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CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS 13th Toulon-Verona Conference “Organizational Excellence in Services” University of Coimbra (Portugal) – September 2-4, 2010 pp. 689-704 – ISBN: 978-972-9344-04-6 Alliances and Groupings in the Local Public Transportation Sector A Preliminary Survey of Strategic Motivations by Alessandro Danovi and Dimitris Karletsos (Bergamo University - Italy) Contents: 1. Introduction. – 2. LPT aggregations in literature. – 3. Regulations and growth – 4. Empirical analysis – 5. Distribution size and geographical expansion strategies. – 6. Aggregation types in geographical expansion strategies. – 7. Conclusions. 1. Introduction Like other sectors in Italy, Local Public Transportation (LPT) has been characterized by a profound lack of change for many years. Only recently, after Act 422/97 (Decreto Burlando), has the basis for broad reform of the sector been posed (Agostini, 2005). By entrusting the services through public selections, the law has forced Local Authorities to seek new strategies in order to reach a sustainable level of efficiency, by simultaneously promoting, liberalizing and modernizing the services. Operators, accustomed to working in a competition-free atmosphere, have had to face the changes by establishing alliances and collaborations, which have in turn redefined their competitive position. In this context, the paper analyzed 32 within the most important alliances, consortiums, acquisitions and partnerships between diverse major LPT companies in Italy between 2000-2010. The purpose was to single out the main trends in the sector, paying special attention to the aims of the operators, their needs and strategies. In this thorough investigation an important role was played by the analysis of the context in which the process took place. In terms of methodology, while scientific literature on utilities is broad, texts specifically addressing LPT in Italy have been less numerous (see Giordano & Zoppi, 2000; Montanari & Zara,2000; Boitani & Cambini 2004; Agostini, 2005; Mangia, 2005; Bucci, 2006; Capriello, 2006; Pizzetti, 2006; Giuricin, 2008). The study is mainly based on public sector data, from the companies themselves (company reports and other documents) or from specialized journals. The main conclusions are as follows: • management styles (only recently more effective), the fragmentation of the sector, together with one of the lowest average productivity rates in Europe, have made Italian companies smaller and poorer in terms of capital, with little space for significant autonomous growth. • In coping with new regulations, the local companies seem to have reacted without a plan, some facilitating and others rejecting change. • In general terms two types of defensive strategies have been implemented by players involved in this struggle for gaining control of LPT in Italy: o The first and perhaps most controversial has to do with local public authorities designing selections on the characteristics of the local company, formally transformed into private corporations (SpA), but still owned by the local government; o The second (which is the main aim of this paper), is to define alliances and aggregations in order to encourage the growth of the company also through the spreading into other territories. This is a defensive strategy, which is also nonetheless aggressive in certain respects. • • In fact the panorama shows the co-presence of companies whose owner claims that Italy is not ready for an indiscriminate opening of the market, where operators try to group in order to transform from potential prey into predators and of public-owned companies which have welcomed foreign capital. The latter probably represent the most serious threat for the (few) large Italian LTP operators which risk being surrounded by international groups. These groups, born in a context that favoured aggregation and expansion, appeared on the scene, strong and out of proportion if compared to average Italian companies. This is the starting point for the need to establish solid networks, for companies active in contiguous territories, or with consolidated “in house” positions. Once they have made strategic alliances, they need to counterattack through geographical expansion, even beyond national borders, to take advantage of opportunities left vacant within the large common European market. 