothesis is supported by the negative correlation observed between the number of TGF-RII⫹ cells and the number of eosinophils in children with asthma. Conversely, neither TGF-1 nor its receptors were correlated with basement membrane thickness, suggesting that the profibrotic activity of this cytokine does not contribute to airway remodeling in childhood asthma. Interestingly, in our population of children, the downregulation of TGF-RII expression was the only pathologic feature that was able to differentiate children with asthma from children with atopy without asthma, despite the presence of a similar eosinophilia and a similar basement membrane thickening in the two groups of children. These findings suggest a possible role for the impaired TGF- signaling in the clinical manifestations of asthma in childhood. A potential weakness of this study is that all children underwent bronchoscopy for specific clinical indications other than asthma (recurrent pneumonia, persistent atelectasis, chronic cough, and stridor) (13, 14), and the presence of these pathologic conditions, particularly pneumonia, could have influenced the results. However, because these conditions were equally distributed in children with asthma, children with atopy, and children who were control subjects, we feel rather confident that our observation of the presence of pathologic lesions in children TABLE 2. CELLULAR COUNTS IN THE SUBEPITHELIUM Children with Asthma Eosinophils Neutrophils Mast cells CD4 T-lymphocytes Macrophages TGF1⫹ cells TGF-RI⫹ cells TGF-RII⫹ cells 48 87 23 89 175 182 623 179 (13–376)* (16–244) (0–132) (42–535) (56–344) (66–354) (291–1167) (47–332)*† Children with Atopy 81 98 93 259 138 172 550 543 (8–330)* (19–225) (0–213) (97–357) (68–225) (78–372) (308–1381) (391–676) Control Children 15 (0–72) 90 (38–268) 56 (0–157) 213 (11–316) 137 (11–244) 87 (9–470) 952 (196–1,092) 479 (71–948) Definition of abbreviations: TGF-1 ⫽ transforming growth factor-1; TGF-RI ⫽ TGF- receptor I; TGF-RII ⫽ TGF- receptor II. Values are expressed as cells/mm2. Values are expressed as median (range). * p ⬍ 0.05 as compared with control children. § p ⬍ 0.05 as compared with children with atopy. 802 AMERICAN JOURNAL OF RESPIRATORY AND CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE VOL 168 2003 Acknowledgment : The authors thank Dr. Cristina Panizzolo for helping with the clinical selection of patients and Mrs. Elisabetta Baliello and Giuseppa Castriciano for assistance with staining the biopsies for TGF-. References Figure 5. Individual counts for TGF-RII⫹ cells in bronchial biopsies of children with asthma, children with atopy, and control children. The results are expressed as number of cells/mm2 of tissue examined. Horizontal bars represent median values. with atopy and asthma but not in normal control subjects is valid. Moreover, biopsies from children undergoing bronchoscopy for clinical indications other than asthma are the only specimens allowing direct examination of airway pathology in children with mild asthma, which would be otherwise impossible for ethical reasons (32). Another limitation of our report is the low power of the study because of the small number of subjects in each group. However, this is a common problem in biopsy studies, especially in children, in whom invasive maneuvers are more problematic. Even if only multicenter studies collecting high numbers of biopsies could overcome these difficulties, we believe that our study provides preliminary data that could prove useful for the design of future research in this field. Finally, we should acknowledge that because our population included very young children, we performed only one biopsy per child, thus introducing a possible sample error. Despite all of these limitations, we believe that studies on bronchial biopsies provide a unique opportunity to investigate airway inflammation and remodeling in childhood asthma. In conclusion, this study shows that airway eosinophilia and basement membrane thickening, which are the pathologic features characteristic of adulthood asthma, are already present in children with mild asthma and even in children with atopy without asthma. Moreover, we found that in children with asthma, but not in children with atopy without asthma, there is a downregulation of TGF-RII. Conflict of Interest Statement : A.B. has no declared conflict of interest; G.T. has no declared conflict of interest; S.B. has no declared conflict of interest; E.B. has no declared conflict of interest; F.C. has no declared conflict of interest; M.T. has no declared conflict of interest; R.Z. has no declared conflict of interest; B.B. has no declared conflict of interest; P.M. has no declared conflict of interest; L.M.F. has been reimbursed by industries for attending several conferences, has participated as a speaker in scientific meetings or courses organized and financed by various pharmaceutical companies (AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Byk Gulden– Altana, Ciesi Farmaceutici, GlaxoSmithKline, Menarini, Merck, Sharpe & Dohme, Schering Plough), served as a consultant to AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Byk Gulden–Altana, Ciesi Farmaceutici, GlaxoSmithKline, Miat, Roche, Schering Plough and received honoraria for speaking at sponsored conferences and received research grants for participating in multi-center clinical trials and his institution has received educational and research grants from many pharmaceutical companies; M.S. has been reimbursed by various pharmaceutical companies (GlaxoSmithKline, AstraZeneca and Merck, Sharpe & Dohme) for attending several conferences and has participated as a speaker in scientific meetings or courses organized and financed by GlaxoSmithKline, AstraZeneca and Merck, Sharpe & Dohme. 1. 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Copyright # ERS Journals Ltd 2003 European Respiratory Journal ISSN 0903-1936 Eur Respir J 2003; 21: 913–915 DOI: 10.1083/09031936.03.00014903 Printed in UK – all rights reserved EDITORIAL Asthma, rhinitis and air pollution: is traf c to blame? B. Brunekreef* , J. Sunyer# 12 This issue of the European Respiratory Journal contains two papers that contribute to a growing body of evidence incriminating traf c fumes in respiratory disease. NICOLAI et al. [1] report a cross-sectional study that nds signi cant associations between traf c counts and exposure to traf crelated air pollution on the one hand and current asthma, wheeze and cough on the other. In a sub-group of children exposed to environmental tobacco smoke, traf c counts are also related to allergic sensitisation. LEE et al. [2] report a large questionnaire survey from Taiwan, in which a composite measure of exposure to traf c-related air pollution is found to be associated with physician-diagnosed allergic rhinitis. A parallel analysis reported previously [3] found a similar association between traf c-related air pollution and physiciandiagnosed as well as questionnaire-reported asthma. How do these studies relate to earlier work on air pollution and childhood respiratory illness? How do they relate to earlier work on traf c-related pollution? Large-scale, cross-sectional studies on air pollution and respiratory outcomes in children have been reported from the USA [4], Switzerland [5], Canada [6] and Austria [7]. The US and Swiss studies found associations between some air pollutants (especially ne particles) and cough and bronchitis symptoms, the Canadian study found no relationships and the Austrian study documented associations between nitrogen dioxide (NO2; described as a marker for traf c-related air pollution) and asthma, wheeze and cough. East/West comparisons have generally highlighted high bronchitis and cough prevalence in the East, which were ascribed to "classical" pollution, consisting of sulphur dioxide (SO2) and particles [8], with higher rhinitis in the West. A recent study from California, USA, found an association between wheeze prevalence and the air pollution components, acid and NO2. Taken together, these ndings suggest that society is witnessing a transition from classical pollution, dominated by SO2 and particles generated by coal and oil combustion, with the effects primarily on cough and bronchitis, to pollution mixtures dominated by traf c exhausts represented by NO2, with effects on wheeze and perhaps asthma prevalence. It is important to look at what precisely is the de nition of asthma in some of these studies. The paper by NICOLAI et al. [1] de nes asthma as a report by parents that a doctor has diagnosed asthma at least once or that a doctor has diagnosed asthmatic, spastic or obstructive bronchitis more than once. This de nition therefore includes, to some extent, symptoms that may be bronchitic rather than asthmatic. "Current asthma" is then de ned as a combination of asthma and wheeze symptoms occurring in the past year. The study *Institute for Risk Assessment Sciences, Utrecht University, the Netherlands and #Institut Municipal d9Investigatio Medica, Barcelona, Spain. Correspondence: B. Brunekreef, Institute for Risk Assessment Sciences, Utrecht University, PO Box 80176, 3508 TD, Utrecht, the Netherlands. Fax: 31 302535077. E-mail: [email protected] performed by GUO et al. [3] in Taiwan used two de nitions: the rst was the parental report of a doctor9s diagnosis of asthma at any point throughout life; the second reported dyspnoea and nocturnal dyspnoea associated with wheezing and/or attacks of dyspnoea with wheezing and/or physiciandiagnosed asthma. Although both studies used the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) questionnaire to collect symptom and diagnosis data, the construction of the asthma variables used in the analysis was different, so that a direct comparison becomes dif cult. The study by NICOLAI et al. [1] is one of the few in the literature that has investigated bronchial hyperresponsiveness in relation to air pollution, only to nd that there was no association. Another ISAAC study, conducted in France, found that "wheeze in the last 12 months" and "asthma ever" were related to ozone but not SO2 and NO2 in a simple regression analysis. However, all associations disappeared after adjustment for a family history of asthma, early childhood respiratory disease and socioeconomical status [9]. Surely, the worldwide variation in the prevalence of asthma is so large that it seems unlikely that traf c-related air pollution is a major determinant of this variation [10]. Nevertheless, it seems the respiratory arena is gradually seeing more data suggesting that asthma prevalence may, to some extent, be determined by air pollution, especially traf c-related air pollution, and that it may not just be a factor triggering attacks in patients with developed asthma. A recent longitudinal report suggesting that children exercising in a high ozone area developed more asthma is another piece of evidence that makes the respiratory eld more hesitant to say that air pollution does not induce new asthma cases [11]. The new studies from Taiwan add further observations on air pollution and allergic rhinitis to previous ndings. Surprisingly few air pollution studies have addressed allergic rhinitis as an endpoint. A report from Leipzig, Germany [12], investigated upper respiratory symptoms, including runny nose, cough and hoarseness and found these to be related to high SO2 levels and intermediate particulate matter (PM) and NOx (NOzNO2) levels. The French ISAAC study found no relationship whatsoever between air pollution and allergic rhinitis [9]. Other reports show that rhinoconjunctivitis symptoms are increased with higher concentrations of ozone and NO2, and, to a lesser extent, PM10 [13], and that daily consultations, with a general practitioner for allergic rhinitis, increases with ozone and SO2 [14]. It is clear that more studies are needed on air pollution and allergic rhinitis. How could traf c-related air pollution in uence asthma and allergic rhinitis? Experimental evidence obtained in studies on human volunteers, animals and in vitro test systems, suggest that diesel exhaust particles have the capability to: 1) enhance immunological responses to allergens; and 2) elicit in ammatory reactions in the airways at relatively low concentrations and short exposure durations [15–22]. The promoting role of NO2 in the allergen response has also been reported, but only in a few studies on asthmatics [23]. It is 914 B. BRUNEKREEF, J. SUNYER dif cult, in observational studies, to separate effects of pollutants from different types of vehicles. Questionnaire studies do suggest that perhaps heavy traf c powered by diesel engines is more harmful when compared with light traf c powered by gasoline engines [24–26]. Work undertaken in the Netherlands that was able to use objective traf c counts as exposure metrics suggested the same [27–29]. The use of geographical information systems to obtain more accurate measures of exposure to traf c-related air pollution, as in the study by NICOLAI et al. [1], has increased. The power of such systems was well illustrated by two subsequent analyses from Nottingham, UK. The rst found no relationship between traf c activity and wheeze in school children when analysing traf c activity in the living area in tertiles [30]. When the same material was analysed for children living within short distances of major roads, a clear relationship with wheeze was observed [31]. Similarly, the use of data on home location with respect to roads and traf c density on those roads resulted in observations of signi cant relationship with: 1) respiratory hospital admission rates in Toronto, Canada [32]; 2) rates of childhood asthma hospitalisation in New York, USA [33]; and 3) childhood asthma medical care visits in San Diego County, USA [34]. These and other studies suggest that improvement of accuracy and precision of exposure classi cation helps to detect associations between adverse respiratory outcomes in children and, in a few studies, adults. The Taiwan studies [2, 3] have used factor analysis to develop one indicator variable to characterise traf c-related air pollution. Not surprisingly, the primary pollutants, carbon monoxide and NOx, contribute strongly and positively to this factor. However, at the same time, ozone has a negative loading, most likely related to the well-known fact that ozone concentrations are low in areas where primary emission concentrations are high. The interpretation then becomes complicated. Surely the associations found should not be interpreted as showing a protective effect of ozone but rather as suggesting an important role for primary combustion products from traf c. There are only a few other studies that have used pollution factors, rather than single components, as exposure variables. In one example, factor analysis was used to estimate the contribution of various sources to ambient PM2.5 concentrations [35]. PM2.5 from motor vehicles and coal combustion, but not from crustal sources, was found to be related to daily mortality in that particular case. The two studies published in this issue of the European Respiratory Journal not only contribute to the present knowledge of the effects of traf c-related pollution, but also show new direction for exposure assessment methods that may help to improve traf c studies in the future. References 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Nicolai T, Carr D, Weiland SK, et al. Urban traf c and pollutant exposure related to respiratory outcomes and atopy in a large sample of children. Eur Respir J 2003; 21: 956–963. Lee Y-L, Shaw C-K, Su H-J, et al. 