2013 Political Risk Map_V5

2013 Political Risk Map
ARCTIC OCEAN
G R E E N L A N D
Baffin Bay
Laptev Sea
Kara Sea
Beaufort Sea
East Siberian Sea
Barents Sea
Nor wegian Sea
Davis Strait
Alaska (US)
ICELAND
Godthåb
SWEDEN
Reykjavik
Anchorage
NORWAY
North
Sea
Hudson Bay
RUSSIA
FINLAND
Helsinki
Oslo
Stockholm
St Petersburg
Tallinn
ESTONIA
Kaliningrad
(Russia)
UNITED
KINGDOM
IRELAND
Dublin
C A N A D A
BELGIUM
ITALY
New York
Washington, D.C.
VATICAN
SPAIN
M
Algiers
Melilla (Sp)
Dallas
Madeira (Port)
New Orleans
The Canaries (Sp)
LEBANON CYPRUS
PALESTINE
n
ISRAEL Tel Aviv
Cairo
ALGERIA
Amman
BAHRAIN
Santo
Domingo
Guadeloupe (Fr)
ST. KITTS & NEVIS
Banjul
GAMBIA
San José
COSTA RICA
Panama
TRINIDAD & TOBAGO
VENEZUELA
PANAMA
Georgetown
Paramaribo
COLOMBIA
Accra
Abidjan
Galapagos
Islands (Ecuador)
GHANA
Quito
Yaoundé
TOGO
SOUTH
SUDAN
ECUADOR
PERU
Bay of Bengal
Phnom Penh
MICRONESIA
PALAU
MALAYSIA
NAURU
Kuala Lumpur
SOUTH SUDAN
SINGAPORE
KENYA
Nairobi
SEYCHELLES
Dar-es-Salaam
BURUNDI
Jakarta
SOLOMON ISLANDS
Dili
MALAWI
Luanda
ZAMBIA
Brasilia
Port Moresby
TIMOR LESTE
COMOROS
BOLIVIA
PAPUA NEW
GUINEA
INDONESIA
RWANDA
Kinshasa
Timor
Sea
Lilongwe
Honiara
TUVALU
Darwin
FIJI
Lusaka
La Paz
VANUATU
St. Helena (UK)
MOZAMBIQUE
Harare
ZIMBABWE
2013 New Icons
Antananarivo
MAURITIUS
MADAGASCAR
Rio de Janeiro
PARAGUAY
Risks to Doing Business: The regulatory obstacles to setting up and operating business in
the country, such as excessive procedures, the time and cost of registering a new business,
dealing with building permits, trading across borders and getting bank credit with sound
business plans. This risk is found in 96 countries, including Argentina, Bolivia, Dominica,
Nigeria and Russia.
São Paulo
Asunción
BOTSWANA
Windhoek
ATLANTIC OCEAN
NAMIBIA
Reunion Islands (Fr)
Pretoria
New Caledonia (Fr)
KEY
Gaborone
Maputo
Johannesburg
SO U T H
AFRICA
Country risk level
Low risk
Medium-low risk
Buenos Aires
ARGENTINA
Montevideo
AUSTRALIA
Symbols illustrating significant risks
Brisbane
SWAZILAND
LESOTHO
URUGUAY
Santiago
CHILE
Cape Town
EXCHANGE TRANSFER:
SOVEREIGN NON-PAYMENT:
Perth
Sydney
POLITICAL INTERFERENCE:
Risks to Fiscal Stimulus: The risk of the government not being able to stimulate the economy
due to lack of fiscal credibility, declining reserves, high debt burden or government inefficiency.
This risk is found in 94 countries and territories, including Albania, Morocco, Liberia, Tanzania
and Uganda.
Medium risk
These icons are not used in determining the overall rating of the country, however it gives
insight into key factors of interest for visitors and investors.
High risk
Adelaide
SUPPLY CHAIN DISRUPTION:
Medium-high risk
Very high risk
Non Rated
Falkland
Islands (UK)
Scotia Sea
Aon's political risk experts use a combination of market experience, innovative analysis tools and tailored risk transfer programmes to help you minimise your exposure to political risks. Aon designs risk transfer
and management programmes to respond to adverse political actions, providing balance sheet protection and business facilitation. Political and security risk assessments are also available, allowing you to make
© Copyright Aon Group, Inc. 2013. All rights reserved. Published by Aon Global Corporate Marketing and Communications..
PHILIPPINES
KIRIBATI
INDIAN OCEAN
Bujumbura
Brazzaville
TONGA
For further information, please email [email protected] or visit www.aon.com/political-risks
VIETNAM
ANGOLA
PACIFIC OCEAN
informed decisions regarding your operations and investments.
CAMBODIA
Manila
South
China
Sea
Salvador
SAMOA
Banking Sector Vulnerability: The risk of a country’s domestic banking sector going into crisis
or not being able to support economic growth with adequate credit. This risk comprises
measures of the capitalization and strength of the banking sector, and macro-financial linkages
such as total indebtedness, trade performance and labor market rigidity. This risk is found in
106 countries and territories, including China, India, El Salvador and Thailand.