2. LPT aggregations in literature As stated above, despite the vast amount of literature dedicated to utilities, not many studies have been carried out regarding LPT aggregations in Italy. Mariti and Smiley (1982) identify economies of scale, in the technological complementarity and in the expansion of the market as the main reasons why companies formulate agreements and alliances. This definition, unexceptionable in general and theoretical terms, needs to be reconsidered in the light of a few recent studies, specific for the LPT sector. Fazioli, Filippini & Kunzle (2003) are among the authors who have investigated the problem of productive efficiency and the dynamics of costs in the sector. Comparing two distinct samples of different companies from Italy and Switzerland, the presence of economies of scale were shown in companies of all sizes, although more frequent in small and medium sized companies. Fusions between companies with confining catchment areas would make it possible to take advantage of these economies and increase efficiency. Fraquelli & Piacenza (2003) also reach similar conclusions. They stressed the presence of economies of scale, acquired thanks to groupings of companies with adjacent transportation networks. The most emblematic cases are in the search for efficiency in companies operating in the urban and extra-urban in the same city and province. The savings depend on the scope economies derived from combined production. Different findings can occur for operators in large cities (Rome, Naples, Turin). Fraquelli, Piacenza and Abrate (2001) highlight possible diseconomies of scale as the average unit cost for passenger /km showed a U-trend, falling from 0.43 euro for small companies to 0.38 for medium sized companies increasing to 0,51 euro for large operators. This fact, if confirmed, would not invalidate the presence of unexpressed economies of scale in the sector, but would suggest a need for a double solution in defining the catchment areas. While the need to merge the small sized catchment areas (and operators) remains in order to encourage efficiency, a good idea might be to split up the large cities into subcatchment areas and assign them to different operators to stimulate competition. Other studies (Karlaftis and Mc Carthy 2002; Filippini and Prioni, 1994) draw similar conclusions regarding the presence of economies of scale in the sector. They introduce in an even more striking way the theme of regulations by policy makers. In fact, not only are LPT companies underdimensioned in Italy with respect to their optimal size, but also the dimensions of the catchment areas should be rethought by policy makers. It is reasonable to ask how important are the regulators, when they define the boundaries to be assigned, striving for economies of scale and density, and how much weight political and jurisdictional barriers have. Cambini and Filippini (2003) address the problem, noting the necessity of policy makers to define the catchment areas to assign in order to encourage groupings and create economies of scale and efficiency. In 2003 – they stress- the configuration of the process for the public selection did not seem to foster merger processes. It must also be added that even though several years have passed, the situation still seems substantially the same, with the exception of a few proposals for the provincial or regional organization of the catchment areas for future calls for tender. In 2007, the organization of the LPT sector, only for bus lines (thus not counting trams and subways), showed 1,191 active operators, of which 62.5% had fewer than 10 employees1. The lack of integration and uniformity between the different realities (not only between regions, but also between provinces and sub-catchment areas in the same regions) was probably the largest problem regarding new stimuli for operators and relaunching the sector. 3. Regulations and growth Yet, as we will argue below, the sector has been involved in a trend for concentration in the past few years. The push towards alliances and groupings and the growth of operators, are probably secondary results of a reform born to address other issues. They can be interpreted as defensive strategies with which active LPT companies respond to the changing regulations. The legislator’s intentions, to guarantee new service quality levels and to reduce the public costs through the use of competition, has generated in operators the awareness that they have to redefine their strategies, searching for alliances and size growth, against the threat of being excluded from the market. Within the EU, the difficulty of reaching a shared vision is evident due to the long timeframe needed to regulate the sector. After 1969, the year of the first EU LPT guidelines, it was not until EU Regulation 1370/2007 that the dispositions were defined to open the market for competition. The choice of leaving much leeway allowing the member countries a lengthy transition period (to December 2019) to set out the most appropriate rules for their particular needs, seems to privilege principles of subsidiarity and flexibility in the various countries, at the cost of harmonization and uniformity. Under this stimulus, in Italy, the regulations have developed in one direction, apparently in a coherent manner, despite numerous delays. The redefinition of the relationship between local organization and operators, dates back to Act 142/1990 where municipalized companies