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E-mail: [email protected] (1) Ennio Cadum, Area di Epidemiologia Ambientale ARPA Piemonte Dario Mirabelli, Unità di Epidemiologia dei Tumori, Ospedale San Giovanni Battista di Torino e Centro di riferimento per la Prevenzione Oncologica CPO Piemonte Alessandro Borgini, Istituto Nazionale per lo Studio e la Cura dei Tumori, Milano Emma Porro, Dipartimento di Varese, ARPA Lombardia (1) a cui inviare la corrispondenza Una precedente versione del presente contributo è stata pubblicata su New Directions / Atmospheric Environment 36 (2002) 4705–4706 Riassunto: Effetti sulla salute dell’inquinamento atmosferico sulla mortalità sono stati osservati sia a breve sia a lungo termine. I primi non costuiscono una semplice anticipazione di eventi destinati comunque a manifestarsi ma rappresentano il riflesso di un generale peggioramento delle condizioni di salute della popolazione che patisce effetti molto più importanti a lungo termine. L’articolo propone una visione unificante dei due fenomeni ed un metodo per calcolarne l’entità. Parole chiave: inquinamento atmosferico, impatto sulla salute, mortalità naturale Abstract: Air pollution is associated with short- and long-term effects on “natural” mortality. Both can be viewed as the worsening of population health, more pronounced for long-term effects. A method for estimating this burden is proposed Key words: air pollution, health impact, natural mortality L’inquinamento atmosferico è un importante determinante della salute pubblica. Studi sugli effetti a breve termine (“serie temporali”) hanno mostrato una sistematica associazione dei livelli di inquinamento atmosferico con la mortalità generale (“naturale”) e altri effetti negativi 1 sulla salute. Nonostante l’inquinamento atmosferico comprenda svariati composti, il PM 10, la concentrazione di particolato con dimensione inferiore a 10 µm, rappresenta una delle misure più utili tenuto conto della sua ben stabilita associazione con effetti negativi sulla salute e della plausibilità biologica 2,3 dei meccanismi d’azione. Il particolato è infatti in grado di provocare infiammazione delle parti profonde del polmone, alterare la coagulabilità del sangue 4, sino a penetrare nel torrente circolatorio 5. E’ stato spe sso sostenuto che nel breve termine l’inquinamento atmosferico anticipi solamente delle morti che non sarebbero ad ogni modo evitabili. Schwartz 3 e Zanobetti et al. 6 hanno però evidenziato che ciò non è del tutto vero, e che invece quando l’inquinamento atmosferico aumenta vi sono sì eccessi di mortalità causati dalle morti anticipate di particolari soggetti malati (questo effetto è chiamato in inglese “harvesting” cioè “mietitura”) ma questi eccessi non sono poi seguiti compensati da alcun successivo deficit di mortalità. Questo significa che l’inquinamento atmosferico non solo uccide persone tra la categoria ad alto rischio, ma fa pure affluire nuovi individui in questa categoria. Quindi le serie temporali danno una stima delle morti “extra” che avvengono in pochi giorni ma che sono anticipate da mesi a anni 3 rispetto a quanto si sarebbe visto in assenza di inquinamento. Ostro 7 ha illustrato come questo numero di decessi può essere stimato in modo semplice moltiplicando la differenza tra il livello medio annuale di PM10 e un livello “desiderabile” più basso di PM10 per l’aumento del rischio di morte per ogni unità di PM10. Per esempio, dati forniti dall’ARPA lombarda indicano per Milano un livello medio annuale di PM10 di 59 µg/m3 mentre le morti da cause naturali sono in media 10.580 all’anno (dati 1990 -1997). Studi di serie temporali a Milano 8 indicano uno 0,06 % di aumento nella mortalità “naturale” per ogni aumento di PM10 di 1 µg/m3. Se il livello di PM10 fosse stato di 40, obiettivo programmato dall’Unione Europea 9 per il 2005, invece che 59 vi sarebbero state (59-40)x 0,06=1,14% morti “naturali” in meno, o in altre parole 148 morti sarebbero state posticipate. Tale proiezione è una stima conservativa: le analisi di serie temporali 10 sottostimano il vero impatto dell’inquinamento atmosferico; inoltre considerare il solo PM10 invece che l’intera gamma di inquinanti atmosferici (CO, SO2, N0x, etc.) ha anch’esso un probabile effetto di sottostima del reale impatto negativo. Gli studi serie temporali non rilevano gli effetti di esposizioni cumulative. Studi a lungo termine di coorti 11,12 hanno evidenziato che livelli più alti di inquinamento atmosferico sono associati ad una aumentata mortalità. Tali risultati non sono influenzati dal fumo di tabacco o da altri potenziali confondenti e indicano una mortalità considerevolmente più alta degli studi a breve termine. Kunzli et al. 13 hanno stimato che una differenza di esposizione di 10 µg/m3 di PM10 per un lungo periodo (15 anni o più) è associata con un rischio relativo (RR) di morire (per cause naturali negli adulti oltre i 30 anni) di 1,043. Ciò significa che il rischio di morte aumenta del 4,3% ogni 10 µg/m3 di aumento del PM10. Secondo Kunzli possiamo calcolare il RR come: RR=1+ (eccesso di inquinamento in incrementi di 10 µg/m3 × 0.043) La frazione attribuibile sarà (RR-1)/RR, assumendo che tutti gli abitanti di una città siano esposti agli stessi livelli. Per esempio il RR di morte per qualcuno che vivesse per lungo tempo a Milano (59µg/m3) invece che in un area con un PM10 di 40µg/m3 è 1+(59-40)/10×0.043=1.08. La corrispettiva frazione attribuibile è (1.08-1)/1.08=7.4%, corrispondente a 783 extra morti per anno dovute a questo eccesso di inquinamento atmosferico. I valori calcolati per il breve termine ed il lungo termine in realtà raccontano delle storie diverse. Le stime a breve termine (nel nostro esempio 148 morti premature per anno) rappresentano la mortalità che potrebbe essere evitata immediatamente se i livelli di inquinamento fossero abbassati al livello di 40µg/m3. Gli effetti a lungo termine (783 morti risparmiate per anno) stimano ciò che accadrebbe se l’inquinamento atmosferico rimanesse a livello del valore “desiderabile” per un numero considerevole di anni. Calcoli simili possono essere eseguiti dalle autorità sanitarie, o da membri della comunità, per stimare gli eccessi di mortalità nelle loro aree e i guadagni potenzialmente raggiungibili con una riduzione dell’inquinamento atmosferico. I dati di mortalità sono disponili presso le autorit à sanitarie. Per molte città Europee vi sono i dati dei livelli di PM10 e, quando non vi fossero, possono essere estrapolati partendo dal particolato totale sospeso (PTS). Per questo scopo dovrebbe essere usato un coefficiente compreso tra 0,6 e 0,8. Valori di aumentato rischio a breve termine per incrementi di PM10 sono disponibili per molte città 8,14,15. Per la stima degli effetti a lungo termine potrebbe essere usato il coefficiente di Kunzli, anche se recenti risultati 16 indicano un effetto più pronunciato. Si potrebbero anche calcolare i benefici a lungo e breve termine che si potrebbero ottenere se il livello di PM10 fosse di 20 µg/m3 (obiettivo per il 2010 dell’Unione Europea) o anche inferiore – visto che un livello di soglia per gli effetti da inquinamento atmosferico non è stato ancora identificato. E’ improbabile che l’inquinamento atmosferico abbia un impatto solo su chi è già malato: la salute di una parte consistente della popolazione esposta sembra invece messa a rischio. Ciò è evidenziato dal forte impatto causato da esposizioni a lungo termine e dalla limitata importanza del fenomeno di “harvesting”. Le implicazioni sono che invece di limitare i picchi di inquinamento (lo stop del traffico cittadino quando una determinata soglia è superata) la sola via per ridurre l’impatto sulla salute è ridurre la media di esposizione a PM10. In molti centri urbani il traffico è fonte di più del 70% del PM10 atmosferico 13. Il controllo delle emissioni tramite migliorie dei motori o l’uso di carburanti alternativi non è un opzione immediata ma potrebbe esserlo nel futuro. L’opzione corrente fondamentale per poter migliorare la salute pubblica nelle città sembra quindi quella di adottare politiche che limitino il traffico stradale nelle nostre città e nelle aree limitrofe. Bibliografia 1. Katsouyanni K, Touloumi G, Spix, et al. Short-term effects of ambient sulphur dioxide and particulate matter on mortality in 12 European cities: results from time series data from the APHEA project : Air pollution and Health : a European Approach. BMJ 1997; 314: 1658-663. 2. Seaton A, MacNee W, Donaldson K, Godden D. Particulate air pollution and acute health effects. Lancet 1995; 345: 176-178. 3. Schwartz J. Is there harvesting in the association of airborne particles with daily deaths and hospital admission?. Epidemiology 2001;12(1):55-61. 4. HEI Perspectives. Understanding the health effects of components of particulate matter mix: progress and next steps. Health Effects Institute, 2002 (www.healtheffects.org/pubsperspectives.htm consultato il 15 aprile 2003) 5. Nemmar A, Hoet PHM, Vanquickeborne B, et al. Passage of inhaled particles into the blood circulation in humans. Circulation 2002; 150: 411-4 6. Zanobetti A, Schwartz J, Siamoli E, et al. The temporal pattern of mortality responses to air pollution: a multicity assessment of mortality displacement Epidemiology 2002;13:87-93. 7. Ostro B & Chestnut L. Assessing the health benefits of reducing particulate matter air pollution in United States. Environmental Research 1998; A76: 94-106 8. Biggeri A, Bellini P, Terraccini B. Meta-analisys of the Italian studies on short-term effects of air pollution. Epidemiol Prev 2001; 25 (2) suppl: 1-72. 9. Commission of the European Communities. Council Directive 1999/30/EC relating to limit values for sulphur dioxide, oxides of nitrogen, particulate matter and lead in ambient air. Official J Eur Communities 1999; L163/41.29.6.1999. 10. Schwartz J, Zanobetti A. Using meta-smoothing to estimate dose-response trends across multiple studies, with application to air pollution and daily death. Epidemiology 2000;11:666672. 11. Dockery DW, Pope CA III, Xu X, et al. An association between air pollution and mortality in six US cities. N Engl J Med 1993, 329:1753-1759. 12. Pope CA 3rd, Thun MJ, Namboodiri MM, et al. Particulate air pollution as a predictor of mortality in a prospective study of U.S. adults. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 1995; 151: 669–674. 13. Kunzli N, Kaiser R, Medina S, et al. Public health impact of outdoor and traffic-related air pollution: a European assessment. Lancet 2000; 356(9232):795-801. 14. Samet JM, Dominici F, Curriero FC, et al. Fine particulate air pollution and mortality in 20 U.S. cities, 1987-1994. N Engl J Med 2000, 343:1742¯ 1749. 15. Katsouyanni K, Touloumi G, Samoli E, et al. Confounding and effect modification in the short term effects of ambient particles on total mortality: Results from 29 European cities within the APHEA2 project. Epidemiology 2001; 12: 521–531. 16. Pope CA 3rd, Burnett RT, Thun MJ, et al. Lung Cancer, Cardiopulmonary Mortality, and Long-term Exposure to fine Particulate Air Pollution. JAMA 2002, 287:1132¯ 1141. Roma, 29 Novembre 2002 1 Gli effetti dell’inquinamento atmosferico sulla salute Francesco Forastiere Dipartimento di Epidemiologia ASL Roma E, Roma E-mail: [email protected] Premessa Gli effetti dell’inquinamento atmosferico sulla salute umana, in particolare gli effetti sulla mortalità complessiva, sono ormai conosciuti da anni, specie per l’enorme impatto sanitario dei gravi episodi di inquinamento degli anni ‘30-‘50. Gli studi epidemiologici condotti negli anni ‘90, tuttavia, hanno messo in luce nuovi danni per la salute alle concentrazioni ambientali degli inquinanti normalmente presenti nelle aree urbane dei Paesi sviluppati. Tali studi sono stati esaminati in dettaglio in revisioni recenti (ATS, 1996; Pope, 1999a; Bates, 2000; Brunekreef, 2000) e i risultati delle indagini epidemiologiche hanno avuto una importanza notevole nella revisione delle linee guida sulla qualità dell’aria negli Stati Uniti (EPA, 1996) e in Europa (WHO, 1999). L’Unione Europea ha di recente approvato direttive che stabiliscono i valori limite degli inquinanti dannosi per la salute; in particolare sono stati stabiliti nuovi limiti per le particelle sospese, contaminante molto rilevante dal punto di vista sanitario (EC, 1999). Nuove indicazioni sono comunque disponibili anche per il biossido di azoto e l’ozono. Molti dei risultati delle indagini epidemiologiche sono stati accolti con iniziale scetticismo e critiche, anche per gli enormi interessi industriali sui temi dell’inquinamento (Gamble, 1998). Vi sono tuttavia lavori scientifici recenti, condotti anche nel contesto italiano, che hanno contribuito all’enorme crescita delle conoscenze. Sono di seguito brevemente riassunte le evidenze scientifiche circa gli effetti acuti e cronici degli inquinanti, con particolare riguardo per le polveri sospese, sono discussi i possibili meccanismi biologici, e vengono riportate le stime sull’impatto sanitario dell’inquinamento ambientale. Nel considerare gli aspetti sopraelencati si è dato particolare valore alle ricerche condotte nell’ambito nazionale. Caratteristiche e proprietà delle polveri sottili ed ultrasottili L’inquinamento da polveri sospese comprende una miscela di particelle allo stato solido o liquido che varia in dimensione, origine e composizione. La distribuzione dimensionale del Particolato Totale Sospeso (TSP) comprende la frazione più grossolana (“coarse”), le polveri sottili (“fine”), e la frazione delle polveri ultrasottili (“ultrafine”). Le polveri più grandi (diametro aereodinamico > 2.5µm) sono spesso di origine naturale (suolo); le polveri fini hanno origine dai processi di combustione (veicoli, industrie, produzione energia elettrica) e possono essere di origine primaria (generate direttamente) ovvero possono formarsi (solfati e nitrati) per trasformazione chimica dalle emissioni primarie di ossidi di zolfo e di azoto. Le polveri ultrasottili (diametro <0.1 µm) hanno un tempo di residenza nell’atmosfera molto ridotto perché tendono ad aggregarsi o a coagulare a formare particelle di dimensioni più grandi. Si noti che a parità di peso (10 µg/m3), il numero di particelle di diametro uguale a 2.5 µm (per cm3 di aria) è pari a 1.2 con una area di superficie (µm3 per cm3 di aria) di 24, mentre i valori corrispondenti per particelle ultrasottili di diametro pari a 0.02 µm è pari a 2.4 milioni con una area di superficie di 3016 (µm3 per cm3 di aria). Varie considerazioni d’ordine fisiologico e tossicologico fanno ritenere che le polveri sottili ed 2 ultrasottili possano avere importanza dal punto sanitario e rappresentino l’inq uinante più rilevante da un punto di vista biologico (Seaton, 1995). Grazie alla loro dimensione possono essere respirate e penetrare nel polmone profondo; sono costituite da svariate sostanze con proprietà tossiche quali solfati, nitrati, metalli e numerose sostanze chimiche adsorbite sulla superficie; hanno una elevata proprietà di penetrare negli ambienti chiusi e vengono trasportate anche a lunga distanza. Rappresentano un inquinante ubiquitario e diffuso in modo uniforme nelle realtà urbane. Per quanto riguarda la misura della concentrazione di tali particelle nell'aria, in passato era generalmente usata la quantità "Particolato Totale Sospeso" (TSP) (Total Suspended Particulates), ovvero la quantità totale di polveri a prescindere dal loro diametro e quindi dalla capacità di essere inalate. Per molti anni anche i "Fumi Neri" (Black Smoke) sono stati usati come indicatori dell'inquinamento da polveri. La nuova legislazione prevede la misura delle particelle di diametro inferiore a 10 micron (PM10) ed è in avvio anche in Italia l’introduzione della misura delle particelle di diametro inferiore a 2.5 micron (PM2.5) come migliore indice della contaminazione ambientale che può avere una relazione con la salute umana. . Gli effetti sulla salute L’Americ an Thoracic Society ha recentemente definito in modo sistematico la serie degli effetti sulla salute potenzialmente attribuibili all’effetto degli inquinanti ambientali (ATS, 2000). Gli effetti sono acuti (aggravamento di sintomi respiratori e cardiaci in soggetti predisposti, infezioni respiratorie acute, crisi di asma bronchiale, disturbi circolatori ed ischemici, morte) e si manifestano nella popolazione in risposta alle variazioni di breve periodo (oraria o giornaliera) nella concentrazione degli inquinanti, oppure sono di tipo cronico, si presentano cioè per effetto di una esposizione di lungo periodo (sintomi respiratori cronici quale tosse e catarro, diminuzione della capacità polmonare, bronchite cronica, tumore polmonare) e possono comportare una diminuzione della speranza di vita. 3 Effetti di esposizioni acute Gli studi epidemiologici degli anni ’90 hanno impiegato nuove metodologie statistiche per la valutazione delle serie temporali al fine di evidenziare gli effetti acuti degli inquinanti sulla mortalità giornaliera o sul ricorso ai servizi sanitari (ricoveri ospedalieri, ricorso al pronto soccorso, visite mediche). Sono stati, inoltre, seguite per brevi periodi coorti di soggetti (asmatici, bronchitici cronici) in modo da poter analizzare l’ef fetto degli inquinanti sulla comparsa di sintomatologia o sul grado di compromissione della funzione respiratoria. Poiché la misura standardizzata delle polveri (PM10 o PM2.5) è relativamente recente (specie in Europa ed in Italia), molti studi hanno dovuto utilizzare metodi alternativi per la stima della concentrazione delle polveri (TSP, Fumi Neri) e sono scarse le indagini con disponibilità di osservazioni sul livello ambientale delle particelle fini (PM2.5) (Schwartz, 1996). Mortalità giornaliera Dopo i rilevanti eccessi di mortalità osservati a causa degli importanti episodi di inquinamento (Londra, Donora), decine di studi condotti in tutto il mondo hanno evidenziato una associazione tra concentrazione giornaliera di inquinanti (soprattutto PM10, ma anche SO2, NO2, ed ozono) e numero di morti nello stesso giorno o nei giorni seguenti (Dockery e Pope, 1993; Schwartz, 1996; Anderson et al, 1996; Katsouyanni et al, 1997; Zmirou et al, 1998; Katsoutyanni et al, 2001).Risultati simili sono stati riscontrati in Italia in studi condotti a Roma (Michelozzi et al, 1998), a Milano (Rossi et al 1999) e a Torino (Cadum, 1999) nel quadro della indagine APHEA - Air Pollution and Health Effects: a European Approach – un progetto di ricerca multicentrico che coinvolge 34 città in Europa. I metodi diversi di misura dell’inquinamento da polveri (e la difficoltà di stimare la componente sottile delle stesse in assenza di misure oggettive) rendono complesso il paragone tra le stime di effetto delle varie indagini. Tuttavia, è stato possibile stimare un incremento lineare di 0.5-1% nella mortalità per ogni 10µg/m3 di PM10 (ovvero 5-6 µg/m3 PM2.5). L’eccesso nei morti è risultato più elevato per esposizioni che avvengono nello stesso giorno o nei giorni