Bangkok
SRI LANKA
Mogadishu
TANZANIA
Lima
Tahiti
Ad
GUAM
LAOS
THAILAND
MALDIVES Colombo
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC
Kampala
OF CONGO
GABON
Cabinda (Angola)
Ascension Island (UK)
f
f o
Gul
HONG KONG
MACAU
Vientiane
Rangoon
YEMEN
Bangui
Libreville
CONGO
BRAZIL
Mumbai
Hanoi
BRUNEI
Kigali
Fortaleza
Arabian Sea
PACIFIC OCEAN
TAIWAN
BURMA (MYANMAR)
ETHIOPIA
UGANDA
SAO TOME & PRINCIPE
Dhaka
Kolkata
Addis Ababa
EQ GUINEA
COTE D'IVOIRE
INDIA
Muscat
SOMALIA
CENTRAL
LIBERIA
Taipei
BANGLADESH
Karachi
DJIBOUTI
CAMEROON AFRICAN REPUBLIC
Lomé
BHUTAN
OMAN
Sana
NIGERIA
Monrovia
SIERRA LEONE
UAE
N'Djamena
GUINEA
Freetown
Abu Dhabi
Mecca
SUDAN
BENIN
Conakry
FRENCH GUIANA (FR)
SURINAME Cayenne
Bogotá
Bissau
GUINEA BISSAU
GUYANA
BURKINA
FASO
Bamako
Niamey
East
China
Sea
Thimphu
Khartoum
CHAD
Dakar
GRENADA
Caracas
ERITREA
NIGER
CAPE VERDE
DOMINICA
Caribbean
ANGUILLA
ST. LUCIA
Netherlands
BARBADOS
Sea Antilles (NL) ST. VINCENT
Managua
NICARAGUA
MALI
Nouakchott
SENEGAL
ANTIGUA & BARBUDA
HONDURAS
Tegucigalpa
San Salvador
PUERTO RICO (US)
VIRGIN ISLANDS (US)
Katmandu
Delhi
QATAR
SAUDI
ARABIA
a
Port-auPrince
MAURITANIA
Shanghai
NEPAL
lf
Kingston
PAKISTAN
Gu
EGYPT
JAPAN
Tokyo
Osaka
Islamabad
Wuhan
KUWAIT
Jeddah
DOMINICAN REP
CHINA
Kabul
IRA Q
LIBYA
El Aaiun
Western Sahara
AFGHANISTAN
Se
Guatemala
EL SALVADOR
IRAN
Baghdad
JORDAN
HAITI
BELIZE
Mexico City
FRENCH
POLYNESIA
Tehran
Beirut
Damascus
CUBA
Cayman
Islands (UK)
Seoul
SOUTH KOREA
MALTA
ite
Se rran
a
ea
Pyongyang
TAJIKISTAN
e
Havana
Beijing
SYRIA
Riyadh
Belmopan
NIUE (NZ)
Ashkhabad
JAMAICA
Guadalajara
GUATEMALA
BAHAMAS
KYRGYZSTAN
NORTH KOREA
Dushanbe
TURKEY
Athens
Tashkent
Vladivostock
Alma Ata
TURKMENISTAN
Baku
Ankara
Red
Hawaiian
Islands (USA)
ATLANTIC OCEAN
UZBEKISTAN
AZERBAIJAN
ALBANIA
ed
Bishkek
Th
Gulf of Mexico
MEXICO
Miami
GEORGIA
F.Y.R. MACEDONIA
Tripoli
MOROCCO
Bermuda (UK)
Houston
TUNISIA
Rabat
Black
Sea
GREECE
SERBIA
Tunis
Bucharest
ARMENIA
MONTENEGRO
Gibraltar (UK)
Ceuta (Sp)
MONGOLIA
Rome
BOSNIA
Ulan Bator
MOLDOVA
BULGARIA
SAN MARINO
Madrid
Lisbon
Sarajevo
CROATIA
ANDORRA
PORTUGAL
Belgrade
Sea
Boston
ROMANIA
ian
MONACO
Azores (Port)
Los Angeles
K A Z A K H S TA N
Casp
San Francisco
UKRAINE Kiev
Prague
CZECH REP
SLOVAKIA
AUSTRIA
LIECHTENSTEIN
Bern
FRANCE
HUNGARY
SWITZERLAND
SLOVENIA
Toronto
U N I T E D S TAT E S
O F A M E R I C A
Warsaw
Paris
Québec
Montréal
Ottawa
Chicago
Minsk
BELARUS
GERMANY
LUXEMBOURG
Seattle
Vilnius
Sea of
Okhotsk
Novosibirsk
en
Vancouver
Moscow
LITHUANIA
POLAND
Berlin
NETHERLANDS
London
LATVIA
Riga
DENMARK Copenhagen
Bering Sea
Line of Control
Canberra
Tasman
Sea
Auckland
Melbourne
NEW ZEALAND
LEGAL & REGULATORY RISK:
Wellington
POLITICAL VIOLENCE:
Christchurch
RISK OF DOING BUSINESS:
BANKING SECTOR VULNERABILITY:
INABILITY OF GOVERNMENT TO
PROVIDE STIMULUS:
SOUTHERN OCEAN
About Roubini Global Economics
Roubini Global Economics is a leading macroeconomic research and country risk firm best known for its accuracy in predicting
vulnerabilities and crisis. Roubini Country Risk combines expert research and risk assessment tools, enabling you to better
understand and quantitatively measure countries’ macroeconomic, political, business and social risks.