were replaced by private companies2. Only a few years later Act 422/1997 (Decreto Burlando) was approved, stating the final deadline for the transition to private companies (S.p.A.), and the definition of regional competences, for the assignment of service contracts through competitive bids. This moment, optimistically provided for in 2003 following the successive regulations (the latest being Act 166/2009), has been postponed to December 2011. This has led to great regulatory uncertainty for operators, regarding the stability and exclusivity of the catchment areas. It must also be added that, even within the confine dictated by the national legislator, the Regions have up to now acted at their discretion, assuming at times a proactive attitude towards the reform, embracing the selection for the assignment of the service, or on the contrary, maintaining direct management of the service, while waiting for additional extensions. 4. Empirical analysis 1 2 Ministero delle Infrastrutture e dei Trasporti, Conto Nazionale delle Infrastrutture e dei Trasporti, years 2007-2008. Gilardoni, Danovi, 2000, p. 182 ss. In this context we tried to map 32 cases of alliances, consortiums, acquisitions and partnerships, considered to be within the most important or most representative in the field. In a few cases (partial or total acquisitions) the grouping was the only or main operation which took place. In others the main operation was in the participation of one or more selections for being awarded the service contract. It is interesting to follow the evolution of the “grouping centres” which followed the main operation. The timeframe of the analysis lasted until January 2010 and coincided with the period of the greatest ferment of alliances and groupings, begun in 1997 with the Decreto Burlando and the plan, later retracted, to launch regulated competition throughout Italy starting from 2003. It is no coincidence that in 2000, the first grouping, the Società Consortile Tevere TPL, composed of diverse operators in different areas in order to be assigned the service contract for the management of extra-urban lines in the area surrounding Rome. As stated in the doctrines (Pivato et Al., 2004; Conca, 2001), alliances are usually divided between weak and strong according to the size of the boundaries established. In the cases considered, the different types of groupings constitute a sample which allows us to exemplify the strategic merger trends of the subjects resent in the LPT panorama. Among the strong groupings (defined as being “second level” groupings) there are fusions and stock exchanges which, in virtue of greater solidity and indefinite duration, presuppose the modification of the companies involved. Other more flexible conformations easier to modify are consortiums and temporary company associations (ATI), considered weak or “first level” groupings, also called “partial integrations/semiintegrations” (Harrigan, 1985). In particular, ATIs are known to be temporary and occasional collaboration agreements between companies to carry out a specific activity, whose exclusive purpose is limited to the time necessary to carry out a specific task, and the diverse participants supply the means and the organizatinal structure. In the event that an ATI is created to participate in a public selection to win a service contract, the contributions of each single member are specifically detailed, and although the members remain legally separate, they formulate a single offer together and undertake to realize it, acting as a single entity with respect to the outsourcer/contractor. The consortium, according to art. 2602 of the Italian civil code, is a stable subject, with a duration that is not conditioned by the realization of a specific project and it produces effects towards third parties, and not only among the members. Unlike an ATI, is an autonomous subject with respect to its components, it has boards, a patrimony and takes on its own obligations with respect to the single members. Although these two forms of association are based on different logics at times, they both constitute “interorganizational aggregates where the boundaries between companies become progressively less distinguishable and permeable and where the relationships between companies become continuous requiring coordination between the parties that conditions the behaviour of the companies involved. (Zerbini, 2003) . In fact, the contractual relationships between the companies, in the event of hybrid agreements like ATI, can result in transactions that take place within a single company between the companies involved (Holmstrom, 1988). A further theoretical explanation at the basis of these aggregations is found in Ménard (2005): “the basic idea is that when investments between partners are specific enough to generate substantial contractual risks, such as do not justify the weight of integration, and when the uncertainties are relevant enough