immediatamente precedenti (Schwartz, 2000a), è più elevato per le cause cardiache e respiratorie, ed è essenzialmente ascrivibile alla frazione PM2.5 del PM10 (Schwartz, 1996). Un supplemento alla rivista “Epidemiologia e Prevenzione” ha riporta per esteso la metodologia e risultati della “MISA Metanalisi Italiana degli studi sugli effetti a breve termine dell’inquinamento atmosferico” (Biggeri et al, 2001). Lo studio è stato condotto nell’ambito di un progetto di ricerca nazionale che ha visto la partecipazione di numerose istituzioni e ricercatori italiani. L’indagine è stata condotta sulla popolazione di otto grandi città italiane (con circa 7 milioni di abitanti) valutando la relazione tra livelli giornalieri degli inquinanti atmosferici (Polveri - PM10 -, biossido di azoto, anidride solforosa, ossido di carbonio, ozono) ed eventi sanitari rilevanti quali la mortalità (totale, cause cardiache, cause respiratorie) e i ricoveri ospedalieri (cause cardiache e respiratorie) nel periodo 19901999. Questi i principali risultati: • • si è osservata una associazione statisticamente significativa fra ciascuno degli inquinanti studiati e ciascuno degli indicatori sanitari considerati. Fa eccezione l’ozono, che è risultato associato con la mortalità totale e cardiovascolare e con i ricoveri per cause respiratorie; le stime di rischio sono più elevate per gli esiti (mortalità, ricoveri) respiratori rispetto a quelli cardiaci; 4 • • • • • • prendendo il PM10 (polveri fini) come parametro ambientale di riferimento, per ogni aumento di 10 µg/m3 di questo inquinante, si è osservato nel periodo 1995-99 nel complesso delle città considerate un incremento nel giorno stesso o nel giorno successivo del 1.3% nella mortalità totale, 1.4% nella mortalità cardiovascolare, 2.1% nella mortalità respiratoria, 0.8% nei ricoveri per cause cardiovascolari, 1.4% nei ricoveri per cause respiratorie; l’effetto dell’inquinamento sulla salute è quindi anche precoce e si realizza nell’arco temporale di qualche giorno; gli effetti degli inquinanti sono più pronunciati nei mesi più caldi dell’anno, anche perché si realizza una maggiore esposizione della popolazione che tende a stare di più all’aperto; le stime di rischio sono più elevate per la popolazione più anziana; l’entità dell’effetto ha un gradiente Nord –Sud. Il rischio è maggiore negli anni più recenti Si è già ricordato che come tali studi abbiano hanno generato controversie e due aspetti sono rimasti per lungo tempo materia di discussione scientifica: 1. L’effetto è realmente lineare senza soglia per concentrazioni al di sotto dei limiti di qualità dell’aria attualmente in vigore nei paesi sviluppati, ovvero si tratta di effetti non lineari con la possibilità di stabilire una soglia al di sotto della quale non sono evidenziabili danni? 2. L’eccesso di mor talità osservato si traduce in una reale e significativa diminuzione della sopravvivenza della popolazione esposta, ovvero i decessi si verificano essenzialmente tra le persone (specie gli anziani) con uno stato di salute già molto compromesso per le quali la morte viene solo anticipata di qualche giorno (cd. Effetto “mietitura” o “harvesting”). Sono molto recenti i risultati relativi all’analisi dell’associazione tra livelli di PM10 e mortalità nelle 20 più grandi città americane (Daniels et al., 2000) che hanno consolidato le conoscenze sulla forma della relazione dose-risposta. I dati ambientali sono stati raccolti in modo uniforme e standardizzato e sono relativi ad insediamenti urbani dove la media annuale di PM10 era compresa tra 23.8 e 46.0• g/m3. L’analisi statistica ha controllato in modo molto accurato l’effetto delle diverse variabili di confondimento di tipo temporale. E’ stato stimato un aumento di 0.54% per 10 • g/m3 di Pm10 (media dello stesso giorno e del giorno precedente) per la mortalità totale, 0.69% per le cause cardiorespiratorie, e 0.38% per tutte le altre cause. Gli autori hanno dimostrato che la relazione è di tipo lineare e non vi sono gli elementi scientifici sufficienti per giustificare una qualsiasi soglia. In un lavoro recente, Schwartz (2000b) ha del resto dimostrato che l’effetto del PM10 registrato in dieci grandi città americane è stabile quando si considera l’effetto confondente di altri inquinanti (NO2, CO, ozono). Con l’impiego di metodi statistici molto sofisticati si è potuto inoltre escludere che l’effetto delle polveri sia un mero effetto “mietitura”. Zeger et al (1999) sulla serie temporale di mortalità in relazione alle concentrazioni di polveri totali sospese a Filadelfia sul periodo 1974-88 e Schwartz (2000c) su un’analoga serie di dati per Boston 1979 -86, utilizzando diverse ed indipendenti tecniche di analisi statistica, sono giunti alla conclusione che l’associazione tra inquinamento da polveri e mortalità totale e per cause cardiorespiratorie osservata negli studi epidemiologici riflette un’anticipazione della morte di ordine superiore alle settimane. Ricoveri ospedalieri e ricorso ai servizi sanitari La associazione tra concentrazione di inquinanti e frequenza giornaliera nei ricoveri ospedalieri è stata 5 analizzata con i metodi delle serie temporali come per la mortalità. La gran parte degli studi ha evidenziato una associazione tra inquinamento da polveri e ricoveri per cause respiratorie sia negli adulti sia nei bambini (Schwartz, 1996; Anderson et al, 1997; Burnett et al, 1997; Spix et al, 1998; Sheppard et al, 1999). Molte indagini hanno anche valutato i ricorsi al pronto soccorso per asma, broncopneumopatia cronica ostruttiva e altri disordini respiratori (Sunyer et al, 1993; Lipsett et al., 1997; Atkinson et al, 1999. Studi più recenti hanno osservato una associazione con le malattie dell’apparato cardiovascolare (Poloniecki et al, 1997; Schwartz, 1999; Burnett et al., 1999). A Roma è stata valutata l’associazione tra livelli giornalieri di inquinamen to e ricoveri ospedalieri per cause cardiovascolari e respiratorie (Fusco et al, 1998; Fusco et al, 2000). Non è stato tuttavia possibile disporre della misura di PM10 ed il TSP era l’indicatore grossolano della concentrazione di polveri. L’indagine ha mes so in rilievo un incremento dei ricoveri per patologie cardiovascolari, in particolare per malattie ischemiche del miocardio, nei giorni in cui è più elevata la concentrazione ambientale di NO2 e di CO (incremento di circa il 4% per ogni incremento di 20 µg/m3 di NO2 o di 1.0 mg/m3 di CO). E’ stata inoltre evidenziata una associazione tra la concentrazione ambientale di NO 2 e di CO ed i ricoveri ospedalieri per cause respiratorie (incremento di circa il 2.5% per ogni incremento di 20 µg/m3 di NO2 o di 1.0 mg/m3 di CO), e per infezioni respiratorie acute ed asma. L’effetto più forte sui ricoveri per cause respiratorie è stato osservato nella classe di età 0-14 anni (aumento di circa 7.0-10.0% per ogni incremento di 20 µg/m3 di NO2 o di 1.0 mg/m3 di CO). Infine, i livelli di ozono durante i mesi estivi sono risultati associati ad un aumento dei ricoveri giornalieri per malattie dell’apparato respiratorio totali e per infezioni respiratorie acute nella classe di età 0-14 anni (aumento dei ricoveri giornalieri del 5.5% e dell’8.2% rispettivamente). Sintomi/Funzione polmonare Sono molto numerosi gli studi epidemiologici (Braun-Fahrlander et al., 1992; Hoek et al., 1993, 1994, 1995, 1998; Peters et al., 1997; Roemer et al., 1998) che hanno valutato l’associazione tra variazione giornaliera dei sintomi respiratori o della funzione polmonare e inquinamento atmosferico sia in popolazioni di asmatici sia in gruppi di popolazione generale. Il grado di associazione osservato è risultato maggiore per i sintomi di interessamento bronchiale specie nei soggetti asmatici. Per questi ultimi si è registrato un aumento dell’uso dei broncodilatatori. Osservazioni negli Stati Uniti hanno messo in evidenza un aumento delle giornate lavorative perse (Ostro, 1989, 1990) tra gli adulti o dei giorni di scuola tra i bambini (Roemer et al., 1993) per effetto dell’inquinamento ambientale. Nelle valutazioni dell’effetto sulla funzione polmonare, si è osservato una diminuzione dei valori spirometrici con un tempo di latenza dalla esposizione fino a 7 giorni. Effetti delle esposizioni croniche Sopravvivenza Gli studi prima descritti sull’effetto acuto dell’inquinamento sulla mortalità giornaliera hanno messo in evidenza una associazione di natura causale ma nulla ci dicono su quanto l’esposi zione cronica agli inquinanti possa ridurre la speranza di vita, ovvero comportare l’insorgenza di malattie croniche. Su questo tema sono stati condotti primi tentativi negli anni ’80 valutando i differenziali di mortalità in relazione ai livelli di inquinamento in aree geografiche diverse (Archer, 1990). Tali studi, tuttavia, non potevano tenere conto in modo accurato di altri possibili ed importanti determinanti della mortalità. Ha tuttavia generato un grande interesse scientifico uno studio condotto nella Repubblica Ceca che ha riscontrato una forte associazione tra concentrazione ambientale di polveri e mortalità infantile (Bobak, 1992). 6 L’approccio più adeguato per studiare il problema è quello di seguire nel tempo coorti di popolazione residenti in aree geografiche con livelli diversi di inquinamento disponendo di informazioni accurate sui più importanti fattori individuali che regolano la speranza di vita (es. fumo, peso corporeo) e studiare nel tempo la loro mortalità. Tre studi di coorte di questo tipo sono stati condotti negli Stati Uniti, mentre ad oggi è disponibile solo una indagine nel contesto europeo (Hoek et al, 2002). Dockery et al. (1993) hanno studiato la mortalità di 8111 adulti residenti in sei città degli Stati Uniti durante il periodo 1974-91. Per ciascuna città erano disponibili dati di inquinamento atmosferico dal 1977 al 1988. A livello individuale, erano state raccolte informazioni su diversi potenziali confondenti (sesso, età, abitudine al fumo, livello di istruzione ed esposizione professionale a polveri, fumi o gas). I residenti nelle città con concentrazioni medie annuali più elevate di materiale particolato con diametro ≤2.5 µm (PM2.5) mostravano, rispetto ai residenti nelle città con livelli inferiori di inquinamento, eccessi di mortalità per tutte le cause, per malattie cardiorespiratorie e per tumore del polmone. In uno studio successivo, Pope et al. hanno analizzato la mortalità dei 552.000 partecipanti alla seconda indagine sulla prevenzione dei tumori dell'American Cance r Society, seguiti dal 1982 al 1989, in funzione delle concentrazioni di solfati e di PM2.5 rilevate nel 1980 in numerose aree metropolitane degli Stati Uniti (151 aree con dati sulla concentrazione di solfati e 50 aree con informazioni sulla concentrazione di PM2.5). Si osservava un incremento nel rischio di mortalità generale (+15%) in relazione ad una differenza di concentrazione media annuale di solfati pari a 19.9 µg/m3 tra le aree a più elevato inquinamento rispetto alle aree meno inquinate. Anche in questo caso si è osservato un eccesso per malattie cardiorespiratorie (+26%) e tumore del polmone (+36%). L'analisi controllava l'effetto di confondimento dovuto a età, sesso, gruppo etnico, fumo di sigarette, sigari o pipa, esposizione a fumo passivo e a cancerogeni professionali, indice di massa corporea, consumo di alcolici e livello di istruzione. L’indagine più recente consiste in uno studio di coorte su 6338 adulti non fumatori residenti in California, appartenenti alla comunità degli Avventisti del Settimo Giorno, seguiti dal 1977 al 1992 (Abbey et al., 1999). Veniva calcolato un indicatore di esposizione cumulativa individuale, ottenuto moltiplicando le concentrazioni medie mensili di alcuni inquinanti atmosferici (PM10, anidride solforosa [SO2], biossido di azoto [NO2] e ozono [O3]) rilevate nelle diverse aree urbane per il tempo trascorso da ciascun individuo in una determinata area geografica (definita in base al codice postale), per ragioni residenziali o professionali. E’ stata riscontrata una a ssociazione tra inquinanti derivanti dai prodotti di combustione e mortalità generale, per cause respiratorie e per tumore polmonare tra i maschi. Nel 2002, Pope e coll. hanno pubblicato i risultati della estensione del follow al 1998 della coorte della American Cancer Society. Lo studio ha ricevuto un elevata risonanza per la dimensione della coorte, la varietà delle esposizioni ambientali indagate, e l’accuratezza nel controllo dei fattori di confondimento Si è osservato un aumento della mortalità per tutte le cause (4%), per malattie cardiopolmonari (6%), e tumore polmonare (8%) per ogni incremento di 10 microg/m3 nella esposizione a polveri fini. È interessante notare come studi moderni condotti a livello individuale confermino la prima osservazione di tipo ecologico di Bobak (1992) sulla possibilità che l’effetto dell’inquinamento si eserciti già sul neonato nel primo anno di vita. In uno studio condotto negli Stati Uniti (Woodruff et al, 1997) è stato possibile abbinare l’archivio delle nascite (qua ttro milioni di nati) e della mortalità nel periodo postnatale (in questo caso, due mesi dopo la nascita) del periodo 1989-1991 con l’archivio dei dati ambientali di PM10 per 86 aree metropolitane. L’analisi dei dati ha potuto controllare per l’effetto di variabili importanti relative alla madre e alla famiglia (età, razza, stato socioeconomico, fumo). E’ stata riscontrata una forte associazione tra concentrazione di PM10 e mortalità totale e per cause respiratorie, inclusa la morte improvvisa del neonato. La ricerca epidemiologica recente, dunque, si interessa sempre di più degli effetti degli inquinanti sulla gravidanza e nel periodo neonatale (Brunekreef, 1999) 7 L’insieme delle osservazioni descritte fa ritenere che l’esposizione cronica ad inquinanti ambientali abbia degli effetti importanti per quanto riguarda la speranza di vita di chi abita nelle moderne metropoli. Sulla base delle osservazioni degli studi di coorte è stato suggerito, che gli effetti osservati negli studi sulla mortalità giornaliera rappresentino una sottostima dell’effetto complessivo (McMichael et al., 1998) e che vivere in un comune in cui la concentrazione di polveri sospese è pari a quella che attualmente si registra nelle grandi città italiane (40-50 µg/m3) corrisponde ad una perdita di 1-2 anni nella speranza di vita (Brunekreef, 1997). Incidenza e prevalenza di malattie Molti studi hanno valutato l’associazione tra esposizione cronica ad inquinanti e malattie o sintomi respiratori (Abbey et al., 1995; Dockery et al., 1989; Dockery et al., 1995; Forastiere et al., 1992; Peters et al., 1999) o funzione polmonare (Forastiere et al., 1994; Ackermann-Liebrick et al., 1997; Raizenne et al., 1996). Uno studio longitudinale recente ha riscontrato una diminuita crescita dei volumi polmonari per l’effetto della esposizione cronica a polveri e a NO2 (Gauderman et al., 2000). Sono stati associati in modo più frequente con l’inquinamento ambientale i segni di bronchite, come la tosse e il catarro cronico, mentre più controversi sono i risultati per quanto riguarda l’asma bronchiale. A livello italiano il progetto SIDRIA (Studi Italiani sui Disturbi Respiratori nell’Infanzia e l’Ambiente) ha approfondito lo studio di diversi possibili fattori di rischio, con particolare attenzione al ruolo dell’inquinamento dell’aria (sia outdoor, sia indoor) per la salute respiratoria dei bambini (Agabiti et al., 1999; Ciccone et al., 1998). In particolare, è stato valutato il ruolo dell’inquinamento da traffico veicolare, stimato attraverso una valutazione del volume e della tipologia del traffico vicino la residenza dei soggetti, su diversi disturbi respiratori tipici dell’età pediatrica, cercando di distinguere i disturbi di tipo asmatico da quelli di tipo bronchitico (Ciccone et al.1998). Lo studio è stato condotto in dieci aree del Nord e Italia centrale ed ha incluso un campione rappresentativo di 39275 bambini in due classi di età (6-7 e 13-14 anni; rispondenza = 94.4%). Attraverso un questionario standardizzato compilato dai genitori (e dai ragazzi di 13-14 anni), sono state raccolte informazioni dettagliate sulle condizioni di salute respiratoria e sull’esposizione a diversi fattori di rischio, incluse le caratteristiche del traffico vicino casa. Nel sottogruppo di bambini residenti in aree metropolitane è stata osservata una chiara associazione tra il passaggio frequente di veicoli pesanti vicino l’abitazione e diversi disturbi respiratori. Classificando i sintomi recenti in gruppi mutuamente esclusivi, è stata documentata un’associazione più forte per i soggetti che avevano riferito solo sintomi bronchitici, con un rischio relativo di 1.44 (intervallo di confidenza 95%=1.17-31.78), mentre il rischio relativo per quelli che avevano riferito solo l’asma o sintomi asmatici era 1.10 (0.96 -1.26). Associazioni più deboli sono state osservate in relazione a più generici indicatori di traffico e per i bambini residenti in aree non metropolitane. Si è dunque formulata l’ipotesi di una maggiore pericolosità delle emissioni dei veicoli pesanti dotati di motori diesel e della possibilità, che tra diversi possibili danni respiratori, le infezioni delle basse vie aeree siano quelle più strettamente connesse con l’inquinamento atmosferico. I risultati di SIDRIA, in accordo con quelli di altri