Space Exploration Activities Past and Future
Transcript
Space Exploration Activities Past and Future
Space Exploration Activities Past and Future E.Vallerani Accademia delle Scienze di Torino Giornata dello Spazio - 23 Maggio 2008 50 Years of Space Activities . The first “Fifty Years” of Space Acti vities have reported a remarkable number of successes that have opened to Humanki nd New Horizons and provi ded perspecti ves of expansions of Our Civilization beyond the boundaries of the Earth. l Space Appl ications have changed our way of life, and Scientific Space Missions have increased our knowl edge of the Uni verse. l E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 2 Space Exploration l l l The advent of Spaceflight has opened the possibility of close and direct Observation and Exploration of the Bodies of the Solar System. Space Explorat ion Missions are by far the most unique and challenging opportunities to better understand the secret of the Universe. First Lunar Probes Missions: Pioneer (US) and Luna (USSR), were attempted as early as end of 1958, only one year after Sputnik E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 3 Steps of Space Explor ation l The Strategy of Exploration of the Bodi es of the Solar System foresees essenti ally the sequence of five steps : l l l l l FLYBY ROBOT IC PROBES ROBOTIC ORBITERS ROBOTIC LANDERS ROBOTIC SURFACE SURVEYORS HUMAN SURFACE EXPLORATIONS E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 4 Exploration at a Glance E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 5 Missions to the Moon The Moon has been for al most fifteen years (1959 -76) the Strategic Battlefield of the USSR -USA competi tion in Space Acti vities. l So far 60 successful missions have occurred: l USSR - 3 Flybys-6 Impacts-7 Orbiters-3 Landers 7 Sample Returns- 2 Rovers - Total 28 l U.S.A-2 Flybys- 4 Impacts- 8 Orbiters -5 Landers 2 Crewed Orbiter-6 Crewed Landings - Total 27 l Japan (2), ESA (1), China (1), India (1) – Total 5 l E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 6 Missions to the Moon l The USSR-U.S.A Competition was indeed head to head: Flyby: Luna1 (1/1959)- Pioneer 4 (3/1959) l Impact: Luna 2 (9/1959)-Ranger 4 (4/1962) l Orbiter: Luna 10 (3/1966)-Lunar Orb. (8/1966) l Lander: Surveyor 1 (5/1966)- Luna 13 (12/66) l Probe Return: Zond 5 (9/1968) l Crewed Orbiter: Apollo 8 (12/1968) l Crewed Landing : Apollo 11 (7/1969) l E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 7 Missions to the Moon l Unmanned Ameri can Missions. l Early Lunar Missions,1958, were assigned by the D.o.D to the Air Force Ballistic Missile Div. and to the Army Ballistic Missile Agency. l All early attempts failed - Pioneer 4 attempted first flyby 3/ ’59, not close enough for data. l NASA -JPL Ranger Program, after six failures, succeeded with Ranger 7-8-9 to impact the Moon (1964 -65) and to transmit 17.267 images E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 8 Missions to the Moon Ranger 9 - Crater Alphonsus Surveyor 1- Ocean of Storms E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 9 Missions to the Moon l l In preparation of Apollo Mission, five “Lunar Orbiters” conducted “ Moon observations with very high resolution photographs of the planned landing sites; also the dark side was photographed. Later five “Surveyor Landers ” “ conducted tests on descent and landing dynamics and made soil observations and temperature measurements. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 10 Missions to the Moon l Unmanned USS R Missions l The first probes (Luna 1 & 2) detected the non existence of a noticeable lunar magnetic field and of a radiation belt around the Moon. l Luna 3 and Zond 3 photographed the dark side. l Luna 9 & 13 soft landing tested the soil firmness. l Luna 14-19 & 22 orbiting probes detected the gravitational and magnetic cislunar fields and the radiation and meteorite surface environment. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 11 Mission to the Moon l Luna 17 & 21 carried Lunokhod 1 & 2 rovers and studied mechanical and chemical soil composition investigating lunar morphology over a range of 10, and of more than 37 Km. l Luna 16-20 & 24 brought back to the Earth a fraction of a kilogram of lunar rocks taken on the surface and at a depth of 0.4 and 2 meters These soil particles allowed early mineralogy, petrography and geochemical researches. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 12 Human Missions to the Moon l l l July 20,1969 -hr 4:17 E.D.TApollo XI -Eagle touched down in Mare Tranquillitatis. Six hours later Armstrong took his famous” one giant leap for mankind” After more than 20 hours on the Lunar surface the two astronauts returned with 20 Kg of lunar samples. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 13 Human Missions to the Moon Apollo XI- Descent of E.Aldrin N.Armstrong back to the Lander E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 14 Human Missions to the Moon The American APOLLO P rogram in the period 1969 -72 achieved seven mi ssions, six of which successful ly brought to the Moon and back 12 Astronauts . l Time spent on the Moon 301 hr (12. days) l Extra Vehicular Activities, walks and rides on board of the Rovers, l asted in total 80 hr l Samples returned wei ghted 388 Kg. l E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 15 Human Missions to the Moon Apollo 17-Last Mission E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 16 Mercury E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 17 Missions to Mercury l MARINER 10. l l l l First Flyby March 74, other two flybys on Sept. 74 and March 75. Photographs sent of the heavily cratered surface, Lunar similar. Discovery of weak magnetic f ield and of traces of argon, neon and helium atmosphere. Ongoing and Next Missions: NASA -MESSENGER (2004 -2011) and ESA - Bepi Colombo (2019 ). E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 18 Venus E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 19 Missions to Venus l l The planet Venus has been the target of a very intense scientific exploration performed, in the period 1961 -85, by the Soviets with 16 Venera Spacecrafts (Flyby, Orbiters, Descent Probes, Landers) and 2 Vega Spacecrafts (Landers and Balloon Probes). The U.S Missions in the period 1962 -78 included 5 Spacecrafts: 3 Mariner (Flyby) and 2 Pioneer Venus Probes (Orbiter and Descent Probes). E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 20 Missions to Venus l l l These missions discovered the hydrogen corona, and measured pressure and temperature profiles of the very dense carbon dioxide Venusian atmosphere. At ground level pressure is about 100 atmospheres and temperature 450 ° Celtius. The soil composition was examined, finding it similar to terrestrial basalts. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 21 Missions to Venus NASA-CNES Magellan probe orbited around Venus i n 1990 and performed in four years, six radar observation cycles at progressi vely lower altitudes. ESA -Venus Express launched in 2005, with seven experiments arrived in 2006 still properly working. Wind fields at different altitude and surface temperatures are being accurately measured. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 22 Mars E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 23 Missions to Mars l Since 1960 Mars has been the target of as many as 39 Missions , out of which only 17 have been successful. l U.S obtained 13 successes out of 19 attempts l USSR –Russia only 2 successes - 16 failures l Japan and Europe each 1 success no failures l Successful Missions include: 3 Flybys – 6 Orbiters - 4 Orbiter/Landers. 1 Lander -1 Lander/Rover -2 Rovers. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 24 Missions to Mars l Successful Missions: l Mariner 4-6-7 Flybys 1964 and 1969 l Mars 3 (USSR) Orbiter-Lander 28/5/1971 l Mariner 9 Orbiter 30/5/71 l Mars 5 (USSR) Orbiter 1973 l Viking 1-2 Orbiter-Lander 1975 l Mars Global Surveyor Orbiter 1996 E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 25 Missions to Mars l Mars Pathfinder - Lander -Rover 1996 l Nozomi (Planet B) Japan Orbiter 1998 l Mars Odyssey -Orbiter 2001 l Mars -Express ESA -Orbiter-Lander 2003 l Spirit and Opportunity- Rovers 2003 l Mars Reconnaisance Orbiter 2005 l Phoenix Scout Lander 2007 E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 26 Missions to Mars l l Mariner Flybys and Orbiters provided thousands of images of the Martian surface and detected the thin atmosphere composition formed mainly by carbon -dioxide Many craters were identified and evidence was reached that water once flowed across the surface etching valleys and flood plains E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 27 Missions to Mars l l l Viking Landers , carried three experiments to search for traces of organic materials and for faint evidences of life. The landscape found was bleak rusty-red, littered with rocks and marked by rippled sand dunes. Observations were made as well of the two Martian satellites: Phobos and Deimos . E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 28 Mission to Mars l l l l l l Mars Express : First European Mars Orbiter/Lander. June 2003 High resolution image global coverage of the planet. Search for water and life. Map mineral composition. Map atmosphere composit ion. Determine subsurface structure. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 29 Mars Express - ESA E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 30 Mission to Mars Mars Express- Prometheus Plan. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 31 Mission to Mars Mars Express Hebes Chasma Valles Marineris E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 32 Mission to Mars Mars Express-Grand Canyon of Mars E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 33 Mission to Mars Mars Express-Crater in Vastitas Borealis E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 34 Mission to Mars Mars Express Deadallia Planum E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 35 Asteroids E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 36 Missions to the Asteroids l l l The Asteroid Belt between Mars and Juppiter is populated by a large number of Minor Planets. Spacecrafts (Galileo and Cassini ) on the way to Juppiter and Saturn have observed these primordial bodies. Missions NEAR and Muses C planned for Rendezvous and Sample Returns E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 37 Missions to the Asteroids l l l l Spacecraft on the way to Comets performed fly-bys of Asteroids. Stardust 1999 has met asteroid Anne Frank. Rosetta launched 2004 will meet 9/2008 asteroid Steins and later Lutetia. Future Missions: Dawn, to orbit Ceres and Vesta, and NEAP, to rendezvous asteroid Nereus . E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 38 Juppiter E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 39 Missions to Juppiter l l l Exploration begun 1973 -74 with the flyby of Pioneer 10 and 11 at 130.000 and 43.000 Km. Pioneer 11 continued to Saturn. In 1979 Voyager 1 and 2 were launched, they passed close t o Juppiter taking pictures and then continued to Saturn ( 1980 -81) with Voyager 2 reaching Uranus (1986) and Neptune (1989). E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 40 Missions to Juppiter Io and Europa satellites around Juppiter Ganymede satellite around Juppiter E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 41 Mission to Juppiter l Pioneers : main scientific results l Magnetic Field several times greater than the Earth one was detected. l Energy emission almost twice the amount received from the Sun. Internal Energy source. l Voyagers : main scientific results l Meteorological characteristics of the Red Spot. l Temperature of 1000° K were measured. l Volcanic eruption of the moon Io was observed E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 42 Missions to Juppiter l In 1989 NASA performed the GALILEO Mission made up by an Orbiter and a Descent Probe , with the purpose to study: the chemical composition and physical state of the atmosphere of Juppiter. l the magnetic field and its interactions with the Solar Wind energetic particles. l the surfaces, chemical composit ion and physical state of the Galileian satellites . l E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 43 Galileian Satellites Callisto , Europa , Io and Ganimede Callisto Europa Io Ganimede E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 44 Saturn E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 45 Missions to Saturn l The Pioneer 11, Voyager 1&2 after their Juppiter’s encounters performed flybys meeting Saturn l l l Observed in detail the known rings and discovered a new Ring G. Detected a Magnetic Field generated by electric currents flowing in the metallic mantle. Detected an core consi sting of heavy elements, as large as Earth. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 46 Missions to Saturn l l l l Voyager 2 discovered myriads of small rings composed of thousands of millions of ice and dust particles. Seventeen moons, some just discovered, were examined Observation of Saturn surface confirmed, as in the Juppiter case, that the atmosphere composition is hydrogen and helium. The composition of the Titan atmosphere was observed to be similar to the Earth one E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 47 Missions to Saturn. The NASA/ESA/ ASI Cassini-Huygens Spacecraft l aunched Oct 1997 arri ved at Saturn in June 2004. l Cassini Orbiter (NASA) injected Huygens Probe (ESA) in a descent traj ectory to Titan l Huygens Probe made a 21 days de-orbiting reaching the surface, sl owed down b y a set of parachutes. l E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 48 Missions to Titan l l l l Titan has an extraordinarily Earth like meteorology and geology. Evidences of precipitations, erosion mechanical abrasion and other fluvial activities have been found. The fluid is not water but methane !! Soil instead of silicate rocks is dirty water-ice at 100°K, covered by deposits of organic haze (methane) that shroud the planet. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 49 Uranus, Neptune and Pluto E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 50 Missions to Uranus, Neptune, Pluto l l l l Uranus was visited 1986 by the Voyager 2 coming from Saturn. Neptune was reached 1989 by the Voyager 2 continuing beyond. An Orbiter around Neptune is foreseen in the years to come. Pluto has been visited 2006 by New Horizons in a flyby . Uranus Neptune E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 51 Comets E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 52 Missions to the Comets l l l The outermost members of the Solar System Asteroids and Comets, occasionally pay a visit to the inner planets, getting close to Earth. Comets are ice debris remnants of the very early formation of the Solar System. The Comets’ nucleus is made by water-ice, with methane and ammonia that boil off when getting closer to the Sun forming the “tail” as a result of the interaction with the Solar wind. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 53 Missions to the Comets Several Spacecraft have fl own by Comets, the first mission was NASA Int’l Cometary Explorer ICE (19 85). l Comet Halley in 1986 was observed b y an Armada of 5 Spacecraft ( Two Japanese, Two Soviet and One European) l Giotto performed the fi rst close flyby with an approach of 596 Km from the nucl eus. l E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 54 Missions to the Comets Giotto- Halley Comet Nucleus E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 55 Space Exploration Activities Past and Future Visions and Strategies for the Future E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 56 Visions and Strategies for the Future l l After the initial twenty years of acceleration a slow down took place in the Space Exploration , until the turn of the Century, when challenging robotic exploration missions, that enhanced largely our knowledge, were again performed. The interests for Space Exploration have just recently considerably increased after the announcement of the “Vision for U.S. Space “ Exploration” made by President G.W.Bush in Jan.2004. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 57 U.S. Space Exploration Vision The fundamental goal of the Vision is to advance U.S. scientific, security and economic interests . To fulfill the new Spirit of Discovery U.S will: l Implement affordable Human and robotic programs to explore the Solar System and beyond. l Extend Human presence , starting with a Human return to the Moon by 2020 , in preparation of Human exploration of Mars and other destinations. l Develop innovative technologies and infrastructures. l Promote international and commercial part icipation. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 58 Visions and Strategies for the Future l l l l The Space Agencies , and in particular ESA, have as well intensified Exploration Studies to properly support the future decisions. But Governments of several leading Nations have not yet clearly defined their contribution to Space Exploration International Initiatives. The “Strategic Nature” of the decisions to be taken “ by the Governments, has to prevail on the to-day shortage of interests expressed by Stakeholders. Space Exploration is an Investment for the Future. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 59 Visions and Strategies for the Future l Considering the complex panorama of the very many options on which to base an Exploration Vision, three alternatives have been identified: Scientific Vision- Space Scientific Exploration Grand Vision- Space Extended Exploration, Inhabitation, Development and Exploitation Pragmatic Vision - Space Exploration, Initial Inhabitation and Development E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 60 The Scientific Vision “Space Scientific Exploration Visions” are usually based on Scientific Missions essentially Robotic, aimed at the understanding of the formation and evolution of the Solar System. l Instead of “Mono Discipline Missions” targeted in particular to Mars and recently also to the Moon, the Scientific Vision, has to foresee an aggregation of “Multipurpose Missions” to optimize the research infrastructures, to limit the transportation burden and to create networks of supporting services. l E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 61 The Scientific Vision l l In essence the identified “Scientific Vision”, that is based just on “ Space Exploration Missions supported by Scientific Objectives”, turns out to be a continuation and a systematic extension , but with recourse to new advanced technologies, of the past approach adopted so far, that has been founded mainly on some isolated, limited duration exploration “Robotic Missions ”. “ The involvement of Humans in this type of yet “Sectorial Space Exploration Vision” is expected to be increasing over time. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 62 The Grand Vision l l The upper extreme of the Space Exploration Visions, the “Grand Vision”, considers the Exploration just the initial phase of a much wider process of deep penetration of Human Civilization in the regions beyond the Earth. The permanent Human presence is giving rise to a Progressive Development of the explored territories and to a Systematic Exploitation of their Resources . E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 63 The Grand Vision l The distinguishing main features of the Grand Vision are: l l l “Long Term Perspectives ” from which the structure of the integrated over all infrastructure architecture of the Vision has to be derived, “Plurality of Primary Major Objecti ves” originated from concurrent coexistence of several categories of different Stakeholders representing a variet y of mixed interests, “Large Involvement of Humans ” since the earl y phases in the activities to be performed at the various destinations. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 64 The Grand Vision l l The Grand Vision embraces a very large array of activities, resulting from the extension of the Objectives, whose temporal horizon is moved far downstream the decades to come. Aside the traditional “Scientific Objectives” are contemplated “Other than Scientific “ Objectives” that are originated from the mix of a wide variety of industrial, commercial, social and political initiatives that all together provide the justification of a relevant effort. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 65 The Grand Vision l l l As always has happened Exploration comes first and the Development and Settlement of the explored territories are going to follow. With “Space Development and Settlement” “ it is intended the spreading over the various regions beyond Earth of the many activities associated with the presence of Humans. The Development of the Moon, will indeed be accomplished when we could consider our natural satellite to be the Eight Continent of the Earth. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 66 The Grand Vision: Space Extended Exploration l The Extended Space Exploration Objectives characterizing the Grand Vision comprise: l l on one side the activities to support a coherent set of systematic scientific initiatives responding to the “Grand Challenges ” that the International Scientific Communit y has recently identified for the “ Human Space Scientific Exploration ”, and on the other the diversified Human activit ies that considerabl y expand the traditional Objectives of the Exploration, to include the ones derivi ng from other realities; Objectives that so far have never been mixed with the Scientific ones. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 67 The Science Grand Chal lenges Humankind has since ever posed itself “Several Fundamental Questions” to which now-a-day “Scientific Space Exploration” can provide some responses. Question 1-Where did we come from?Goal 1 Determine how the Galaxies began and evol ved Goal 2- Determine the Origin and Evolution of Earth and its Biosphere . E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 68 The Science Grand Chal lenges Question 2-What will happen in the Future? Goal 3- Determine the Nature of Space Environment and the Occurrence of an y Cosmic Hazard to Earth . Goal 4- Determine the Potential for Establishing one day Human Permanent Presence in Space . Question 3- Are We alone in the Universe? Goal 5- Determine if there is or ever has been Life Extra-Terrestrial in the Solar System . Goal 6- Determine if there are Life -Bearing Planets around Other Stars. l E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 69 The Grand Vision: Extended Scientific Exploration l l l The activities of Space Extended Exploration resulting from the above Goals, are going to involve several Bodies of the Solar System. Starting with the easiest to reach, Exploration begins with the Near-Earth Objects, such as Asteroids/ Comets, the more primitive ones. Their stud y, in addition to the understanding of the formation of the Solar S ystem, will also provide us information on their potential for suppl ying useful resources either for future space exploration or for export to Earth . E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 70 The Grand Vision: Extended Scientific Exploration l l There are many reasons to go back to the Moon, both for science of the Moon, to read the history of the Earth -Moon system, as well as for science from the Moon. The Human fieldwork for samples selection and analysis in-loco, will require extended activities, and in case of the construction and operation of large Observatori es on the Moon surface, an extensive continuous Human presences w ill be needed. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 71 The Grand Vision: Extended Scientific Exploration l l The next step would be the exploration of Mars mainly linked to the search of past or present life, exploration that has to be extended below the planet surface, with very deep drills to detect the ice and water in the subsurface. Intense Human fieldwork needs to be therefore executed, with long permanence of very large groups of people for extended periods of time. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 72 The Grand Vision: Extended Scientific Exploration l l l l Progressively, in addition to Mars, the search for life will be extended also to the Satellites of the Planets of the Outer Solar System. To the large Juppiter’s Galileian Satellites: Europa , Ganymede and Callisto, and To the Saturn’s moon Titan. The basic scientific researches on all the other Planets and on their moons, will be continued and expanded. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 73 The Grand Vision: Extended Scientific Exploration l l To carry out such engaging advanced exploration campaigns on the surface of Planets and their moons, new developments of very advanced “Robotic Colonies” have to be envisaged. A Robotic Colony is a remote “ Research Center ” similar to a Human Colony, but operating fully autonomousl y, using only Robots to extend the Human senses into the Solar System prior to the onset of the Human presence. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 74 The Grand Vision “Other than Scientific ” Exploration l l Aside and concurrent with the Scientific Exploration a number of different activities have as well to be performed, leading to a Complex of Other than Scientific Exploration Missions aimed at preparing the future Development of the explored territories. The search for the “Natural Resources” has to be “ conducted systematically in parallel with the other scientific activities, utilizing, as much as possible the same “Orbital and Surface Infrastructures” E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 75 The Grand Vision: Space Inhabitation l The Involvement of Humans in the Space Exploration Activities has been very much controversial, since the beginning of the Space endeavors. l The large majority of the Scientific Space Community has opposed to the participation of Humans in the Exploration Campaigns, not identifying and recognizing significant advantages compared to the” Robotic Only Missions”, that usually imply much reduced times and costs of development. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 76 The Grand Vision: Space Inhabitation l l l The controversial point has been overcome as a consequence of the clear statements announced in the Presidential Vision for the U.S. Space Exploration, that underlines the fundamental role of Humans in the future Exploration Initiatives. To day significant involvements of Humans in the future activities are a well recognized feature of Extended Exploration Initiatives. We can speak to-day of “Space Inhabitation” “ as a significant part of the broader Vision of the Future Space Activities. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 77 The Grand Vision: Space Inhabitation l l For this reason the “Grand Vision” foresees, after the establishment of the initial “Human “ Outposts ”, located either in orbit around the visited celestial bodies or on their surfaces, and visited at intervals by the Explorers, the advent of “Permanent Human Settlements ”. “ A network of Laboratories and Factories in which the advanced research and the initial industrial activities will be performed, is thus foreseen to grow around these Human Bases . E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 78 The Grand Vision: Space Developments l l l To support the presence of a large number of people several activities w ill be initiated leading to the full Development of the New Extraterrestrial Territories. The Human Settlements will be connected b y an Integrated System of Vehicles for the transport of people and cargo. These innovati ve Surface S ystems, formed b y Rovers to cover short distances and by “Flying Hoppers ” for “ the larger distances, w ill need to be operated and serviced large Man -tended supporting infrastructures E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 79 The Grand Vision: Colonization and Resources Exploitation l l The “Permanent Inhabitation of Space” is the presupposition and the premise for a real “Development of Space ”, that is to say for the inclusion of the new celestial territories in the” Sphere of the Interest and Action of the Terrestrial”. Such a “Colonization Process ”, expected to “ last several decades, and in some extreme cases even centuries, largely relies on the “Exploitation of the Local Natural Resources ” . E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 80 The Grand Vision: Resources Exploitation l l The process of “ Exploitation of the Local Resources ” will allow, on one side the needed progressive achievement of the almost total independence of the “Extraterrestrial Human Settlements ” from the Earth, And on the other side, it will in part contribute, with the transfer of valuable materials to Earth, to the dramatically increasing needs of resources of Humankind. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 81 The Grand Vision: Resources Exploitation l l Particularl y relevant in the process of utilization of local resources is the “In-Situ Propellant Production ”, “ that on the Moon would lead to the Liquid Oxygen and Liquid Hydrogen extraction from the soil, and on Mars to the Methane and Ox ygen generation utilizing the Carbon Dioxide of the atmosphere. New Transportation S ystems properly designed to utilize extraterrestrial Resources, stored in Cislunar and Cismartial Orbits Depots, w ould allow considerable reduction in the mass and costs of the connections w ith the Earth, and would considerabl y increase the Pa yload Mass for Missions to the Far Planets. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 82 The Grand Vision l l The “Grand Vision”, encompassing all these “ diverse aspects of Human activities is clearly to be considered ,first of all, a kind of a “great “ revolution of our perspecti ves”, that projects the actual Human horizons very far, beyond the traditional natural boundaries of our Old Earth . Space Exploration, Inhabitation ,Development and Exploitation are Challenges for the Future of Humankind. We must get prepared for them to occur in the coming future. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 83 The Grand Vision l l l Once Terrestrial, stepping out of the Earth Gravitational Well, will learn how to benefit of the Moon position and of its resources to project themselves far into the Solar System, the Access to Space will be facilitated. Also a large number of “Space Tourists” will “ have the possibility to reach far destinations. And the dream will be finally accomplished of reaching Mars, and initiating the visionary process of transformation of its inhospitable environment to render it habitable for the Humans. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 84 The Pragmatic Vision l l The two Visions, at one extreme the“Scientific Vision”and at the other extreme the far looking “Grand Vision”, for reasons naturally quite opposite, are not to day sustainable and viable The “Scientific Vision” notwithstanding the “ considerable support enjoyed within Scientific Communities, especially for the missions to Mars, is difficult to be widely justified and accepted, lacking a more wide support for its ambitious Exploration Plans based uniquely on Scientific Objectives. . E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 85 The Pragmatic Vision l In the other extreme case of the “Grand Vision”, “ the complexity of the Space Architectures, the very Long Term perspectives, the difficulties to achieve a coherent amalgam of the interest of the different potential Stakeholders, and the astronomic investment needed , are such that to day, in a situation of worldwide deep economy recession, it cannot be considered but utopian, useful only at the limit as a reference model for comparisons. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 86 The Pragmatic Vision l l l In order to find out an actual viable solution a “Pragmatic Vision” has to be identified that, still preserving the far looking strategic nature of a global vision, is indeed somehow an intermediate way: on one side a going beyond the limitation of the “Science Vision” and on the other side a significant reduction of the “Grand Vision”. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 87 The Pragma tic Vision l l In the “Pragmatic Vision” thus the” Scientific Objectives” have to be mixed and balanced by the “Other than Scientific Objectives”, leading to new forms of “Space Exploration Architectures” that offer the benefits of being as much as possible “Multipurpose” and “Long Lasting” over time. Their continuous refurbishments, repairs, reconfigurations will require the irreplaceable presence of Humans. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 88 The Pragmatic Vision: Exploration and Development l l Exploration and Development have indeed to proceed hand to hand to achieve a well balanced and progressive expansion of the Humankind presences, starting initially from the Moon but targeted to Mars. Robots and Humans have to be both utilized in a highly cooperative way in order to obtain from their mutual interaction and from their combination the best performances. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 89 The Pragmatic Vision Exploration and Development l The utilization of the Extra-terrestrial Local Natural Resources has to be an integral part of the” Fundamental Extended Objectives” of the “Pragmatic Vision”, to ensure, as a minimum, the progressive even still partial independence of the Human and of the Robotic Outposts, and to help reducing the costs of the transportation. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 90 The Pragmatic Vision l l l A Distinguishing feature of the “Pragmatic Vision” is undoubtedl y the march side by side of the Public and of the Private Sectors. The Initial Investments, covering the very large costs of the development of the Space Infrastructures needed to support the Space Exploration and Development Initiatives, have to be made by the Governments. The Private Sector has to be encouraged to participate to the relevant investments. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 91 The Pragmatic Vision l l The Implementation Plans of the Exploration and Development Initiatives have to be such to encourage, since the early phases, the direct involvement of the Private Sector. The possibility must be ensured to the Private Sector to further expand and exploit by itself the various opportunities that are going to be originated by the initial efforts. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 92 The Pragma tic Vision l The development of “ Commercial Activities” aside of the execution of the “Scientific Researches”, or as a fall-out of their findings, has to be resolutely pursued since the very initial phases of the Exploration Initiatives, without reticence and inferiority complexes deriving from a hierarchy of priorities that so far has been favoring the scientific activities. E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 93 E.ValleraniE.Vallerani- Giornata dello SpazioSpazio- Accademia delle Scienze -TorinoTorino- 23/5/08 94