that they require greater coordination respect to what is offered by the market, then the subjects have incentive to chose hybrid types of agreements”. In the case of local public transport, the specificities of the sector and the peculiarity of the subjects what operate in it lead to the identification of other reasons why subjects choose ATI rather than consortiums. The necessity to develop a critical mass able to participate in public selections, the search for tariff integration, and inclusion in aggregate companies made up of potential competitors, are the main forces for analyzing the subjects in the sample included in this first category. The groupings in the sample were divided according to three main variables which facilitate their inclusion in shared categories, as per the table below. Figure 1: Sample distribution variable DISTRIBUTION TERRITORY COMPOSITION Types of alternatives SIZE UNIFORMITY 60 million kilometers; Adriatic Transport Group; AMT and APTV Verona; Consorzio STIV; SAB and FNM in Como; ATM and SPT (Como – urbano); Consorzio CAL; SAR and ACTS Savona; CTPI; FNM and Keolis; ATB Bergamo and Brescia Trasporti; ATAC S.p.A.; Siena Mobilità; RAMA Mobilità; Compagnia Toscana Trasporti; RATP and ATAF; Adriabus S.c.a.r.l.. INTERNAL TARGET CATCHMENT AREA ATC Bologna and ACTF Ferrara; Adriatic Transport Group; AMT and APTV Verona; Consorzio STIV; Consorzio CAL; SAR and ACTS Savona; CTPI; Consorzio Bergamo Trasporti; ATB Bergamo and Brescia Trasporti; ATM and SPT (Como – urbano); ATAC S.p.A.; Siena Mobilità; RAMA Mobilità; RATP, Rasena and CTT for LFI; RATP and ATAF; Adriabus S.c.a.r.l.; Consorzio COTRAP: 60 Milioni di Chilometri; Consorzio Rasena. INTERNATIONAL PLAYERS Retitalia (Transdev); Tevere TPL (Transdev); SAF Udine (Arriva); SAB Autoservizi (Arriva); SADEM and SAPAV (Arriva); SAB and FNM a Como (Arriva); AMT Genova (Transdev); AGI (Transdev); FNM and Keolis (Keolis); Consorzio Bergamo Trasporti (Arriva); RATP, Rasena and CTT per LFI (RATP); RATP and ATAF (RATP); RATP and ATCM Modena (RATP). SATELLITE GROUPING TP Net; Retitalia; Tevere TPL; ATC Bologna and ACTF Ferrara; SAF Udine; ATM, ATB, Brescia Trasporti; SAB Autoservizi; SADEM and SAPAV; AMT Genova; AGI (TRANSDEV); Consorzio Bergamo Trasporti; Consorzio Rasena; RATP, Rasena and CTT for LFI; RATP and ATCM Modena; Consorzio COTRAP. GEOGRAPHICAL EXPANSION Tevere TPL; TP Net; Retitalia; SAF Udine; ATM, ATB, Brescia Trasporti; SAB Autoservizi; SADEM and SAPAV; SAB and FNM a Como; AMT Genova; AGI (Transdev); FNM and Keolis; Compagnia Toscana Trasporti; RATP and ATCM Modena. NATIONAL PLAYERS ItalianPlayers : TP Net; 60 Milioni di Chilometri; ATC Bologna e ACTF Ferrara; Adriatic Transport Group; AMT and APTV Verona; Consorzio STIV; ATM, ATB, Brescia Trasporti; ATM and SPT (Como – urbano); Consorzio CAL; SAR and ACTS Savona; CTPI; ATB Bergamo and Brescia Trasporti; ATAC S.p.A.; Siena Mobilità; Consorzio Rasena; RAMA Mobilità; Compagnia Toscana Trasporti; Adriabus S.c.a.r.l.; Consorzio COTRAP. The first variable investigates the implications within a merger, deriving from the presence of a larger player surrounded by smaller companies, which form a “satellite grouping”. Based on the distribution, the question is what behaviours the leader companies have and how they influence the alliances, comparing them to complementary merger trends, or groupings characterized by homogeneous company size. The territory refers to the strategic aim of the grouping. The “historical” geographical provenance of the operator is compared with the territory in which the new alliance will operate. Some groupings aim at maintaining and defending the historical catchment area. Others have been constituted to be aggressive, or following territorial expansions by at least one of the subjects involved. The third variable plays a key role in analyzing the general Italian LPT scenario. International groups which entered the sector when liberalization provided by the new laws was expected to be imminent strongly changed the scenario. Below we will analyze which alternative strategies were put into effect by these subjects, waiting for the chance to compete for a public selection for the service contract for the catchment area of interest. 