studi condotti in paesi diversi e con varia metodologia, suggeriscono che misure di prevenzione volte a ridurre l’esposizione a gas di scarico della popolazione residente in aree molto urbanizzate, anche attraverso una limitazione del traffico pesante in zone residenziali e nelle vicinanze di scuole e asili, potrebbero avere ricadute positive in termini di salute, sia a breve, sia a lungo termine. Una valutazione schematica degli effetti Ovviamente rimangono molte incertezze scientifiche riguardo agli effetti biologici degli inquinanti. In particolare occorre approfondire il ruolo della dimensione delle particelle, dei costituenti chimici (come i metalli in transizione), delle proprietà di superficie, della sinergia con gli inquinanti gassosi, del particolare livello di acidità. Occorre studiare meglio i meccanismi biologici e i particolari gruppi di 8 popolazione suscettibili. La mole dei dati, tuttavia, permette già di quantificare gli effetti per orientare gli interventi di sanità pubblica. La tabella riassume le conseguenze sulla salute dell’inquinamento dell’aria a breve e a lungo termine stimati per un aumento di 10 • g/m 3 della concentrazione dell’indicatore per le polveri sottili, il PM 10. Le stime sono basate sulla letteratura epidemiologica disponibile già illustrata e sono in accordo con il rapporto preparato sotto l’egida dell’OMS che ha stimato l’impatto dell’in quinamento in tre nazioni europee (Francia, Svizzera, Austria) (Kunzli et al, 2000). I meccanismi biologici. Solo di recente, e per effetto dell’enorme stimolo fornito dai risultati degli studi epidemiologici, si sono moltiplicate le indagini di tipo sperimentale o clinico per spiegare i complessi meccanismi biologici che alla base dell’effetto lesivo degli inquinanti, in particolare le polveri. È semplice riconoscere che il sistema respiratorio è la sede primaria del danno (con meccanismi di tipo ossidativo ed infiammatorio), ma di recente l’interesse si è spostato sull’apparato cardiovascolare, in particolare sui meccanismi che regolano il ritmo cardiaco ((Pope et al., 1999b; Peters et al., 1999; Liao et al., 1999; Pope et al., 1999c; Gold et al., 2000) o la viscosità plasmatica (Peters et al., 1997). Seaton (1995) ha infatti ipotizzato che le particelle ultrasottili possano provocare infiammazione polmonare con il rilascio di citochine tossiche per l’apparato cardiovascolare e conseguente aumento della v iscosità plasmatica. Recentemente Stone e Godleski (1999) hanno suggerito l’importanza di alterazioni nel controllo della frequenza e della variabilità del battito cardiaco da parte del sistema nervoso autonomo – alterazioni associate all’esposizione a par ticolato atmosferico – come meccanismo alla base dell’associazione tra esposizione a particolato e mortalità per cause cardiache. In effetti, in uno studio condotto a Boston su pazienti con un impianto cardiaco di un defibrillatore seguiti per tre anni per valutare la presenza di aritmie (Peters et al., 2000), è stata osservata un aumentata incidenza di aritmie gravi nei giorni a più elevato inquinamento atmosferico (NO2, CO e PM2.5). 9 Tabella. L’impatto sanitario dell’inquinamento atmosferico. Incremento percentuale nella frequenza dei fenomeni sanitari in una città all’aumentare di 10 • g/m 3 nella concentrazione delle polveri sottili, PM10. Effetti a breve termine Aumento della mortalità giornaliera (escluse le morti accidentali) totale 0.5-1% - per cause respiratorie 3-4% - per cause cardiocircolatorie 1-2% Aumento dei ricoveri in ospedale per malattie respiratorie 1.5-2% - per malattie cardiocircolatorie 0.5-1% Aumento delle consultazioni mediche urgenti a causa dell’asma 2% Aumento degli attacchi di asma negli asmatici 5% Aumento dell’uso dei farmaci broncodilatatori neg li asmatici 5% Aumento delle assenze dal lavoro e diminuzione delle attività a causa di malattia 10% Effetti a lungo termine Aumento complessivo della mortalità 3-8% Aumento della incidenza di bronchite cronica negli adulti 25% Aumento della tosse e della espettorazione negli adulti 13% Aumento della bronchite e dei disturbi respiratori nei bambini 35% Diminuzione della funzione polmonare negli adulti 3% Gli effetti cancerogeni Le evidenze relative agli effetti degli inquinanti nell’aumentare il rischio di tumore sono state ampiamente documentate in una revisione recente (Lagorio et al., 2000). In breve si può sostenere che i risultati dei più recenti studi di coorte sui residenti nelle aree metropolitane degli Stati Uniti (Dockery et al., 1993; Pope et al., 1995; Abbey et al., 1999; Pope et al, 2002) hanno rafforzato l’ipotesi che l’inquinamento atmosferico abbia un ruolo nell’eziologia del tumore polmonare, specialmente in associazione con altri noti fattori di rischio quali il fumo di sigaretta e alcune esposizioni professionali. La questione dell’eventuale cancerogenicità per l’uomo delle emissioni dei motori diesel e a benzina è stata affrontata mediante studi epidemiologici su soggetti esposti per ragioni professionali. Questi studi hanno suggerito in modo convincente che l’esposizione ai gas di scarico dei motori diesel influenza l’incidenza di tumore polmonare nell’uomo. Gli studi su gruppi professionali esposti esclusivamente o prevalentemente ai gas di scarico di motori a benzina sono invece poco numerosi e poco conclusivi. Nonostante siano stati ripetutamente segnalati incrementi del rischio di tumore polmonare tra gli autisti professionali, in particolare tra i tassisti (anche nella città di Roma) (Borgia et al., 1994), è difficile separare il ruolo delle esposizioni ad emissioni di motori diesel e a benzina. Alcuni studi epidemiologici, infine, hanno suggerito un’associazione tra leucemia infantile e inquinamento da traffico. Se questa associazione dovesse essere confermata, l’esposizione a benzene potrebbe rilevarsi il fattore più importante. Ci sono molti motivi per ritenere che il rischio cancerogeno associato all’inquinamento atmosferico prodotto dal traffico automobilistico sia un argomento di notevole rilevanza in sanità pubblica. Infatti, 10 benché le associazioni osservate siano di modesta entità, l'esposizione interessa larghi strati della popolazione; di conseguenza, l'impatto complessivo di tale esposizione in termini di carico atteso di neoplasie (in particolare tumori polmonari e leucemie) potrebbe non essere trascurabile. Attualmente, tuttavia, a causa di limiti nelle evidenze epidemiologiche sinora disponibili, non è possibile quantificare precisamente il rischio. E’ da sottolineare, infine, che l'eccesso stimato di tumori attribuibili all'esposizione a gas di scaric o di motori, in particolare diesel, assume ulteriore rilevanza se si restringe l'attenzione agli esposti per ragioni professionali. Le stime di impatto in Europa ed in Italia Esperienze iniziali negli Stati Uniti hanno cercato di stimare l’impatto comples sivo in termini di salute della esposizione all’inquinamento ambientale ed hanno associato a questo una stima del costo economico che la società sostiene (ALA, 1998; Ostro, 1998). In Europa il primo studio di questo tipo è stato condotto per tre nazioni (Austria, Francia, Svizzera) ed ha riscosso un enorme interesse a livello internazionale (Kunsli et al, 2000). In sostanza, sulla base dei livelli di esposizione della popolazione all’inquinamento da polveri, considerati i risultati degli studi epidemiologic i e i coefficienti delle relazioni dose-risposta tra esposizione a PM10 ed effetto sanitario, noti i livelli di base di frequenza della mortalità e delle patologie in questi paesi, si è potuto stimare che all’inquinamento attuale è ascrivibile il 6% della mortalità generale ( più di 40.000 casi per anno), 290.000 episodi di bronchite nei bambini, e una quota molto elevata di attacchi di asma e di giornate lavorative perse ogni anno nei tre Paesi. Con le stesse modalità dello studio delle tre nazioni Europee, il Centro Europeo Ambiente e Salute di Roma dell’Organizzazione Mondiale della Sanità (WHO Regional Office for Europe, European Centre for Environment and Health, Rome Division) nel giugno 2000 ha completato uno studio sull’inquinamento atmosferico ne lle 8 maggiori città italiane (Galassi et al., 2000). Lo studio ha stimato l’impatto dell’inquinamento atmosferico urbano sulla salute dei cittadini ed è stato condotto in collaborazione con altri enti e istituti italiani. Sono stati raccolti ed analizzati parte dei dati disponibili sulle concentrazioni di inquinanti nelle città di Torino, Genova, Milano, Bologna, Firenze, Roma, Napoli e Palermo per un totale di 8.5 milioni di abitanti. La stima dell’impatto sulla salute si è avvalsa delle concentrazioni di PM10. Lo studio ha considerato la mortalità a lungo termine ed altri effetti a medio e breve termine osservati nel corso di un anno, come i ricoveri ospedalieri, i casi di bronchite acuta e gli attacchi d’asma nei bambini. Le stime delle quota di mortalit à, morbosità e ricoveri, sono attribuibili a concentrazioni in eccesso di valori di riferimento prescelti (30µg/m3). Nello studio sono state calcolate le morti che potrebbero essere prevenute se si abbattesse l’inquinamento a tali valori. Tutte le città presentano concentrazioni di PM10 superiori all’attuale obiettivo di qualità dell’aria pari, dal 01.01.99, a 40 µg/m3. In particolare, per Bologna viene indicato un valore per la concentrazione media annuale di PM10 pari a 51.2 µg/m3. L’impatto dell’inquinam ento da PM10 sulla salute dei residenti è stato stimato nelle 8 maggiori città italiane nel 1998. In particolare sono state calcolate le morti, i ricoveri ospedalieri ed i casi di malattia potenzialmente prevenibili abbattendo le concentrazioni medie di PM10 a 30 µg/m3. Lo studio ha indicato che un sostanziale numero di decessi, ricoveri ospedalieri e disturbi respiratori, specie nei bambini, sono attribuibili all’inquinamento atmosferico urbano e che l’ordine di grandezza è delle migliaia o decine di migl iaia di casi per anno nelle otto maggiori città italiane. In particolare ha stimato che: 1. per la mortalità per tutte le cause (escluse cause accidentali) fra la popolazione di oltre trenta anni si stima che il 4.7% di tutti i decessi osservati nel 1998, pari a 3472 casi, sia attribuibile al PM10 in eccesso di 30 µg/m3. Ovvero, riducendo il PM10 ad una media di 30µg/m3 si potrebbero prevenire circa 3.500 morti all’anno nelle 8 città. 2. per gli altri effetti considerati si sono ottenute stime di migliaia di ricoveri per cause respiratorie e cardiovascolari e decine di migliaia di casi di bronchite acuta e asma fra i bambini al di sotto dei quindici anni che potrebbero essere evitati riducendo le concentrazioni medie di PM10 a 30µg/m3. 11 In generale, i dati indicano che la cattiva qualità dell’aria è responsabile di una parte rilevante della mortalità e morbosità. Sebbene i dati di concentrazione non possano essere direttamente utilizzati per stimare con precisione le esposizioni individuali, data la variabilità delle attività giornaliere dei cittadini, il numero complessivo stimato di casi attribuibili rappresenta un importante problema di sanità pubblica. Interventi mirati al contenimento dell’inquinamento atmosferico avrebbero ricadute importanti in termini di salute e di costi socio-economici (Galassi et al., 2000). Conclusioni Sulla base degli studi epidemiologici elencati, condotti in ambito internazionale ed italiano, si può concludere che all’inquinamento atmosferico urbano è attribuibile oggi una quota ri levante di morbosità acuta e cronica . La speranza di vita dei cittadini che vivono in città con livelli di inquinamento elevato è diminuita. Gli effetti si verificano ai livelli attuali di inquinamento ambientale e non sembra esserci una soglia al di sotto della quale non si osservano danni. I gruppi di popolazione più colpiti dall’inquinamento ambientale sono soprattutto gli anziani e le persone in condizione di salute più compromessa come i malati di patologie cardiache e respiratorie. Per queste persone, l’esposizione ad inquinamento ambientale peggiora la prognosi e aumenta la probabilità di morte. 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Time-series analysis of air pollution and cause-specific mortality. Epidemiology 9:495-503 (1998). Copyright # ERS Journals Ltd 2003 European Respiratory Journal ISSN 0903-1936 Eur Respir J 2003; 21: 956–963 DOI: 10.1183/09031936.03.00041103 Printed in UK – all rights reserved Urban traf c and pollutant exposure related to respiratory outcomes and atopy in a large sample of children T. Nicolai* , D. Carr* , S.K. Weiland# , H. Duhme} , O. von Ehrenstein* , C. Wagner* , E. von Mutius* Urban traf c and pollutant exposure related to respiratory outcomes and atopy in a large sample of children. T. Nicolai, D. Carr, S.K. Weiland, H. Duhme, O. von Ehrenstein, C. Wagner, E. von Mutius. #ERS Journals Ltd 2003. ABSTRACT: Con icting results have been reported for the relationship between traf c exposure and inception of atopy. The effect of traf c on the prevalence of asthma and atopy at school age was investigated in a representative population. Random samples of schoolchildren (n=7,509, response rate 83.7%) were studied using the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood phase-II protocol with skin-prick tests, measurements of speci c immunoglobulin E and lung function. Traf c exposure was assessed via traf c counts and by an emission model which predicted soot, benzene and nitrogen dioxide (NO2). Traf c counts were associated with current asthma, wheeze and cough. In children with tobacco-smoke exposure, traf c volume was additionally associated with a positive skin-prick test. Cough was associated with soot, benzene and NO2, current asthma with soot and benzene, and current wheeze with benzene and NO2. No pollutant was associated with allergic sensitisation. High vehicle traf c was associated with asthma, cough and wheeze, and in children additionally exposed to environmental tobacco smoke, with allergic sensitisation. However, effects of socioeconomic factors associated with living close to busy roads cannot be ruled out. Eur Respir J 2003; 21: 956–963. During the last 50 yrs, respiratory allergic diseases have increased in children in many countries with modern living conditions. At the same time, car traf c and air-pollution levels have undergone large changes. At suf ciently high concentrations, pollutants such as particulate matter, sulphur dioxide (SO2), car exhaust and ozone are known to be associated with respiratory symptoms. While it is well accepted that air pollution can trigger symptoms in children with established asthma [1], its in uence on the inception of asthma and allergies is not known. It would be of major concern if the increasing prevalence was, at least in part, due to traf c-related air pollution. In cities, car traf c accounts for almost all benzene and most of the nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and carbon monoxide, but only for a small fraction of SO2 [2]. Fine dust [2], latex particles and black smoke are other emissions related to motor vehicles. Animal and in vitro human experiments [3–5] point towards an effect of diesel exhaust on allergic sensitisation. Traf c-related pollutants have been suggested to alter the antigenicity of pollen and might thereby cause increased allergic sensitisation or precipitate symptoms in allergic subjects [6–8]. Most, but not all, paediatric epidemiological studies found a consistent but small effect of long-term exposure to car traf c or its emissions on respiratory symptoms and lung function [2, 9–14]. A large cross-sectional study using pollutant exposure measured on a 1-km2 grid in Dresden, Germany, found increased cough, bronchitis and nonatopic asthma, but no effect on atopic asthma and allergies [2]. However, due to the German reuni cation process, pollutant exposure has For editorial comments see page 913. *University Children9s Hospital, Munich, # Dept of Epidemiology, University of Ulm, Ulm, }Institute of Epidemiology and Social Medicine, University of Münster, Münster, Germany. Correspondence: T. Nicolai University Children9s Hospital Munich Germany Fax: 49 8951604409 E-mail: [email protected] Keywords: Asthma atopy children pollutants respiratory traf c Received: May 17 2002 Accepted after revision: January 6 2003 changed greatly during the lifetime of these children. More doctor-diagnosed asthma was reported in children living within 100 m of a freeway compared with those living farther away [15]. The relationship between allergy and traf c exposure is less consistent. A recent study in Switzerland found increased allergic sensitisation (but no relation to symptoms) in a subgroup of adults living for >10 yrs on a busy road [16]. However, a number of paediatric studies found no increase in allergy with measured traf c exposure [2, 9, 12, 13]. The con icting results of the epidemiological studies are at least partly attributable to small sample sizes in some studies, the dif culty of separating socioeconomic variables from traf c exposure, and reporting bias for self-reported traf c exposure and symptoms. As the reported effect size is mostly rather small, the sample must be suf ciently large to detect or exclude a possible association. Also, exposure assessment is dif cult but critical in such studies. The purpose of this study was to determine the relationship between vehicle-traf c counts and estimated pollutant levels at the place of residence and reported respiratory symptoms, doctor diagnoses and measured allergic sensitisation and respiratory function in a large random sample of children. Methods Study population and study design An International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) phase-II cross-sectional survey was performed TRAFFIC EXPOSURE, RESPIRATORY OUTCOMES AND ATOPY in Munich, Germany, with ~1.3 million inhabitants [17]. Random samples of school classes were selected in two age groups: school beginners aged 5–7 yrs and schoolchildren of the fourth grade aged 9–11 yrs. Questionnaires were given to parents, and children underwent skin-prick tests, blood sampling, lung function testing and bronchial challenge if written informed consent had been obtained from the parents. The local ethics committee had approved the study. Questionnaires The questionnaires included the ISAAC core questions on symptoms of asthma, allergic rhinitis and atopic eczema, which have been reported in detail elsewhere [18, 19], and were administered between September 1995–December 1996. Current wheeze was de ned as wheezing in the last 12 months. Children were de ned as having asthma if their parents reported that asthma had been diagnosed at least once or that a doctor had diagnosed asthmatic, or spastic or obstructive bronchitis more than once. Asthma with symptoms in the last 12 months was de ned as current asthma. Hay fever and atopic dermatitis were de ned by a reported diagnosis from a doctor. The questionnaire included detailed questions about the child9s nationality, the family history of atopic diseases, the number of siblings, and several other potential confounding factors, such as environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) exposure and parental education as a marker of socioeconomic status (SES). SES was de ned as highest parental school education; high SES being >12 yrs of school education or university. ETS was de ned as any current exposure to cigarettes, pipes or cigars in the home. Skin-prick tests All children in the 9–11 yrs age group were invited to participate in skin-prick testing, whereas in the younger age group only a random subsample (n=1,875) was selected. The sensitivity to six common aeroallergens (Dermatophagoides pteronyssinus, D. farinae, tree pollen, grass pollen, Alternaria tenuis and cat dander) was assessed using standardised extracts (ALK, Hørsholm, Denmark) and ALK lancets. A positive (histamine 10 mg?mL-1) and negative control were added. The weal size after 15 min was de ned as the mean of the longest diameter and the length of its perpendicular diameter. Children with a weal reaction " 3 mm after subtraction of the reaction to the negative control, to one or more of the allergens tested, were considered to be atopic. Blood sampling and laboratory analyses As with skin-prick testing, all children in the 9–11 yrs age group were asked to provide a blood sample, whereas in the younger age group only a random subsample (n=1,875 in Munich) was selected. Serum was separated by centrifugation, frozen and stored at -70°C before analysis. A screening test (SX1 test; Pharmacia, Uppsala, Sweden) was used to detect speci c serum immunoglobulin (Ig)E antibodies to a wide array of aeroallergens (D. pteronyssinus, mixed grass pollen, birch pollen, mugwort pollen, cat dander, dog dander and Cladosporium herbarum) in one central laboratory at the University of Berlin. Atopic sensitisation was assumed to be present if a level of " 0.7 kU?L-1 of speci c serum IgE was measured. 957 Pulmonary function testing and bronchial challenge Because of the long duration of the bronchial challenge protocol, only a random subsample of the children aged 9–11 yrs was invited to participate (n=2,019). Lung function was measured with a spirometer (MasterScope; Jäger, Würzburg, Germany). The criteria for completion of reproducible and satisfactory spirograms as set by the American Thoracic Society [20] were followed. Airway responsiveness was assessed using a 4.5% hyperosmolar saline challenge [17, 21]. Each subject, whose baseline forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) was >75% predicted [22], inhaled the saline solution for periods of increasing duration (0.5, 1, 2, 4, and 8 min). The challenge was stopped after the FEV1 had fallen by " 15% (bronchial hyperresponsiveness positive) or if the total inhalation period of 15.5 min had been completed. Traf c exposure assessment Average daily traf c counts were performed by the city administration for all streets with an a priori estimated vehicle count of >4,000?day-1. This resulted in counts being available for 1,840 street segments (of a total of 19,000). In addition, measurements of yearly average concentrations of traf cassociated pollutants (benzene, soot and NO2) at 18 heavy traf c sites in the city, and from 16 low-to-medium traf c sites were performed [23]. Traf c counts were measured in 1995; air pollution data from December 1996–February 1998. The street segments with traf c counts and the address of each child were entered into a computer-based geographical information system (GIS). By setting a distance limit of 50 m around each child9s home, the program identi ed all street segments with traf c counts within this distance, and the sum of their daily traf c counts was used to characterise traf c exposure for this child. This distance limit was used according to published data showing that the effect of car traf c decreases greatly approximately beyond this distance [24]. In a second step, the traf c-count categories of 0–50 m and >50–300 m and other available traf c characteristics (traf cjam percentage) were used to validate a model predicting average yearly pollutant levels as measured at these 34 monitors. The details of this modelling approach are described in another paper [23]. In short, a model using car-traf c counts and a weighting function, to account for the distance between measurement point and street, together with street characteristics (mainly per cent of time with stop-and-go conditions in the segment), was used to derive pollutant estimates. The parameters of this model were optimised to give the best t for the available actual pollutant-measurement data at the monitoring sites. The monitoring sites had been selected in a way to include both areas of high and low exposure. This model gave a very good estimate of the measured pollutants at low/medium and high exposure locations (benzene R2=0.80, soot 0.80, NO2 0.77). This model was then used to calculate predicted pollution levels at each child9s home address as exposure estimate. Statistical analyses As the expected effect of traf c was rather small, a highexposure group was de ned for comparison with less-exposed children. For traf c counts, the children with one or more traf c counts at å 50 m from their home (16.3% of all children) were considered at high exposure. This high-exposure group was then divided into tertiles to assess a possible dose/ response relationship, and was compared with the rest of the 958 T. NICOLAI ET AL. Table 1. – Participation rates All Munich children Parental questionnaire Skin-prick test Serum sample Bronchial challenge 6244/7509 3422/5705 2569/5705 1140/2019 German children with test# German children (83.2) (60.0) (45.0) (56.5) 4777/6198 2577/3710 1895/3710 904/1381 (77.1) (69.5) (51.1) (65.5) 3953/6198 2233/3710 1656/3710 771/1318 (63.8) (60.2) (44.6) (55.8) Data are presented as n/total n (%). #: plus geographically referenced address, stored in the geographical information system. study sample (83.7%). The threshold distance was later changed to 100 and 300 m for sensitivity analyses to assess consistency of results across various cut-offs. The children with no traf c count å 300 m were considered at very low exposure (22.7% of all children). For the pollutant levels, as derived from the validated model, the same proportion of children (i.e. 16.3%) at the upper end of the exposure distribution as in the 50 m limit analysis of the traf c counts was regarded as highly exposed, and this group was again divided into tertiles for the assessment of dose/response effects. Multiple logistic regression analyses including known relevant confounding variables (age, sex, ETS exposure, SES, family history of asthma, hay fever or eczema) were used to calculate odds ratios for the in uence of traf c exposure on the outcome variables. The rationale to stratify for ETS came from another paper published recently by the present group [25], which showed a strong interaction between ETS and low a1-antitrypsin serum levels resulting in low lung function among children with both exposures. The authors therefore reasoned that ETS might make the airways more susceptible to other potentially damaging factors, such as pollutant exposure. Results The questionnaire was distributed to 7,509 children in Munich (table 1). The proportion of children without German nationality was 23.1% (n=1,431) in Munich. As reported elsewhere, reporting behaviour and socioeconomic variables were profoundly different with regard to ethnic background [26]. Therefore, the analysis presented here was restricted to children with German nationality. Of the eligible German children for whom the questionnaire was returned, skin-prick tests were obtained in 2,577 (69.5%, table 1). Table 2 shows the prevalence of health outcomes for all German children. Table 3. – Outcomes and exposures in children participating and nonparticipating in skin-prick testing (SPT) With SPT Current asthma# Current wheeze# Morning cough# Hay fever# No traf c count <50 m Low traf c counts} Medium traf c countsz High traf c counts§ (3.7–5.4) (7.1–9.4) (17.3–20.6) (11.8–14.6) (81.8–84.9) (4.5–6.3) (4.8–6.7) (4.7–6.6) 6.1 9.6 18.7 9.7 84.1 5.4 5.4 5.2 (5.0–7.3) (8.3–11.1) (16.9–20.6) (8.4–11.2) (82.3–85.8) (4.4–6.6) (4.4–6.5) (4.2–6.3) Data are presented as % (95% con dence interval). #: with respective symptoms during last 12 months; }: 2600–15000 vehicles?day-1; z : 15001–30000 vehicles?day-1; §: >30000 vehicles?day-1, in street segment <50 m away from home. Substantial participation bias is unlikely since the prevalence of outcomes (except for a slightly higher prevalence of hay fever) and the proportion of car-traf c counts were not statistically different in children participating in skin-prick testing compared with those not participating (table 3). When additional socioeconomic information about individual city areas provided by the administration (percentage unemployed, percentage unemployed youth, percentage immigrants, average family size) were used for cluster analysis, no local effects on outcomes were seen (data not shown). Traf c counts Traf c counts in street segments varied from 2,600– 148,000 vehicles?day-1. Figure 1 shows the places of residence in relation to street segments. SES and ETS exposure were 5345 Table 2. – Prevalences of health outcomes 5340 203/3946 342/3889 734/3908 453/3892 436/2233 317/2224 256/2233 (5.1) (8.8) (18.8) (11.6) (19.5) (14.3) (11.5) Latitude km Current asthma# Current wheeze# Morning cough# Hay fever# Any skin-test reactivity " 3 mm Skin-test reactivity pollen " 3 mm Skin-test reactivity against indoor allergens " 3 mm Speci c IgE against aeroallergens " 0.7 kU?mL-1 Speci c IgE against food allergens " 0.7 kU?mL-1 Bronchial hyperreactivity 4.4 8.2 18.9 13.1 83.4 5.3 5.7 5.6 Without SPT 5335 5330 592/1656 (35.8) 181/679 (26.7) 159/771 (20.6) Data are presented as n/total n (%). Ig: immunoglobulin. respective symptoms during the last 12 months. # : with 5325 4450 4455 4460 4465 4470 Longitude km 4475 4480 Fig. 1. – Places of residence of children and street segments in Munich. 959 TRAFFIC EXPOSURE, RESPIRATORY OUTCOMES AND ATOPY Table 4. – Respiratory and atopic outcomes in relation to traf c counts in the area of residence Outcome Crude reference prevalence % (raw numbers) Exposure tertile Asthma 10.4 (318/3071) Low Medium High Low Medium High Low Medium High Low Medium High Low Medium High Low Medium High Low Medium High Low Medium High Current asthma# 5.0 (157/3124) Current wheeze# 8.6 (266/3085) Cough} 18.0 (559/3097) Hay fever 11.7 (360/3082) Skin-prick test " 3 mm 19.4 (341/1762) Pollen 13.9 (243/1754) Speci c IgE aeroallergens " 0.7 kU?mL-1 36.3 (476/1311) Crude prevalence % (raw numbers) 9.4 9.6 12.2 3.1 5.7 8.6 7.3 8.5 13.5 18.7 22.3 26.8 10.9 12.4 13.3 17.9 18.2 23.4 14.2 14.2 18.9 28.8 34.7 39.5 (18/192) (20/208) (24/197) (6/196) (12/211) (17/197) (14/192) (18/211) (26/193) (36/193) (47/211) (52/194) (21/192) (26/209) (26/196) (20/112) (22/121) (26/111) (16/113) (17/120) (21/111) (23/80) (34/98) (32/81) Adjusted OR (95% CI) 0.902 0.931 1.194 0.607 1.177 1.790 0.848 1.008 1.663 1.049 1.323 1.622 0.940 1.061 1.171 0.846 0.971 1.373 0.961 1.067 1.567 0.682 0.933 1.213 (0.545–1.493) (0.576–1.506) (0.762–1.871) (0.264–1.396) (0.639–2.171) (1.051–3.048) § (0.483–1.488) (0.609–1.669) (1.073–2.578) § (0.720–1.528) (0.942–1.858) (1.162–2.266) ƒ (0.585–1.510) (0.688–1.638) (0.756–1.814) (0.509–1.405) (0.595–1.584) (0.857–2.200) (0.551–1.677) (0.619–1.840) (0.940–2.613)z (0.411–1.130) (0.600–1.453) (0.755–1.947) OR: odds ratio; CI: con dence interval; Ig: immunoglobulin; low: 2600–15000 vehicles?day-1; medium: 15001–30000 vehicles?day-1; high: >30000 vehicles?day-1 in street segment <50 m away from home. #: with respective symptoms during the last 12 months; }: morning cough during the last 12 months. ORs adjusted for age, sex, socioeconomic status, and family history of asthma, hay fever, or eczema. Traf c categories analysed versus rest of population (reference). z : p=0.05–å 0.10; §: p=0.01–å 0.05; ƒ : på 0.01. linked with traf c exposure. Children living close (å 50 m) to a busy street (>30,000 cars?day-1) were more often of lower SES (59.3%) compared with the total sample (48.8%) and those (44.3%) with no traf c count å 300 m (p<0.0001; Cochran Armitage trend test). When the effect of traf c counts on outcomes was strati ed for SES, no effect modi cation was seen. The same relationship was found for ETS exposure: 51.9% of those living close to a busy street were exposed compared with 40.0% in the total sample and 35.1% in the low traf c areas (p<0.0001). When traf c counts at å 50 m distance were used as an exposure variable and the outcomes were contrasted against the rest of the population (table 4), a signi cant association was found between total traf c count and cough, current asthma and wheeze, and a dose/response effect was suggested. When stratifying the population into children exposed and not exposed to ETS, an effect modi cation for ETS was seen. Among children with ETS exposure (table 5), traf c volume was signi cantly associated with current asthma, a positive skin-prick test and positive skin-prick tests to pollen. A dose/ response effect was again observed in this stratum. No signi cant effects of traf c on lung function and bronchial hyperreactivity were observed. In children without ETS exposure, the effect of traf c was statistically signi cant only for cough (data not shown). When children were strati ed by skin-prick test positivity, the associations between traf c and outcomes remained signi cant only for atopic children. This was, however, probably due to the small proportion of children with asthma and asthma symptoms in the nonatopic group leading to very small sample sizes for the highly exposed nonatopic children. When the distance limit for roads de ning high traf c exposure was increased from 50 m up to 100 m, the association of traf c counts with current asthma (in children with ETS exposure with asthma, skin-prick test and sensitisation to pollen) remained signi cant. For a distance limit of 300 m, the association became less clear but was still signi cant with cough. In addition to car-traf c volume, truck-traf c counts (~10% of total counts) were also available. When the latter were used in the analysis, approximately the same associations as with total traf c counts were found with the outcome variables (data not shown). If the children living in areas with no available traf c count at å 300 m distance were analysed separately, a tendency for relatively high prevalences of atopic diseases were found, although NS: 6.3% current asthma (versus 4.8% in the rest of the population), 11.9% current hay fever (versus 11.7%) and 22.6% had a positive skin-prick test (versus 18.7%). Pollutant concentrations Estimated exposure to traf c-related pollutants, as calculated from the above-described model for the home of the children, was used as exposure variables in a multivariate logistic regression model. Results for the highest tertiles of high exposure versus low exposure are shown in table 6, while the same is presented for children additionally exposed to ETS in table 7. Cough was associated with soot, benzene and NO2, current asthma with soot and benzene, and current wheeze with benzene and NO2, each without a clear dose/response gradient. No effect modi cation was found for exposure to ETS. No signi cant associations with lung function and bronchial hyperresponsiveness were detectable for any pollutant (data not shown). 