5. Distribution size and geographical expansion strategies. Through crossed analysis of the above-mentioned variables, we investigated the correlation between the territory and the size distribution within the groupings examined. The intention was to identify the possible link between the strategic aims of various groupings (defensive, focused on maintaining the historical catchment area, or aggressive, aimed at expanding the territory of operations) and the composition of the group, in terms of the presence or absence of a leader. Matrix1: Size distribution and territory Source: Analysis of sample Matrix 1 illustrates greatest distribution density in quadrants 1 and 3 with respectively 14 and 10 groupings, underlining the correlation between size homogeneity and defensive strategies, which contrasts the prevalence of satellite groupings in strategic operations of geographical expansion. In other words, small and medium sized operators tend to ally themselves with one another only to maintain their catchment areas, while aggressive behaviours require the presence of a leader The results depend on the need to form the various types of groupings. The subdivision highlights two kinds. The first one was made up of small and medium sized operators, which joined together following changes in regulations (and thus in competition), moving from a sort of monopoly towards the free market. These groupings followed a protectionist logic, especially in the first calls for competitive bids, characterized by consortiums of incumbent companies which delegated to the consortium only the service contract and tariff issues. If the particular density of the first quadrant is so explained, it is understandable why there are fewer elements in quadrant 2 (5 elements) and 4 (only 3 groupings). In the same light, geographical expansion seems difficult to implement in companies of this size. Large operators do not need to create alliances with smaller ones in order to maintain their territorial exclusivity, since they are already able to win service contracts on their own. The elements in quadrant 3 represent the other large sub-group in the sample: it is obvious that large Italian and international operators, well-established in their catchment areas, have entered into groupings and alliances only for aggressive purposes, for geographical expansion. 6. Types of groupings in geographical expansion strategies For a more in-depth analysis groupings can be compared with respect to the territory. Consider quadrants 1 and 4 of matrix 2, which represent first-level groupings (mainly consortiums). What has emerged so far confirms that the first level groupings are distributed more frequently in the first quadrant, confirming the defensive purpose. Isolated cases are found in the 4th quadrant: consortiums of operators from different geographical locations (Retitalia, TP Net, Tevere TPL) which are necessarily included in this category, as well as a consortium with both defensive and aggressive aims (CTT), and an unsuccessful ATI which is an operational alliance, constituted for a selection for rail transport in the Veneto region. Matrix 2: Types of groupings and territory Source: Analysis of sample Some interesting data emerges. First of all, there is a clear division between the cases of acquisitions (indicated with an A in the matrix) and cases of mergers between operators (indicated with an F),which show a clear trend. As recalled in the literature, mergers are sought especially between operators of contiguous catchment areas. The planned merger between ATB and Brescia Trasporti, if realized, would have followed those between ATC and ACTF (in Bologna and Ferrara), SAR and ACTS (in Savona and Albenga). The merger in Rome between Trambus, Met.Ro and ATAC in a single entity and the operation carried out in Verona, between two companies operating in the urban and extra-urban areas, are comparable since their intention was to create scope economies in the same network. Extending the focus beyond the sample analyzed, in Italy there are many possibilities for groupings searching for economies dictated by the expansion of contiguous catchment areas3 If it is true that the greatest returns in terms of efficiency and tariff integration are found in companies which serve urban and extra-urban areas, it might be a surprise that only 19% of the national LPT operators offer this mixed service, against the 22 % of exclusively urban operators and the 59% serving only extra-urban areas. This immobility is basically linked to two reasons. The first belongs to the companies themselves (be they public or private). The second involves all of the policymakers in the definition of the catchment areas to be assigned, characterized by an evident tendency to maintain the status quo, due to specific interests It is hoped that a greater effort be made to define the standard dimensions of the catchment areas to be assigned by competitive bids, thus formalizing a great incentive for groupings for smaller operators. There is also another consideration to be made. Up to now, small sized operators (who constitute the absolute majority) have managed to survive in the market thanks to monopolies for smaller sized catchment areas or single tracts, or thanks to first level groupings, like participating in consortiums and temporary company associations. The above mentioned regulatory non-homogeneousness is also an issue in managing these tools. In particular, regional laws regarding public transportation, specify the requirements for participation in the call for competitive bids, also include minimum levels to be met by each member company of the grouping. Depending