960 T. NICOLAI ET AL. Table 5. – Respiratory and atopic outcomes in relation to traf c counts in the area of residence for children additionally exposed to environmental tobacco smoke Outcome Crude reference prevalence % (raw numbers) Exposure tertile Asthma 10.8 (126/1169) Low Medium High Low Medium High Low Medium High Low Medium High Low Medium High Low Medium High Low Medium High Low Medium High Current asthma# 5.2 (62/1193) Current wheeze# 9.1 (107/1178) Cough} 19.1 (226/1186) Hay fever 10.4 (123/1179) Skin-prick test " 3 mm 15.8 (110/695) Pollen 11.8 (82/694) Speci c IgE aeroallergens " 0.7 kU?mL-1 33.1 (164/496) Crude prevalence % (raw numbers) 4.8 11.0 13.6 1.2 5.9 9.7 4.8 9.9 14.0 20.7 25.7 26.7 6.1 16.8 15.7 13.7 23.8 28.8 11.5 19.4 25.0 25.7 33.3 45.0 (4/83) (11/100) (14/103) (1/83) (6/101) (10/103) (4/83) (10/101) (14/100) (17/82) (26/101) (27/101) (5/82) (17/101) (16/102) (7/51) (15/63) (15/52) (6/52) (12/62) (13/52) (9/35) (16/48) (18/40) Adjusted OR (95% CI) 0.438 1.009 1.343 0.232 1.130 2.047 0.523 1.095 1.697 1.177 1.487 1.543 0.578 1.678 1.739 0.785 1.539 2.670 0.915 1.662 3.255 0.655 1.003 1.761 (0.157–1.222) (0.521–1.957) (0.736–2.452) (0.032–1.700) (0.472–2.706) (1.005–4.171) § (0.187–1.461) (0.550–2.179) (0.927–3.106)z (0.674–2.054) (0.927–2.385)z (0.967–2.462)z (0.227–1.472) (0.944–2.981)z (0.967–3.126)z (0.339–1.817) (0.812–2.918) (1.353–5.268) ƒ (0.372–2.247) (0.829–3.331) (1.581–6.699) ƒ (0.296–1.451) (0.524–1.920) (0.897–3.458)z OR: odds ratio; CI: con dence interval; Ig: immunoglobulin; Low: 2600–15000 vehicles?day-1; Medium: 15001–30000 vehicles?day-1; High: >30000 vehicles?day-1 in street segment<50 m away from home. #: with respective symptoms during the last 12 months. }: morning cough during the last 12 months. ORs adjusted for age, sex, socioeconomic status, and family history of asthma, hay fever, or eczema. Traf c categories analysed versus rest of population (reference). z : p=0.05–å 0.10; §: p=0.01–å 0.05; ƒ : på 0.01. Table 6. – Respiratory and atopic outcomes in relation to estimated pollutant levels at residence Outcome Soot Asthma Current asthma Current wheeze Cough Hay fever Skin-prick test Pollen Speci c IgE aeroallergens Benzene Asthma Current asthma Current wheeze Cough Hay fever Skin-prick test Pollen Speci c IgE aeroallergens NO2 Asthma Current asthma Current wheeze Cough Hay fever Skin-prick test Pollen Speci c IgE aeroallergens Crude reference prevalence % (raw numbers) Crude prevalence % (raw numbers) Adjusted OR (95% CI) 10.1 5.0 8.6 17.9 11.9 20.5 15.2 36.8 (301/2982) (152/3031) (259/2996) (537/3008) (357/2993) (344/1682) (255/1675) (463/1258) 13.2 8.0 11.2 24.1 12.8 16.0 12.3 37.9 (26/197) (16/201) (22/197) (48/199) (25/196) (21/131) (16/130) (36/95) 1.423 1.763 1.409 1.483 1.103 0.864 0.904 1.124 (0.920–2.201) (1.021–3.044) } (0.883–2.248) (1.055–2.086) } (0.708–1.721) (0.528–1.417) (0.520–1.573) (0.723–1.747) 10.1 5.1 8.8 17.7 11.8 20.4 15.0 37.4 (302/2979) (153/3029) (263/2992) (533/3005) (353/2988) (343/1684) (251/1678) (469/1255) 12.4 9.3 13.0 23.4 10.9 14.6 9.8 34.8 (25/201) (19/204) (26/200) (47/201) (22/201) (18/123) (12/123) (31/89) 1.269 2.045 1.646 1.423 0.900 0.768 0.688 0.983 (0.816–1.975) (1.227–3.407)z (1.062–2.552) } (1.010–2.005) } (0.565–1.434) (0.453–1.300) (0.369–1.283) (0.619–1.563) 10.2 5.1 8.8 17.9 11.8 20.5 15.2 37.1 (304/2980) (154/3029) (263/2992) (538/3007) (352/2990) (344/1676) (254/1669) (464/1251) 12.1 7.4 12.1 25.5 12.2 15.4 10.9 38.1 (24/199) (15/202) (24/198) (51/200) (24/197) (20/130) (14/129) (37/97) 1.282 1.655 1.579 1.599 1.038 0.818 0.777 1.141 (0.817–2.010) (0.944–2.901) # (1.005–2.482) } (1.144–2.234)z (0.661–1.630) (0.495–1.354) (0.433–1.394) (0.736–1.767) OR: odds ratio; CI: con dence interval; Ig: immunoglobulin; NO2: nitrogen dioxide. ORs adjusted for age, sex, socioeconomic status, and family history of asthma, hay fever, or eczema. High exposure tertiles analysed versus rest of population. Soot (mg?m-3): 8.07–9.24, >9.24–10.73,>10.73; Benzene (mg?m-3): 4.74–5.31, >5.31–7.27, >7.27; NO2 (mg?m-3): 42.87–47.15,>47.15–57.44, >57.44. For brevity, ORs (95% CI) and prevalences are only shown for highest traf c exposure tertile for each outcome variable. #: p=0.05–å 0.10; }: p=0.01–å 0.05; z : på 0.01. 961 TRAFFIC EXPOSURE, RESPIRATORY OUTCOMES AND ATOPY Table 7. – Respiratory and atopic outcomes in relation to estimated pollutant levels at residence for children additionally exposed to environmental tobacco smoke Outcome Crude reference prevalence % (raw number) Soot Asthma Current asthma Current wheeze Cough Hay fever Skin-prick test Pollen Speci c IgE aeroallergens Benzene Asthma Current asthma Current wheeze Cough Hay fever Skin-prick test Pollen Speci c IgE aeroallergens NO2 Asthma Current asthma Current wheeze Cough Hay fever Skin-prick test Pollen Speci c IgE aeroallergens Crude prevalence % (raw number) Adjusted OR (95% CI) 10.3 5.2 8.9 18.9 10.5 17.3 13.3 33.4 (117/1136) (60/1156) (102/1144) (218/1151) (120/1143) (113/655) (87/654) (156/467) 16.7 10.1 13.5 27.6 16.3 19.7 16.7 34.0 (16/96) (10/99) (13/96) (27/98) (16/98) (13/66) (11/66) (16/47) 1.746 2.070 1.582 1.668 1.549 1.223 1.363 0.980 (0.978–3.115) # (1.013–4.231) } (0.848–2.950) (1.042–2.670) } (0.862–2.784) (0.629–2.379) (0.669–2.777) (0.512–1.874) 10.4 5.2 9.3 18.6 10.5 16.9 12.9 34.3 (118/1130) (60/1150) (106/1137) (213/1145) (119/1137) (110/651) (84/651) (158/461) 14.6 11.4 13.7 24.3 15.4 19.4 13.4 30.6 (15/103) (12/105) (14/102) (25/103) (16/104) (13/67) (9/67) (15/49) 1.437 2.407 1.593 1.407 1.432 1.274 1.109 0.860 (0.797–2.588) (1.235–4.692)z (0.871–2.915) (0.873–2.269) (0.799–2.565) (0.655–2.479) (0.517–2.377) (0.448–1.653) 10.3 5.2 9.0 18.9 10.3 17.3 13.3 34.0 (117/1131) (60/1151) (103/1139) (217/1147) (117/1138) (112/649) (86/648) (157/462) 15.5 9.1 13.5 28.6 16.3 21.7 17.4 35.8 (15/97) (9/99) (13/96) (28/98) (16/98) (15/69) (12/69) (19/53) 1.563 1.837 1.607 1.722 1.538 1.442 1.487 1.093 (0.865–2.826) (0.873–3.867) (0.861–2.999) (1.081–2.744) } (0.855–2.766) (0.765–2.718) (0.747–2.963) (0.595–2.007) OR: odds ratio; CI: con dence interval; Ig: immunoglobulin; NO2: nitrogen dioxide. ORs adjusted for age, sex, socioeconomic status, and family history of asthma, hay fever, or eczema. High exposure tertiles analysed versus rest of population. Soot (mg?m-3): 8.07–9.24, >9.24–10.73,>10.73; Benzene (mg?m-3): 4.74–5.31, >5.31–7.27, >7.27; NO2 (mg?m-3): 42.87–47.15,>47.15–57.44, >57.44. For brevity, ORs (95% CI) and prevalences are only shown for highest traf c exposure tertile for each outcome variable. #: p=0.05–å 0.10; }: p=0.01–å 0.05; z : på 0.01. Discussion In this large population-based survey, high vehicle traf cdensity close to the home was related to respiratory complaints, such as cough, wheeze and current asthma in children. The authors also found an association between exposure to heavy road traf c and allergic sensitisation for a small subgroup, additionally exposed to ETS. High traf c-related air pollutant exposure was associated with asthma and cough, but not with allergic sensitisation. Several methodological limitations must be considered before attempting to interpret these ndings. The city of Munich provided traf c counts for all street segments with an a priori estimate of>4,000 vehicles?day-1 only. In this city, most street segments are small side streets and had no counts available. This may have led to some misclassi cation of traf c exposure. Also, pollutant exposure values at the homes, derived from a validated model, were used to estimate personal exposure rather than direct personal samplers. This approach will only yield an approximation of real exposure. Children living close to streets with heavy traf c had particular lifestyle characteristics, which make it dif cult to differentiate a possible direct effect of car-traf c exposure from these in uences. Their families were of a lower SES and their children were more often exposed to ETS. When the analyses were strati ed for high/low SES, however, no effect modi cation for the traf c-related outcomes was seen. No clustering of outcomes was observed with local socioeconomic characteristics of the city areas. Still, a residual confounding effect of SES cannot be excluded, since Munich has no areas with obvious social deprivation. Children living in homes that were least exposed to traf c were at the other end of the socioeconomic spectrum. Atopic diseases have been found more often in af uent families [27, 28]. The bene cial effect of low traf c exposure might actually be obscured, as children from these families can be expected to have higher prevalences of these diseases due to lifestyle factors associated with high SES. Still, these observations must be interpreted with care as the assessment of SES rests on information on parental education and misclassi cation may have occurred. Interestingly, the study in children living close to a busy freeway in Holland showed an effect on asthma only in children with low-to-medium SES [15]. The advantages of this study are the large number of subjects, the population-based design and the GIS-based assessment of exposure using traf c counts or measurements of air pollutants rather than self-reports. The use of pollution exposure derived from a modelling approach, well validated across high-to-low exposure measurement sites, allows assessment of the plausibility of direct pollutant effects versus other traf c-related mechanisms. Participation or reporting bias is a concern in studies where only subsamples of children take part in some of the measurements (such as skin-prick testing or serum sampling). Participation rates for allergy tests were indeed lower than for the questionnaire (table 1), but as outcomes and traf c exposure categories showed only minor differences between participating and nonparticipating children (table 3), it is 962 T. NICOLAI ET AL. unlikely that bias introduced by this effect can explain these results. Two interesting observations can be derived from the data presented here. Firstly, high traf c exposure was associated with cough, asthma and wheeze in all children, and with atopic sensitisation in children additionally exposed to ETS. Similar associations with outcomes were seen for traf crelated air pollution levels. The ndings regarding asthma are in accordance with those reported for Dutch children living along busy freeways [10, 15]. A survey from Dresden found pollutant effects for bronchitis, nonatopic asthma and cough but not for atopic asthma, allergy and lung function [2]. However, exposure had changed over the lifetime of these children and may have differed during the early years crucial for allergy inception from the exposure measured later on. A Swiss study reported traf c effects on pollen allergy for a subsample of the adults studied (those living >10 yrs at the same address) [16]. When effects are only found in subsamples in epidemiological studies, the question of multiple comparisons resulting in spurious ndings must be considered. Biological plausibility may argue in favour of both the results in the Swiss study and the ndings of the study reported here. Recently, ETS exposure was found to be associated with diminished lung function in children with low a1-antitrypsin levels [25] indicating that ETS exposure together with other detrimental factors may result in overt respiratory damage. Secondly, when streets >50 m from home were included in the exposure assessment, the traf c effect was diluted. A large study from Italy found effects only for reported lorry traf c at the street of residence, but not in the zone of residence [11]. The same weakening of effects was apparent in this study when mean yearly pollutant levels were used as the exposure variable. No signi cant effect on allergic sensitisation was seen for pollutant exposure. This could indicate that the observed effects of traf c in streets <50 m from home on atopy are not caused by emissions from vehicles but rather due to residual confounding, e.g. socioeconomic characteristics associated with such a place of residence. Although the pollutant exposure assessment gave good results with ~80% predictive power at the measurement stations, misclassi cation due to the limitations of the modelling approach cannot be excluded. This would equally result in a diminished association between estimated pollutants and outcomes. A smaller study in 317 children from Düsseldorf, Germany, found exposure to NO2 as estimated from measured outdoor levels in front of the home (but not the personal sampler derived individual exposure) to be related to skin-prick tests positivity and speci c IgE [29]. This could indicate that individual substances may not re ect the mechanism by which the traf c-associated health effects are caused. Alternatively, if traf c exposure at short distance were the cause for the increased prevalence of sensitisation, it would have to be mediated via an effect or substance that is less easily dispersed in the surroundings than benzene, soot or NO2. Larger particles may display such characteristics, and dust containing latex or carbon has been implicated in health effects of traf c [30]. However, a recent study found no increase in latex sensitisation in children living close to busy streets [31]. 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Latex allergen in respirable particulate air pollution. J Allergy Clin Immunol 1995; 95: 88–95. Hirsch T, Neumeister V, Weiland SK, et al. Traf c exposure and allergic sensitization against latex in children. J Allergy Clin Immunol 2000; 106: 573–578. CHAPTER 1 Epidemiological studies of chronic respiratory conditions in relation to urban air pollution in adults G. Viegi, S. Baldacci Pulmonary Environmental Epidemiology, CNR Institute of Clinical Physiology, Pisa, Italy. Correspondence: G. Viegi, Pulmonary Environmental Epidemiology Group, CNR Institute of Clinical Physiology, Via Trieste 41, 56126 Pisa, Italy. In 1952, in London, UK, there was an episode of air pollution that caused a substantial number of excess deaths (y4,000), part due to respiratory diseases, especially bronchitis [1]. Subsequently, attention was drawn to the possibility that high concentrations of outdoor air pollutants may cause severe health effects and deaths. Investigations into the mechanisms by which air pollutants affect respiratory diseases and which diseases are caused by air pollution were therefore implemented. The need to control air pollutants and to lay the basis for directives and laws to regulate air pollutant levels has prompted epidemiological research. The 20th century has seen decreases in the major infections (pneumonia and tuberculosis) and a dramatic increase in lung cancer (due mostly to cigarette smoking) [2, 3]. During the last 20 yrs, the increase in asthma morbidity and mortality in many countries prompted studies aimed at evaluating the contribution of environmental factors to these events. In the 1970s, the large French "Pollution atmosphérique et affections respiratoires chroniques" study investigated the effects of air pollution on the health of adults [4, 5]. It showed that air pollution, defined as black smoke or sulphur dioxide (SO2), affected the prevalence of chronic bronchitis and cough. Increasing motor vehicle traffic in the 1980s and its effects on health, such as raising asthma rates in children and adults, led to new epidemiological studies, based on new methods, which were concerned with the effect of air pollutants on respiratory diseases. This process was also prompted by revisions of the air pollutant regulations in the USA and in Europe, and of air quality guidelines by the World Health Organisation (WHO). Air pollution epidemiology has, thus, become an important tool for the reformulation of air quality guidelines by the WHO and for the regulation of air pollutants in different regions. Because of the need to regulate air pollution and to rely, for this purpose, on studies on the effect of air pollutants on human health, research has tended to focus on the effects of individual pollutants. Regulation generally concerns single air pollutants, whereas the health effects are probably often caused by the inhalation of several pollutants. In the past, two main patterns of air pollution were recognised: the reducing or London type and the oxidising or Los Angeles type [6, 7]. The first type contained sulphur oxides (SO2, sulphur trioxide), sulphuric acid, sulphate salts, and total suspended particulates (TSP) from fossil fuels. It was associated with episodes in which excess mortality or preventable deaths were reported in patients with chronic heart or lung disease. It was also considered a factor in the development of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The second type, whose primary source was automobile Eur Respir Mon, 2002, 21, 1–16. Printed in UK - all rights reserved. Copyright ERS Journals Ltd 2002; European Respiratory Monograph; ISSN 1025-448x. ISBN 1-904097-24-3. 1 G. VIEGI, S. BALDACCI exhausts, contained oxides of nitrogen and hydrocarbons. These were transformed by sunlight into secondary components i.e. ozone (O3), aldehydes and ketones, and peroxyacetyl nitrate that were considered responsible for initiating effects. The real situation is, indeed, less simple and mixed patterns of air pollution characterise urban air quality. However, in newer studies health effects are associated with individual pollutants. In this chapter, an attempt will be made to look at different health outcomes (excluding cancers) of outdoor pollution exposure, and summarise studies which have shown effects for different pollutants in adult populations. This chapter follows the pattern of one written recently by Ackermann-Liebrich [8] for another European Respiratory Monograph. Mechanisms and effects on children will be fully dealt with in other chapters of this monograph. Assessment of exposure Many papers have been published about air pollution exposure assessment [9, 10], but the question as to which measurement best reflects a person’s exposure remains to be answered. A personal monitor might be the best measure of a person’s exposure to a particular pollutant, over an observed time. However, such measurements can only cover a shortterm period for one specific pollutant. The effects of pollutants are also determined by previous exposure (e.g. whether the subject lived in a rural or an urban area), by the pollution mix and by the way of pollutant penetration into the lung. Studies on air pollution epidemiology mostly use central measuring stations as proxies for population exposure, although this cannot entirely correspond to the true exposure. When comparing different populations the investigators take into account the average exposure in the community. Criticisms about the use of central measuring stations are also based on the fact that in industrialised societies people spend most of the time indoors. Exposure to air pollution in the indoor environment might deviate from outdoor exposure due to the presence of indoor sources, but recent studies [11–13] have shown that most outdoor pollutants penetrate indoors and indoor air quality is largely determined by outdoor pollutant concentrations. Air pollution epidemiology has to deal with defining the exposure time with which a health effect is related. Two main strategies have been devised to study exposure time: short- and long-term domains. The short-term effects of air pollutants have been studied by analysing day-to-day changes in air pollutant concentrations along with changes in population health indicators, such as peak flow variability [14–16], hospital admissions [17] or mortality (Air Pollution and Health: a European Approach; APHEA project) [18–21]. Long-term means (e.g. annual means) of community air pollution have been related to individual health outcomes, such as lung function [22, 23], methacholine responsiveness [24], cough, bronchitis or bronchitic symptoms [25–27] (considering other individual characteristics which may be confounders or effect modifiers). The study designs used have been cross-sectional studies [21, 22, 26], longitudinal studies of populations [28, 29] or panel studies which have made a link between short- and long-term effects in respiratory diseases [30, 31]. In this chapter "short-term exposure" stands for exposure measurements of varying duration between hours (as used for O3) and days (for the other pollutants), whilst "long-term exposure" refers to yearly or monthly averages. These studies can use either 2 RESPIRATORY EFFECTS OF AIR POLLUTION exposure data from monitoring stations or personal samplers, or models incorporating both [9, 10]. Distribution of exposure Estimates about the number of people exposed to levels exceeding air quality standards are regularly presented by the WHO. Excess O3 has become a problem not only in southern Europe but also in the northern part of the continent. Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) is a problem in urban areas where short- and long-term air quality standards are continuously violated, as depicted in figure 1 of Ackermann-Liebrich’s chapter [8]. SO2 is no longer a problem within most of Western European regions, whereas in the former Eastern European countries it still represents a considerable problem, due to massive coal burning, however, the problem is decreasing. Data on particulates (measured as TSP, black smoke or particles with an aerodynamic diameter v10 mm (PM10)) are patchy. Not all countries report data on particulates and not in a standardised way. But as TSP and especially PM10 tends to be correlated to the levels of NO2, a map of NO2 concentrations gives a usable measure of the situation. In the USA, it was shown that in the early 1990s, w80 million people lived in counties in which mean pollutants levels exceeded the national air quality standards, although antipollution laws have a longer tradition in the USA than elsewhere [32]. Respiratory effects related to air pollutants In adults, three respiratory conditions are epidemiologically important: 1) asthma rates which are on the increase worldwide; 2) the increasing rate of bronchitis in smokers and neversmokers; and 3) an undefined proportion of lung cancer in nonsmokers. Diseases and mortality have been related to air pollution in all age groups. The evidence, however, is different for different diseases. Data on respiratory diseases linked to air pollutants and related to different durations of exposure will be reviewed. Table 1 shows the main outdoor air pollutants and their sources and health effects. In recent years, attention has focused on particulate matter. Very recent evidence is leading to a more detailed characterisation of this pollutant [33]. Previously, it was reported that fine particle mass (PM2.5, expressed in mg?m-3), which is primarily from combustion sources, but not coarse particle mass, which is primarily from crustal sources, was associated with daily mortality in six eastern USA cities [34]. In the new study, Laden et al. [33] used the elemental composition of size-fractionated particles to identify several distinct source-related fractions of fine particles, and examined the association of these fractions with daily mortality in each of the six cities. Using specific rotation factor analysis for each city, they identified a silicon factor classified as soil and crustal material, a lead factor classified as motor vehicle exhaust, a selenium factor representing coal combustion, and up to two additional factors. They extracted daily counts of deaths from National Centre for Health Statistics records and estimated city-specific associations of mortality with each source factor by Poisson regression, adjusting for time trends, weather, and the other source factors. In the combined analysis, a 10 mg?m-3 increase in PM2.5 from mobile sources accounted for a 3.4% increase in daily mortality (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.7–5.2%), and the equivalent increase in fine particles from coal combustion sources accounted for a 1.1% 3 G. VIEGI, S. BALDACCI Table 1. – Type, sources and respiratory health effects of common outdoor pollutants Type Source Main health effects Ozone (O3) Photochemical reactions from autovehicle traffic Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) Gas combustion Autovehicle traffic Sulphur dioxide (SO2) Fuel combustion, mainly from industry Autovehicle traffic Respirable suspended particulates (e.g. PM10, PM2.5) Autovehicle traffic Industrial activity Carbon monoxide (CO) Fuel combustion Lung function reduction Bronchial hyperresponsiveness Increased prevalence of respiratory symptoms Increased hospitalisation rate for respiratory disease Reduced exercise tolerance Bronchial hyperresponsiveness Lung function reduction Increased respiratory symptoms Reduced exercise tolerance Lung function reduction Increased prevalence of respiratory symptoms Increased mortality from respiratory diseases Increased number of emergency visits for respiratory disorders Lung function reduction Increased prevalence of respiratory symptoms/diseases Increased mortality from cardiorespiratory diseases Asthma exacerbations Reduced exercise tolerance PM10: particles with an aerodynamic diameterv10 mm; PM2.5: particles with an aerodynamic diameterv2.5 mm. increase (0.3–2.0%). PM2.5 crustal particles were not associated with daily mortality. These results indicate that combustion particles in the fine fraction from mobile and coal combustion sources, but not fine crustal particles, are associated with increased mortality. Long-term effects of air pollutants on respiratory health The study carried out in the USA, in six large cities characterised by different levels of air pollution, revealed a 26% higher risk from death for cardiorespiratory disease among the inhabitants of the most polluted city, with respect to those who lived in the least polluted city [28]. Confirmation of the effects on mortality of chronic exposure to air pollutants has also been obtained in a large prospective study on a sample of more than 500,000 Americans [35] and in a Swedish case-control study [36]. In California, USA, chronic bronchitis and asthma symptoms have been associated with suspended particulates [37], and in Italy it has been shown that living in an urban area is associated with a higher risk of chronic respiratory symptoms with respect to living in a rural area [38]. Air pollutants have been found to be related with respiratory symptoms/diseases in France [4, 5], in Switzerland [27], in the UK [39], in Sweden [40], in China [41], and in India [42]. The evidence of the effect of air pollution on asthmatic symptoms is contradictory; Scarlett et al. [39] could not find such an effect in so far as phlegm, and neither cough nor wheeze, was associated with black smoke. Other studies [26, 38, 43] showed an increase in the prevalence of asthmatic symptoms/diagnosis or of allergic sensitisation to pollens [44], and the incidence of asthma has been related to long-term exposure to higher O3 concentrations [45]. However, a recent review underlines the lack of sound evidence that asthma prevalence is related to the incidence of air pollution in different surroundings [46]. Beside the increment of mortality, symptomatology, requests for specialistic care and hospital admissions, air pollution is responsible for the reduction of lung function. 4 RESPIRATORY EFFECTS OF AIR POLLUTION Air pollution effects on lung function have been demonstrated in France [4, 5], the USA [29, 47, 48], Switzerland [22, 49], and China [50]. In particular, Tashkin et al. [29] in three different zones of Los Angeles, CA, USA, demonstrated that, among the inhabitants of the most polluted zone, the annual forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) decline was 23.6 mL?yr-1 higher, with respect to that of the inhabitants of the least polluted zone, whilst Schindler et al. [49] found that home outdoor measurements of NO2 and personal measurements of NO2 were related to a lower forced vital capacity (FVC; -0.59 and -0.74% per 10 mg?m-3, respectively) (table 2). In addition to the studies listed in table 2, KÜNZLI et al. [51], in a study of data from Austria, France and Switzerland, determined the cases attributable to air pollution for mortality and morbidity: epidemiology-based, exposure/response functions for a 10 mg?m-3 increase in PM10 above the daily mean level were used. Air pollution caused 6% of total mortality or w40,000 attributable cases per year. Approximately one-half of all mortality caused by air pollution was attributed to motorised traffic, which also accounted for w25,000 new cases of chronic bronchitis (adults), w290,000 episodes of bronchitis (children), w0.5 million asthma attacks, and w16 million days of restricted activity. In a case-crossover study carried out in Spain, Sunyer et al. [52] observed that for an increment of 20 mg?m-3 in the daily mean concentration of black smoke, patients who had been visited at the emergency department for COPD showed an 18% increased risk of mortality for respiratory diseases. Tellez-Rojo et al. [53] reported that a 10 mg?m-3 increase above the daily mean level of PM10 in Mexico City, Mexico, was associated with a 4.1% increase of daily mortality for COPD in inhabitants w64 yrs, after a 3-day lag (nonhospitalised). With a cumulative exposure of 5 days, the rate reached 6.1%, pinpointing a linear relationship in the range of pollution levels observed in the study, which was also able to show rate differences between deaths occurring inside medical units as opposed to those occurring elsewhere. The mechanisms of action already ascertained or hypothesised regarding which air pollution induces damages to the respiratory system, are numerous and complex. They were reviewed by the American Thoracic Society in 1996 [32]. Evidence of the importance of bronchial hyperresponsiveness in terms of susceptibility to the effects of air pollution comes from a Dutch study [54]. Only hyperreactive subjects showed an increase of prevalence of cough (23% for each 100 mg?m-3 rise in PM10) and of phlegm (22% for each 40 mg?m-3 rise in NO2). D’Amato [55], in a recent review, commented on the association of respiratory allergic diseases (rhinitis, rhinosinusitis, bronchial asthma and its equivalents) with air pollution. Laboratory studies confirm the epidemiological evidence that inhalation of some pollutants, either individually or in combination, adversely affect lung function in asthmatics. While NO2 does not exert consistent effects on lung function, O3, respirable particulate matter and allergens impair lung function and lead to increased airway responsiveness and bronchial obstruction in predisposed subjects. However, besides acting as irritants, airborne pollutants can modulate the allergenicity of antigens carried by airborne particles. By attaching to the surface of pollen grains and of plant-derived paucimicronic particles, pollutants can modify the morphology of these antigen-carrying agents and alter their allergenic potential. In addition, by inducing airway inflammation, which increases airway epithelial permeability, pollutants overcome the mucosal barrier and so facilitate the allergen-induced inflammatory responses. Moreover, air pollutants such as diesel exhaust emissions are thought to modulate the immune response by increasing immunoglobulin E synthesis, thus, facilitating allergic sensitisation in atopic subjects and the subsequent development of clinical respiratory symptoms. 5 6 Prospective study Cohort studies Cross-sectional studies 1982 [4, 5] 1997 [40] 1999 [27] 1999 [41] NOx/NO2, SO2 SO2, NO2 NO2, SO2 PM10, NO2, SO2 TSP Stockholm, Sweden: 1042 cases, 2364 controls France Sweden Switzerland China France Switzerland Switzerland New Haven, CT, USA Chongqing, China California, USA California, USA France Switzerland Delhi, India SO2 Traffic counts at domicile Conventional monitored pollutants SO2, NO2 PM10, NO2, SO2 NO2 O3 PM2.5, SO2 O3 Sulphates, PM10 O3 2000 [36] Black smoke TSP, SO2 1982 [4, 5] 1997 [22] 1998 [49] 1999 [47] 1999 [50] 1994 [29] 1998 [48] 1999 [45] 1999 [43] 2000 [44] 2001 [42] 1995 [39] 1999 [38] 1993 [28] 1995 [35] 1995 [37] England: birth cohort, 23-yrs follow-up Italy 8000 Americans, 6 cities, 15-yrs follow-up 552000 Americans, 50 cities, 8-yrs follow-up California, USA 1993 [28] 1995 [35] Reference and year PM10, PM2.5, sulphates PM2.5 Sulphates PM2.5 Sulphates TSP, PM10, PM2.5 Pollutants 8000 Americans, 6 cities, 15-yrs follow-up 552000 Americans, 50 cities, 8-yrs follow-up Population studied PM10: particles with an aerodynamic diameter v10 mm; PM2.5: particles with an aerodynamic diameter v2.5 mm; TSP: total suspended particulate; SO2: sulphur dioxide; NOx: nitrogen oxides; NO2: nitrogen dioxide; O3: ozone. Asthma incidence Respiratory symptoms Cough, respiratory symptoms Lower respiratory symptoms Persistent rates of cough, phlegm and wheeze Asthma prevalence Allergic sensitization to pollens Chronic cough, chronic phlegm, dyspnoea, lung function reduction Lung function Chronic bronchitis, asthma symptoms Phlegm Repeated cross-sectional studies Case-control Cohort studies Cardiopulmonary mortality Lung cancer mortality Study type Health outcome Table 2. – Respiratory effects of air pollution on adults G. VIEGI, S. BALDACCI RESPIRATORY EFFECTS OF AIR POLLUTION Short-term effects of air pollutants on respiratory health In 1994, Dockery and Pope [56] published a review of a large series of epidemiological studies, and placed particular attention on the role of suspended particulates. It was estimated that, for each increase of 10 mg?m-3 of PM10, there is an increment of mortality of 3.4% for respiratory diseases and of 1.4% for cardiovascular diseases; even total mortality is increased by 1%. More recently, the APHEA study carried out in 12 large European cities has confirmed these results [20]. Furthermore, it has been documented that, for each increase of 10 mg?m-3 of suspended particulate concentration, there is a proportional increment of hospital admissions and emergency room visits for respiratory disorders (increase of 1%). The increase is more marked when only asthmatic disorders are considered (an increment of 2–3% of both emergency visits and symptom exacerbations) [56]. In another study, the increase in hospital admissions has been documented not only for increased PM10 concentrations, but also for increased concentrations of O3 [57]. Panel studies Several panel studies have reported the effects on lung function of previous day levels of O3 [58–60], PM10 [30] and several other pollutants in exercising [61], asthmatic subjects [62] and adults [63]. In particular, FEV1 was associated with the level of PM10 on the day of testing in middle-to-moderate COPD patients tested twice, 10–90 days apart, in Salt Lake City, UT, USA [30]. Subjects retested on cleaner days had better lung function values than in the previous test. Asthmatic symptoms have been reported to increase with high previous day pollutant levels in asthmatic subjects in the Netherlands [64, 65], and in Switzerland [63]. An increase in night-time chest symptoms (relative risk (RR), 1.38; 95% CI: 1.07–1.78), associated with the interquartile range of PM10 of 35 mg?m-3, was observed in a panel study of 55 COPD patients followed up for 3 months in Christchurch, New Zealand [31] (table 3). Time-series studies In time-series studies looking at the effect of air pollutants, populations serve as their own control. Since other factors do not change very fast, the effect is unlikely to be influenced by behavioural or other confounders in the community. Associations with air Table 3. – Short-term effects of air pollutants on respiratory health of adults: panel studies Health outcome Population studied Pollutants Reference and year Lung function USA: adults, jogging USA: smokers The Netherlands: cyclists Canada: farmers, 10–69 yrs USA: asthmatics USA: hikers New Zealand: COPD patients The Netherlands: asthmatics The Netherlands: 50–70 yrs adults O3 PM10 O3 O3 NO2, SO2, BS O3, PM2.5, acid aerosols PM10 O3, PM10 PM10, BS, sulphate, SO2 1988 [58] 1993 [30] 1994 [59] 1996 [60] 1996 [62] 1998 [61] 1997 [31] 1998 [64] 2000 [65] Night-time chest symptoms Asthmatic symptoms O3: ozone; PM10: particles with an aerodynamic diameter v10 mm; NO2: nitrogen dioxide; SO2: sulphur dioxide; BS: black smoke; PM2.5: particles with an aerodynamic diameterv2.5 mm; COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. 