on the region, these levels generally fall between 10% and 20% of the total number required by the selection announcement. It is clear that, if the regulatory entities follow the process which seems most likely at present, to broaden the catchment areas to be assigned by competitive bids, and the regions do not modify their attitudes regarding this issue of the minimum requirements necessary for consortium and ATI member companies, small operators will have no choice other than turning en masse to mergers. Another solution could be allowing operators to remain in the market thanks to subcontracting. Also in this case, regional laws vary, and so that subcontracting, where permitted, is subject to various allowable maximum percentages, and to the exclusive carrying out of specific services on the part of the subcontractor (NOTE 13). The maximum percentages allowed range from 5% to 16% of the total service being managed. Too small, perhaps, so that each small operator, distributed throughout Italy, can hope to have a place. We finish our analysis by looking at quadrant 3, which represents the only strategy used by operators for expansion, substantiated by the acquisition of shares, partial or total, of the company operating in the target catchment area. The cause for this is in the normative context and the current low level of liberalization. When selections favour incumbent companies and refer to uncertain time periods (NOTE 14), the main operators interested in growth have considered direct acquisition to be the only possibility. In particular, the protagonists of these groupings are international players. Used to competing in more evolved contexts, they can benefit from different dimensions in order to take advantage of overtly aggressive strategies. To understand the entity of the disproportionate sizes between these operators and their main domestic competitors, it is sufficient to consider that ATM in Milan, the largest Italian group, employs 8,900 workers and owns 2,900 vehicles against the 47,000 employees and 20,000 vehicles of Transdev and the 42,300 workers and 15,400 vehicles of Arriva Group. Figure 2: Size comparison (Production value) between European players and their main Italian competitors 3 Ministero delle Infrastrutture e dei Trasporti, Conto Nazionale delle Infrastrutture e dei Trasporti, years 2007-2008. Source: Region of Liguria, 2008. Matrix 3 investigates the strategies of international operators and the implications in the Italian LPT panorama4. A first piece of evidence is in the fact that these actors do not generally stipulate first-level alliances (thus quadrant 4 has few elements). As recalled, the consortiums are joined by operators of the same size, covering adjacent areas that are well-rooted in the territory, with a defensive aim. In this context, it is hard for a foreign operator to find a space to attack the market. However, it is probable that an increase in the density of quadrant 4 will take place when the sector has been liberalized. The ATI between Ferrovie Nord Milano and Keolis demonstrates that if attractive service contract selections are held, foreign operators are happy to present themselves in first-level aggregation, which are more cautious and less expensive. Matrix 3: Types of groupings and the presence of foreign operators Source: analysis of sample The quadrants on the right show the second-level aggregations. There is a clear division between Italian and international players regarding the strategies employed. Italians, characterized by their preference for first-level groupings (as seen by the strong density in the first quadrant), confirming their tendency for defensive alliances whenever they join second-level alliances. Quadrant 2 in this matrix is almost identical to quadrant 2 in matrix 2, which allows us to confirm that the main mergers were formed for defensive purposes referred to an internal catchment area. Also aggressive operations of the second-level were almost completely unknown among the groupings of Italian operators. The third quadrant highlights how the exclusivity of the acquisitions with the aim of territorial expansion was of interest to international operators. In this case, a comparison with the same quadrant 2 of matrix 2 confirms the data. The reasons for such a clear division depend on many factors. An initial interpretation is that foreign operators have only recently come on the scene in Italy. They haven’t established themselves in the territory, and haven’t integrated with operators in adjacent territories, which is necessary or at least 4 Mostly the French Companies Transdev and RAAP and English Arriva. appreciated in order to participate in certain types of consortiums, especially defensive ones. The alternative for international players who want to create alliances is in participating in selections as members of ATI groupings, together with operators already present in the territory. This