7 G. VIEGI, S. BALDACCI pollution have been observed in many cities for general [34] and especially respiratory mortality [66, 67]. The APHEA project confirmed findings from earlier American studies [18, 20, 68, 69]. The effects were related to different fractions of particulate pollution, to SO2 and in Athens to O3. More recent studies have confirmed the association of respiratory mortality with air pollution in USA [70], London [71], New Zealand [72], Canada [73], and Brazil [74]. COPD mortality [34, 75] was found to be more strongly related to PM10 than the other causes of mortality. The same studies also looked at respiratory hospital admissions; COPD [17, 68, 69, 76–78] and asthma [79–81] admissions were found to be related to particulates, and also to SO2, NO2 and O3. SO2 and NO2, have also been related to visits to accident and emergency departments in London for respiratory complaints [82]. Particles, O3, NO2 and even carbon monoxide (CO) have been related to respiratory hospital admissions in other recent studies in the UK [82], Australia [83], Italy [84], and in the USA [85]. In addition, daily consultations for allergic rhinitis have been related to increased concentrations of SO2 and O3 in London [86] (table 4). Meteorological conditions and a high concentration of air pollutants have been associated with increased respiratory morbidity. In Valencia, Spain [87], the possible Table 4. – Short-term effects of air pollutants on respiratory health of adults: time-series studies Health outcome Population studied Pollutants Reference and year Respiratory mortality Philadelphia, PA, USA London, UK Paris, France Milan, Italy Mexico city, Mexico Coachella Valley, CA, USA London, UK Christchurch, New Zealand Montreal, Canada Sao Paulo, Brazil 6 cities, USA Birmingham, UK Paris, France Milan, Italy London, UK 5 European cities Sydney, Australia London, UK Brisbane, Australia Rome, Italy Paris, France 6 European cities 10 USA cities Atlanta, GA, USA: children Helsinki, Finland: adults Helsinki, Finland: children 4 European cities London, UK TSP O3 PM13 TSP, SO2 TSP PM10 PM10, BS, NO2, SO2, CO PM10 PM10, PM2.5 Fine particulates, SO2 PM10, PM2.5, sulphates PM10 BS, PM13, SO2 TSP, SO2 O3 O3 Particles, O3 PM10, SO2 O3, particulates, SO2 NO2, CO SO2, NO2 SO2, BS, TSP, NO2, O3 PM10 O3, PM10 SO2, O3 1994 [66] 1996 [18] 1996 [68] 1996 [69] 1997 [67] 1999 [70] 1999 [71] 2000 [72] 2001 [73] 2001 [74] 1997 [34] 1997 [75] 1996 [68] 1996 [68] 1996 [76] 1998 [77] 1998 [78] 1999 [82] 2001 [83] 2001 [84] 1996 [69] 1997 [17] 2000 [85] 1994 [79] 1996 [80] NO2, SO2 SO2, PM10, NO2 1997 [81] 1999 [82] London, UK SO2, O3 2001 [86] COPD mortality Respiratory hospital admissions COPD hospital admissions Asthma admissions Visits for respiratory complaints to accident and emergency departments Allergic rhinitis daily consultations TSP: total suspended particulate; O3: ozone; PM13: particles with an aerodynamic diameter v13 mm; SO2: sulphur dioxide; PM10: particles with an aerodynamic diameterv10 mm; BS: black smoke; NO2: nitrogen dioxide; CO: carbon monoxide; PM2.5: particles with an aerodynamic diameter v2.5 mm; COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. 8 RESPIRATORY EFFECTS OF AIR POLLUTION relationship of the concentration of black smoke and SO2 in the air, local weather conditions and emergency room visits for asthma was investigated. The weekly total of emergency room admissions for asthmatic adults during a 1-yr period was recorded together with daily metereological conditions (average temperature, humidity, rainfall, wind speed and barometric pressure) and average weekly levels of daily pollutant concentrations (black smoke and SO2). The relationship was assessed by stepwise regression linear models and analysis of variance. The analysis took into account season and metereological variables. Both air pollutants correlated significantly with emergency room admissions for asthma (SO2: regression coefficient (r)=0.32; black smoke: r=0.35). However, multiple regression analysis showed that black smoke was the only significant predictor of weekly visits. There were y3.5 admissions per week per sd of change (34.6 mg?m-3). There were no significant correlations between weekly emergency room visits and the weather variables. Analysis of the data stratified by season and weather conditions demonstrated that the association of black smoke with asthma exacerbation was more pronounced in autumn (r=0.67) or when temperatures were higher than average. A meteorological index of air stagnation was found to be associated with daily visits to the emergency department for asthma in two urban areas in North America [88]. Data on daily values of a stagnation persistence index and visits to the emergency department for asthma were collected for y2 yrs in Spokane, and for 15 months in Seattle, WA, USA. The stagnation persistence index represents the number of hours during the 24-h day when surface wind speeds are less than the annual hourly median value, an index readily available for most urban areas. Associations between the daily stagnation persistence index and daily emergency department visits for asthma were tested using a generalised additive Poisson regression model. A factor analysis of particulate matter (PM2.5) composition was performed to identify the pollutants associated with increased asthma visits. The relative rate of the association between a visit to the emergency department for asthma and the stagnation persistence index was 1.12 (95% CI: 1.05–1.19) in Spokane and 1.21 (1.09–1.35) in Seattle for an increase of 11 and 10 h, respectively, of low wind speed in a given day. Increased air stagnation was shown to be a surrogate for accumulation of the products of incomplete combustion, including CO and fine particulate levels of organic and elemental carbon, and was more strongly associated with asthma aggravation than any one of the measured pollutants. Care is needed when interpreting time-series models, which should clearly report how the confounding variables have been modelled. Indeed, Spanish investigators [89] have examined different methods of controlling for asthma epidemics in the time-series regression of the relationship between air pollution and asthma emergency room visits in Barcelona. Such a relationship was modelled using autoregressive Poisson models. The effect of using no control by epidemics, and modelling asthma epidemics was examined with a single dummy variable, six dummy variables, and a dummy variable for each epidemic day. Air pollution coefficients increased when controlling asthma epidemics with six dummy variables instead of a single variable. They further increased when autocorrelation was allowed for. Standard errors were relatively unaffected when either the epidemics or the autocorrelation were included in the model. Black smoke, NO2 and O3 were significantly associated to asthma emergency visits after using six dummy variables to control for asthma epidemics. Thus, different models, including different confounding variables, may give markedly different estimates of the effect of a pollutant on health. Semi-experimental studies Most evidence of health effects of air pollution comes from studies that have evaluated, either cross-sectionally, retrospectively or prospectively, the associations of 9 G. VIEGI, S. BALDACCI increased levels of air pollutions with health outcomes. From these, speculations have been drawn on the possibility of preventing mortality and morbidity by abating pollution levels. Instead, few investigators have been able to study the effects of situations in which reductions of pollution levels were accomplished due to some man-made interventions. Pope [90] studied the effects of the closure of a steel mill (the only important source of particulate in an area of the Utah Valley, USA), because of a long strike. A decrease in particulate pollution and respiratory hospital admissions was found. Jaakkola et al. [91] in South Karelia, Finland, assessed the health effects of emission reduction of malodorous sulphur compounds in a prospective cohort study with a controlled natural experiment. In the severely polluted community, the annual ambient air concentration of total reduced sulphur compounds decreased from 11 mg?m-3 to 6 mg?m-3. Compared with the nonpolluted community, the relative decrease in acute respiratory infections, adjusted for a change in smoking habits, was 0.53 episodes per person per year (95% CI: 0.22–0.83) in the severely polluted community and 0.36 episodes per person per year (0.06–0.66) in the moderately polluted community. In addition, the frequency of nasal symptoms and cough decreased significantly. Another interesting example occurred in Dublin, Eire [92] where the Government introduced a ban to marketing, sale and distribution of "bituminous coal" that resulted in a 65% reduction in average smoke levels for the three winters after the ban. For such a period, with respect to the three winters before the ban, total and respiratory mortality were estimated to have decreased by 1.6% and 13.1%, respectively. The analogous values for those w75 yrs of age were 5.8% and 15.7%, respectively. A peculiar "controlled" situation occurred in Germany [93, 94] after reunification. The important social and environmental variations were related to the data on respiratory conditions, assessed by consecutive prevalence studies conducted with the same methodology. It was possible to compare data between the two areas and the time trend in East Germany (where the variations occurred). This "natural experiment" has provided important information about the natural history of asthma and allergy. A particular situation of environmental-related asthma was described in Spain [95–98]. Asthma outbreaks due to the inhalation of soybean dust released from handling of soybean in the city harbour occurred in Barcelona, Spain from 1981–1987. The installation of bag filters in the faulty silo was followed by a substantial reduction of airborne soybean dust released into the atmosphere and the disappearance of asthma outbreaks. A study was undertaken to assess the relevant outcomes in asthma patients affected by soybean epidemic asthma 8 yrs after this environmental intervention. A repeat case-control study was performed in 1995 on a population of subjects with epidemic and nonepidemic asthma previously assessed in 1989. The same protocol was used in both surveys to collect data from patients via a questionnaire, and respiratory function, skin and laboratory tests were performed under blinded conditions with regard to epidemic and nonepidemic status. Environmental soybean allergen in pollution filters was measured by means of a radioallergosorbent test inhibition technique. During 1995– 1996 the 24-h mean airborne levels of soybean allergen on a sample of 39 unloading days (range: 31–269 mg?m-3) were systematically below the lowest level ever detected during an epidemic day (1500 mg?m-3). Measurable levels of serum immunoglobulin E antibodies against soybean were still present in 55% of patients with epidemic asthma compared with 6.0% of those with nonepidemic asthma (pv0.05). These proportions were almost identical to those observed in 1989. The proportion of patients with soybean asthma with symptoms in 1989 who reported the absence of symptoms in 1995 was similar to the control subjects, so most of the RRs of improvement were near to 1.0. The only statistically significant differences observed between the two groups were that a smaller proportion of patients with epidemic asthma showed improvement, in terms of being woken up by attacks of coughing (RR improvement 0.47; 95% CI: 0.22–0.99), and the 10 RESPIRATORY EFFECTS OF AIR POLLUTION need for treatment at the emergency room decreased (0.63; 0.41–0.96). Thus, 8 yrs after a large reduction in the levels of airborne soybean allergen, one-half of the former soybean epidemic asthma patients were still sensitised to soybean. These results indicate an initial improvement in soybean epidemic asthma in the 2 yrs following the intervention with no further improvement in subsequent years, i.e. a condition similar to occupational asthma. Very recently, Friedman et al. [99] were able to assess the impact of city-wide transportation changes on air quality and childhood asthma during the Summer Olympic Games in Atlanta, GA, USA. This ecological study compared the 17 days of the Olympic Games to a baseline period consisting of 4 weeks before and 4 weeks after the Olympic Games. Peak weekday morning traffic counts and peak daily O3 concentrations decreased 22.5% and 27.9% (from 81.3 to 58.6 parts per billion), respectively. In addition, PM10 concentrations showed a 16.1% decrease (from 36.7 to 30.8 mg?m-3). The number of acute care events decreased 41.6–44.1% in a health insurance database, 11.1% in a pediatric emergency department and 19.1% in hospital discharges. These data provide support for efforts to reduce air pollution and improve health via reductions in motor vehicle traffic. Conclusion Respiratory mortality and hospital admissions due to respiratory disease are strongly related to the previous days levels of air pollutants. This relationship has been confirmed by many studies in many different locations and has recently been investigated in the APHEA project in 17 European cities. Since the London smog episode in 1952, the discussion is ongoing whether mortality occurring in episodes is additional to what would occur anyway, i.e. whether pollution has an effect only on persons who would have been dying otherwise on the next days or whether it influences the total mortality over a longer period. People living in places with higher pollution levels, beside higher prevalences of respiratory symptoms/diseases, have a reduced life expectancy [28, 35, 100], a greater effect than would be expected from the short-term, time-series analyses. Lung function has been shown to be one of the best predictors of mortality in the Framingham study [101], and the relationship of air pollution with lung function has been described in terms of development of chronic lung disease from continuous exposure to different pollutants [27, 29, 37, 102]. It should be pointed out that clinically "small" effects of air pollution on FVC may have a large public health impact. KÜNZLI et al. [103] calculated, based on the data provided by the cross-sectional "Study on air pollution and lung diseases in adults", that for an increase of 10 mg?m-3 in the annual mean of PM10, the percentage of subjects with an FVC v70% predicted would increase from 5% to 8%. Respiratory physicians, as well as public health professionals, should advocate for a cleaner environment through the dissemination of knowledge about the respiratory effects of outdoor air pollution. This could help to protect susceptible individuals as well as to develop strategies to abate the sources. Summary This review of air pollution epidemiology methods and findings has focused on aspects of exposure definition and selection of study design. Evidence about the long-term 11 G. VIEGI, S. BALDACCI consequences of air pollution in terms of mortality and morbidity is described. Regarding short-term effects, both time-series studies on routinely collected statistics and panel studies on individuals are quoted. 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