strategy, however, presents disadvantages and a few unknowns. First of all, the times and expansion strategies are conditioned by decisions taken by the Provinces and the Regions, the dimensions of selections and competitions and the timeframe they are concluded in. Between the proclamation, the temporary charging, eventual recourses, the pronouncements of regional tribunals and reassignments, the time necessary can be lengthened, causing problems in strategic planning due to the necessity of waiting for years to know the result of investment plans. If these are the reasons why foreign operators might shun appealing the results of public selections, other circumstances cause them to prefer alternatives. Acquiring shares is motivated by two circumstances, which both stem from the main foreign players. On the one hand, they need to penetrate the market urgently, since liberalization is always more and more imminent. Assuring themselves strongholds, through which they can play a predominant role, starting from the participation in selections as operators already present within the territory, is an essential objective for whoever aims at expansion in the Italian market. External growth, with the acquisition of companies already operating in the market or shares in them, is the most direct manner for reaching this objective (Conca, 2001; Perrini e Russo 2003). In the second place, the condition that allows these operators to perpetrate this type of aggressive, rapid, effective and expensive strategy lies in the dimensional disproportion between these subjects if compared to Italian operators: cash available and the financial solidity allows them to carry out operations which many Italian operators are unable to sustain, since they are just barely trying to get the break even. 7. Conclusions To conclude, with the acknowledgement that the analysis carried out is merely descriptive and needs to be extended and investigated in more depth, it is possible to highlight how the current trend towards concentration in the LPT sector depends on the evolution of regulations and in the liberalization, still as yet to be fully implemented. This paper aimed at investigating a situation in development, begun due to the process of change, still far from completion. The LPT sector, immobile due to its fragmentation until very recently, is today the arena for lively aggregation. Considering the historical immobility of the sector (both public and private), determined to maintain the status quo, the main culprit of the lack of modernization is the regulatory framework, too permissive, although formulated according to proper principles. The uncertainty which characterizes this transition phase has had strong implications in the strategies put into effect by the operators. Despite uncertainty regarding the modalities and the effective timeframe of the changes, they have nonetheless understood the basic message: what was in the past a closed market, will soon cease to be so and the monopolies guaranteed previously by direct concessions will be subject to regulated competition. This started off the (timid) grouping movements configured in different ways depending on the different categories of main actors. While small and medium sized operators formed consortiums to defend their territories, and large operators planned expansion, international groups entered the Italian scene. Initially convinced that they could compete equally in a liberalized market, they soon changed strategies, acquiring companies operating in profitable catchment areas. The implementation of a competition system for the assignment of service contracts is a point that cannot be left aside in improving service as well as the creation of conditions for competition to take place. The small size of operators in the sector, together with legal binds regarding the minimum requirements for groupings, risk undermining the presence of foreign subjects in the market. Incentives for aggregation processes, between operators in adjacent catchment areas, have been stimulated by empirical analyses of the main studies on the theme. They have demonstrated that on average, operators are below the minimum efficient size, and latent scale and scope economies can be put into effect only in sufficiently large networks. The relative newness of the regulations means that a few important issues, like the possibility of standardizing catchment areas, still need to be resolved, entrusting them to planning by local policy makers. This uncertainty conditions operators who, scarcely motivated and oriented by the regulations, either implement size expansion strategies (internal rather than external) creating defensive alliances, or (in the worst of cases) wait in complete immobility. While local authorities, owners of the operators, appear to have acted each in his own way, in a few cases encouraging and in other cases trying to put off the new structure, the more or less strict legislation, has given life to many configurations in regional and local environments. Public administrations, strengthened by the possibility to extend in-house assignments, have at times taken advantage of the regulatory instability to perpetrate policies aimed at reaching the goals closest to their needs. . In a context of high fragmentation, in fact, the lowest productivity level in Europe, associated with inefficient management models means that, on average, Italian operators are smaller in terms of capital, finance, vehicles and assets available. This leaves little space for significant autonomous growth, after guaranteeing the self-sufficiency of the company itselfThe result is that the most frequent groupings are defensive, especially if members are companies of the same size and there is no dominant subject.. There are also a few cases of offensive strategies conducted by the main national operators who seem to have understood the need for growth in order not to become prey to others in turn. Large international groups have made their entrance on the scene. Formed in contexts which preceded the implementation of the reform on the European level, they can benefit from disproportional dimensions if compared to the average Italian companies. In just a few years they have occupied relevant positions within the sector. It is from these subjects, more than any other, that Italian operators, company owners and workers’ representatives seem to protect themselves, fearing to “fall into the hands of strangers”, and do not have tranquil confidence in the opening of the market. The sector sees the presence of companies whose owners, appealing to the not-yet ripe time for an indiscriminate opening of the Italian market, do their best to delay the changes. Other operators think up ways that their aggregation strategies can grow and change from potential prey to predator. Still other companies, prevalently public ones, have welcomed shareholders upon the entry of foreign capital, creating mixed companies. This third group probably represents the most serious threat for the (few) large Italian LPT operators, who risk being surrounded by international groups. From here, the need to establish solid networks between operators in adjacent catchment areas or, having consolidated the in-house position, and created alliances, to counterattack with geographical expansions beyond national borders, in order to gather opportunities left empty within the large common market of Europe. APPENDIX A – GROUPING LEVELS Date ‘90 Level First Operators Consorzio Autoservizi Lombardi CAL Re ‘90 First Consorzio Trasporti Pubblici Insubria CTPI ‘90 First Consorzio Bergamo Trasporti Consorzio Bergamo Trasporti 2000 First Tevere TPL: SITA; APM Perugia; COTRI. Tevere TPL 2001 First TP NET: Trambus Roma; ATC Bologna; ATAF Firenze; CTM Cagliari; CSTP Salerno; SASA Bolzano. TP Net 2002 First RETITALIA: GTT Torino; APM Perugia; ACTV Venezia; ACTM Modena; Transdev. Retitalia 2002 First 60 MC 2002 First 60 MC: ATC La Spezia; ATP Genova; TEMPI Piacenza; APAM Mantova; ORFEO Reggio Emilia Consorzio Rasena: ATAF Firenze; ATM Piombino; ATAM, Florentia Bus, e LFI Arezzo; RAMA Grosseto; TRAIN Siena. 2002 Secondo RATP, Consorzio RASENA e Consorzio Toscana Trasporti. RATP, RASENA e CTT per LFI. 2002 Secondo Arriva Group, SAB Autoservizi. SAB Autoservizi 2003 First COTRAP COTRAP 2004 First Siena Mobilità: TRAIN Siena; LFI Arezzo; SITA; RAMA Grosseto; ByBus. Siena Mobilità 2004 First Ferrovie Nord Milano e Keolis. FNM e Keolis 2004 Secondo SAB (Arriva), SAF Udine. SAF Udine 2004 Secondo Transdev, Autoguidovie Italiane e AMT Genova AMT Genova 2005 First Compagnia Toscana Trasporti: ATL Livorno, CLAP Lucca, CPT Pisa, COPIT Pistoia, CAP Prato, F.lli Lazzi Firenze. CTT 2005 First RAMA Mobilità: RAMA Grosseto; ATM Piombino; TRAIN Siena. RAMA Mobilità 2005 First Adriatic Transport Group: Tram Servizi Rimini; E-Bus Cesena; Setram Forlì; ATM Ravenna. Adriatic Transport Group Consorzio Rasena 2005 First ATM Milano e SPT Como. ATM e SPT (Como – Urbano) 2005 Second SAB (Arriva), SADEM, SAPAV. SADEM e SAPAV 2005 Second Transdev e Autoguidovie Italiane. AGI e Transdev 2006 First STIV: ACTV Venezia; SITA; APS Padova; ACTT Treviso; ATVO San Donà; CTM Castelfranco V.; ATM Vittorio V. STIV 2006 First Adriabus Adriabus 2006 Second RATP e ATAF RATP e ATAF 2007 Second SAB, FNM, SPT Linea Como SAB e FNM a Como 2007 Second AMT e APTV Verona AMT e APTV Verona 2008 Second ATM, ATB, Brescia Trasporti 2008 Second ATM Milano, ATB Bergamo e Brescia Trasporti. ATB Bergamo e Brescia Trasporti 2009 Second RATP, CTT, ATCM Modena RATP e ATCM Modena 2009 Second ATC Bologna e ACTF Ferrara ATC e ACTF Bologna 2009 Second SAR e ACTS Savona SAR e ACTS Savona 2010 Second ATAC, Trambus e Met.Ro. ATAC ATB e Brescia Trasporti REFERENCES Agostini M., [2005], “Le ragioni della liberalizzazione del trasporto pubblico locale”, in Alvisi C. 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